All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Marion Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Ben Davis JV |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Noblesville JV Meet |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | |
8/31 |
9/4 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
9/28 |
10/2 |
10/7 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
Team Rating |
437 |
529 |
409 |
364 |
478 |
1,109 |
478 |
1,074 |
592 |
480 |
681 |
|
Team Adjusted Rating | |
464 |
409 |
364 |
379 |
437 |
420 |
437 |
446 |
460 |
546 |
|
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Hamilton County |
Marion Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Ben Davis JV |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Noblesville JV Meet |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
37 |
Elizabeth Barrett |
12 |
19:11 |
18:48 |
19:11 |
18:46 |
19:08 |
|
19:06 |
|
19:32 |
19:30 |
19:08 |
19:24 |
252 |
Vera Schafer |
12 |
20:33 |
21:11 |
20:37 |
20:19 |
20:21 |
|
|
|
|
20:18 |
20:54 |
|
255 |
Anna Runion |
12 |
20:34 |
|
20:51 |
20:28 |
|
|
20:15 |
|
|
20:48 |
|
|
321 |
Megan Mybeck |
12 |
20:52 |
20:41 |
20:22 |
20:38 |
20:40 |
|
21:03 |
|
20:54 |
21:03 |
21:30 |
|
461 |
Emma Schwertfeger |
9 |
21:25 |
21:40 |
21:07 |
21:24 |
20:51 |
|
21:15 |
|
|
|
22:49 |
|
620 |
Addison Kane |
10 |
21:49 |
21:40 |
21:44 |
22:38 |
22:26 |
|
21:44 |
|
21:20 |
22:10 |
|
|
625 |
Nithya Murthy |
11 |
21:50 |
21:38 |
22:05 |
21:32 |
|
|
22:01 |
|
21:37 |
21:46 |
22:17 |
|
693 |
Aubrey Baldwin |
12 |
22:02 |
|
21:52 |
20:57 |
22:14 |
|
21:31 |
|
|
22:15 |
24:29 |
|
696 |
Brooke Butts |
11 |
22:02 |
22:07 |
22:20 |
22:00 |
22:14 |
21:54 |
21:56 |
|
21:57 |
|
|
|
967 |
Ana Foutty |
11 |
22:38 |
22:32 |
22:35 |
22:29 |
22:41 |
23:18 |
22:58 |
22:22 |
|
|
|
|
1,057 |
Corinne McClanahan |
9 |
22:48 |
22:54 |
23:07 |
22:44 |
22:55 |
22:52 |
22:49 |
22:19 |
22:52 |
|
|
|
1,062 |
Erica Combs |
11 |
22:49 |
|
23:00 |
22:45 |
23:02 |
|
22:32 |
|
|
|
|
|
1,122 |
Kaitlyn Moriarty |
12 |
22:57 |
23:26 |
|
22:22 |
23:12 |
|
22:48 |
22:58 |
|
|
|
|
1,262 |
Adi Bicknell |
10 |
23:14 |
22:44 |
23:41 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,327 |
Anna Williams |
10 |
23:23 |
24:11 |
22:48 |
23:27 |
23:31 |
23:24 |
23:05 |
|
|
|
|
|
1,330 |
Campbell Tavernier |
10 |
23:23 |
23:11 |
23:43 |
23:09 |
23:16 |
23:09 |
23:25 |
23:55 |
|
|
|
|
1,364 |
Alexia Kline |
12 |
23:27 |
23:50 |
23:36 |
23:28 |
23:44 |
23:05 |
23:46 |
22:57 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Almaya |
9 |
23:41 |
23:33 |
23:46 |
23:27 |
23:23 |
23:26 |
23:50 |
24:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mia Schiesser |
9 |
23:56 |
24:09 |
24:26 |
27:34 |
25:20 |
23:33 |
22:57 |
23:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rachel Fulton |
12 |
24:09 |
25:37 |
23:36 |
23:47 |
23:39 |
23:59 |
25:19 |
24:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Abbey Conn |
12 |
24:47 |
23:35 |
24:17 |
24:58 |
23:57 |
25:29 |
25:20 |
25:05 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Semi-State |
100% |
7.9 |
207 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
8.9 |
19.7 |
40.0 |
29.0 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
60 |
0.1 |
99.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
49 |
0.1 |
99.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elizabeth Barrett |
99.9% |
37.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Vera Schafer |
1.3% |
133.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.3% |
1.3% |
Anna Runion |
1.0% |
132.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
1.0% |
Megan Mybeck |
0.0% |
153.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elizabeth Barrett |
100% |
8.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
4.1 |
7.2 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
10.9 |
10.8 |
9.3 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Vera Schafer |
100% |
52.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
Anna Runion |
100% |
52.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
Megan Mybeck |
100% |
66.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
Emma Schwertfeger |
100% |
90.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.1% |
Addison Kane |
100% |
111.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
69.8% |
Nithya Murthy |
100% |
113.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
66.2% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elizabeth Barrett |
100% |
2.9 |
0.0 |
25.4 |
27.4 |
43.1 |
3.2 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Vera Schafer |
100% |
11.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
7.0 |
9.8 |
11.3 |
11.8 |
11.8 |
11.8 |
10.6 |
8.0 |
6.1 |
3.2 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Anna Runion |
100% |
11.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.7 |
1.7 |
3.8 |
6.4 |
9.0 |
10.2 |
11.5 |
12.2 |
11.8 |
11.1 |
9.0 |
6.6 |
3.8 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Megan Mybeck |
100% |
15.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
5.2 |
7.7 |
10.0 |
13.2 |
15.2 |
17.5 |
11.7 |
6.2 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Emma Schwertfeger |
100% |
21.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
3.1 |
7.6 |
11.9 |
11.8 |
12.0 |
10.6 |
9.5 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
|
100.0% |
Addison Kane |
100% |
27.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.8 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
|
100.0% |
Nithya Murthy |
100% |
28.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
6.6 |
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elizabeth Barrett |
1.9 |
26.1 |
27.6 |
42.0 |
3.4 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Vera Schafer |
8.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
7.5 |
13.2 |
14.4 |
14.1 |
14.6 |
12.7 |
9.6 |
7.5 |
2.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Anna Runion |
9.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
6.4 |
12.4 |
14.2 |
14.5 |
14.3 |
13.0 |
10.5 |
7.8 |
3.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Megan Mybeck |
12.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.9 |
5.2 |
8.1 |
10.8 |
16.0 |
19.2 |
29.1 |
5.3 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Emma Schwertfeger |
15.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.1 |
5.8 |
32.6 |
24.0 |
16.6 |
9.8 |
4.6 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Addison Kane |
18.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
2.1 |
7.4 |
12.0 |
15.5 |
17.4 |
16.9 |
11.7 |
6.7 |
4.6 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
Nithya Murthy |
19.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
5.3 |
10.1 |
14.5 |
17.7 |
17.2 |
13.2 |
8.4 |
5.5 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
|