Fort Wayne South Side
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #73
New Haven Semi-State Rank #16
Marion Regional Rank #2
Bellmont Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Baron Classic Manchester Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/28 9/4 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 762 1,129 803 940 831 919 889 798 722
Team Adjusted Rating 799 803 865 776 774 807 798 722
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Baron Classic Manchester Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
64  Lauren Walda 12 19:29 20:45 19:38 19:36 19:42 19:44 19:43 19:18 19:51
609  Jaclyn Embry 11 21:47 21:02 22:18 21:47 21:29 22:20 21:50 21:39
674  Grace Gillie 11 21:58 21:41 21:29 22:26 22:00
830  Merari Williams 11 22:21 22:54 22:46 23:09 22:29 22:28 22:20 22:09
935  Madeline Hensler 12 22:33 22:56 23:17 23:13 22:54 22:56 22:29 22:46 22:21
1,103  Fiona Gochvtott-Stinw 11 22:54 23:15 23:07 22:51 22:36 22:56 23:21 22:30 23:09
Katey Niblack 12 24:07 24:12 23:48 24:21 24:04 24:16 23:55
Elizabeth Aylward 11 24:13 23:51 24:08 23:57 24:34 23:59 24:43
Brett Cox 9 24:48 27:36 25:59 24:25 23:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 13.8 378 0.7 2.3 6.4 16.9 61.2 8.7 3.1 0.6 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.9 71 14.0 81.5 4.2 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 49 99.8 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 97.1% 60.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 97.1% 97.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 100% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.8 4.8 5.9 6.7 7.1 7.3 7.1 6.7 6.7 5.9 5.1 4.5 3.7 3.4 2.9 2.4 2.1 1.8 100.0%
Jaclyn Embry 100% 109.8 95.3%
Grace Gillie 100% 119.9 86.3%
Merari Williams 100% 136.6 47.8%
Madeline Hensler 100% 143.5 25.5%
Fiona Gochvtott-Stinw 100% 152.3 4.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 100% 1.5 0.2 99.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jaclyn Embry 100% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 5.5 8.7 10.8 12.5 11.7 10.1 8.8 7.3 5.7 4.4 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.7 100.0%
Grace Gillie 100% 16.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.7 4.1 6.4 8.1 9.8 9.2 9.1 8.4 7.4 7.1 6.0 4.7 4.0 3.3 2.5 100.0%
Merari Williams 100% 24.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.7 3.9 4.3 5.2 6.0 7.0 7.4 7.7 7.8 100.0%
Madeline Hensler 100% 28.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.0 3.0 3.2 3.6 4.9 6.1 100.0%
Fiona Gochvtott-Stinw 100% 33.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 1.0 99.7 0.3 0.0
Jaclyn Embry 8.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 3.9 7.7 13.0 18.4 20.8 15.9 10.6 5.8 2.2 0.4 0.1
Grace Gillie 10.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 4.4 8.9 15.0 20.1 20.0 15.0 10.0 3.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Merari Williams 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.0 7.6 15.0 21.0 26.2 14.4 6.0 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Madeline Hensler 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 5.2 10.6 18.9 27.7 15.5 8.6 4.7 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Fiona Gochvtott-Stinw 17.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.5 7.1 16.6 17.1 15.0 12.4 9.4 6.3 4.6 3.1 2.0 1.1