East Noble
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #17
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
West Noble Regional Rank #3
West Noble Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 9.5%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Huntington Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast 8 Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/21 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 315 429 375 331 335 527 350 352 313 336 407
Team Adjusted Rating 429 375 331 335 527 350 352 313 336 307
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast 8 Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
24  Addison Lindsey 9 18:54 18:30 18:49 18:39 18:24 19:25 18:51 18:49 19:16 19:37
117  Rae David 9 19:51 20:12 20:09 19:55 20:06 20:14 20:20 19:53 20:00 19:40 19:43
139  Dakota Rodgers 10 20:00 21:04 20:35 20:07 20:06 21:11 20:24 20:20 19:44 20:19 19:52
178  Lydia Keihn 11 20:13 21:30 20:48 20:42 20:43 22:14 20:35 20:42 20:09 20:02 20:22
344  Rachel Becker 11 21:00 20:46 20:55 20:53 20:53 21:28 20:45 21:03 21:02 20:59 21:10
369  Lilly Crow 9 21:06 22:16 21:45 21:48 21:54 21:45 20:55 21:06 20:57
783  Kayla Carpenter 11 22:15 21:59 22:28
882  Cady Smith 11 22:27 22:47 22:15 22:24 22:40 23:01 22:03 22:13 22:18 22:49 22:26
Morigan Prest 11 24:18 24:10 24:05 24:18 24:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 15.1 374 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.2 5.0 6.3 8.3 10.3 12.1 12.6 12.1 9.3 6.5 4.1 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.0
Semi-State 100% 4.5 138 2.3 5.9 13.0 25.0 37.0 11.6 4.2 1.0 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.8 74 6.3 18.9 64.1 10.1 0.6
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 100% 23.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.4 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.5 5.1 4.6 4.9 4.5 3.9 3.7 100.0%
Rae David 100% 99.1 0.0 59.4%
Dakota Rodgers 100% 113.4 0.0 39.1%
Lydia Keihn 100% 130.7 14.7%
Rachel Becker 100% 168.0 0.0%
Lilly Crow 100% 171.4 0.0%
Cady Smith 100% 202.3 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 100% 5.0 0.7 7.0 22.5 19.6 15.0 10.7 7.6 5.3 3.7 2.9 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Rae David 100% 24.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.3 4.7 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.8 100.0%
Dakota Rodgers 100% 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.3 4.1 99.8%
Lydia Keihn 100% 37.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 98.8%
Rachel Becker 100% 71.3 36.9%
Lilly Crow 100% 76.1 24.1%
Cady Smith 100% 140.1 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 100% 1.8 1.8 59.4 22.5 8.9 4.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Rae David 100% 12.1 0.2 1.0 1.7 3.3 4.5 5.5 6.5 8.1 9.1 9.2 9.3 8.1 7.5 6.6 5.3 3.9 3.0 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Dakota Rodgers 100% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.3 3.4 3.9 5.8 7.0 7.7 9.1 8.2 8.2 7.6 7.2 6.1 5.5 4.3 3.3 2.5 1.8 1.2 100.0%
Lydia Keihn 100% 19.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.8 2.2 3.0 4.1 5.1 6.5 6.7 7.6 7.9 8.7 8.7 8.1 7.1 5.8 4.4 100.0%
Rachel Becker 100% 32.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.6 100.0%
Lilly Crow 100% 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 100.0%
Cady Smith 100% 64.0 98.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 1.0 92.5 7.1 0.4
Rae David 3.4 7.7 24.2 40.7 19.8 6.5 1.0 0.1
Dakota Rodgers 4.3 1.9 9.5 26.2 40.0 17.8 4.0 0.6 0.1
Lydia Keihn 5.5 0.2 1.6 5.2 18.2 48.5 19.7 6.0 0.5 0.1
Rachel Becker 9.3 0.1 3.8 12.8 26.8 25.0 16.5 8.7 3.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.1
Lilly Crow 10.0 0.0 1.2 5.7 17.5 25.0 21.5 14.7 7.8 4.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cady Smith 24.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.8 2.7 4.2 5.5 7.1 8.0 9.0 8.9 8.5