Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #25
New Haven Semi-State Rank #7
West Noble Regional Rank #4
Northrop Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Huntington Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 404 432 322 359 426 473 516 458 386 385
Team Adjusted Rating 432 322 359 426 473 516 458 386 385
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
32  Lexi Panning 10 19:07 19:15 18:40 19:22 19:19 19:44 19:22 19:07 19:18 18:58 18:58
141  Madelyn Borchelt 12 20:01 19:39 19:45 19:51 20:25 20:41 20:38 20:30 20:06 20:02 19:52
173  Keller Whicker 11 20:11 20:25 19:35 19:43 20:05 20:15 21:16 20:19 19:59 20:16
389  Faye Kropf 11 21:10 21:41 20:57 21:02 21:17 21:22 21:28 21:09 20:48 21:01
433  Ellie Walters 9 21:19 21:34 21:46 21:22 21:28 21:18 21:17 21:59 21:19 21:07
550  Sierra Luttik 9 21:38 21:24 20:56 20:58 21:13 21:52 22:44 21:49 21:32 22:05
862  Emily Clark 10 22:25 22:14 22:57 22:39 22:49 22:37 22:27 21:55 22:11 22:37
Ali Risley 9 24:04 24:09 23:37 24:01 24:10 24:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 6.9 185 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 7.1 25.6 36.8 20.2 8.0 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.0 100 0.1 1.1 10.4 74.5 13.9
Sectionals 100% 3.1 81 0.0 1.9 85.0 13.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Panning 100.0% 33.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.1 100.0% 100.0%
Madelyn Borchelt 42.5% 104.9 42.5% 42.5%
Keller Whicker 16.9% 114.3 16.9% 16.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Panning 100% 7.5 0.1 1.4 7.4 11.4 12.2 12.0 12.3 9.3 8.1 6.2 5.4 3.9 3.0 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Madelyn Borchelt 100% 29.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.7 3.6 4.3 99.9%
Keller Whicker 100% 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.6 2.3 99.3%
Faye Kropf 100% 78.4 17.6%
Ellie Walters 100% 85.2 8.3%
Sierra Luttik 100% 102.6 0.8%
Emily Clark 100% 139.0 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Panning 100% 2.8 0.3 22.9 33.0 18.5 10.4 6.3 3.6 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Madelyn Borchelt 100% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.4 4.3 5.0 6.8 7.4 7.7 8.2 8.2 7.7 6.8 6.2 6.0 4.9 3.7 2.6 1.7 1.3 100.0%
Keller Whicker 100% 18.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.9 3.9 4.9 5.7 6.0 7.1 7.6 8.0 8.1 8.6 7.2 6.3 5.0 4.1 100.0%
Faye Kropf 100% 35.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Ellie Walters 100% 38.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 100.0%
Sierra Luttik 100% 45.7 99.6%
Emily Clark 100% 63.2 66.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Panning 1.9 0.3 57.5 21.5 10.5 4.9 2.6 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Madelyn Borchelt 10.7 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.3 5.4 7.4 10.3 11.7 10.6 10.1 9.3 8.3 7.2 4.7 2.9 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Keller Whicker 13.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 3.1 4.8 6.9 8.1 8.9 9.8 11.3 11.4 10.0 8.0 5.2 3.9 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0
Faye Kropf 25.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.8 3.1 4.8 7.8 11.7 14.7
Ellie Walters 27.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.5 6.4 9.0
Sierra Luttik 31.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0
Emily Clark 39.6