LaPorte
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #27
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #5
Chesterton Regional Rank #3
New Prairie Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 21st place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 428 509 399 443 437 450 372 422 456 410 443
Team Adjusted Rating 509 399 443 437 450 372 422 456 410 443
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
30  Brenna Sobecki 11 19:04 18:55 18:52 18:47 19:21 19:26 18:37 19:07 19:18 19:12 19:04
76  Lila Gillisse 9 19:37 20:01 19:24 19:52 19:52 19:37 19:11 19:44 19:42 19:37 19:32
293  Ella Dubbs 12 20:45 22:26 20:32 20:44 20:32 20:35 20:24 20:43 21:16 20:34 20:53
435  Faith Spain 9 21:19 21:48 21:23 21:38 21:23 21:17 21:01 21:12 21:10 21:32 21:21
447  Tatum Bumgardner 11 21:22 22:19 21:48 22:07 22:09 22:36 22:04 21:11 21:49
506  Natalie Poston 9 21:32 21:28 21:42 22:17 21:47 21:43 21:44 21:20 21:17 21:20 21:30
606  Lilly Burke 12 21:47 22:03 21:22 21:34 21:30 21:42 22:04 22:10 21:42
629  Rylee Stephany 12 21:51 21:54 21:28 21:21 21:43 22:17 22:11
631  Ella Minich 12 21:51 21:20 21:20 22:11 21:26 21:56 21:31 22:18 22:14
711  Alli Bender 12 22:05 22:15 23:29 21:51 21:21 21:48 21:43 22:18 22:50
975  Megan Lambert 10 22:39 22:51 23:11 22:59 23:24 21:52 22:14
1,098  Hannah Steder 12 22:53 23:37 23:24 22:48 22:37 22:54 22:41
1,333  Grace Foglesong 10 23:23 25:01 22:45 23:21 23:03 23:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 20.1 464 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 6.1 10.2 14.4 18.4 19.1 16.8 9.0 1.5
Semi-State 100% 5.2 193 0.2 9.2 21.4 31.5 21.6 10.0 3.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.0 91 0.2 99.7 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.0 75 0.2 99.8 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 100% 30.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.5 3.2 3.7 3.3 99.9%
Lila Gillisse 100% 74.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 82.5%
Ella Dubbs 100% 159.4 0.1%
Faith Spain 100% 178.3 0.0%
Tatum Bumgardner 100% 180.0 0.0%
Natalie Poston 100% 185.3 0.0%
Lilly Burke 100% 193.3 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 100% 5.1 0.0 0.7 3.2 14.7 29.0 20.7 13.4 8.0 4.0 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lila Gillisse 100% 12.4 0.0 0.6 2.5 5.2 7.0 8.5 8.5 7.9 7.3 6.8 6.0 5.5 4.9 4.2 3.8 3.3 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.2 100.0%
Ella Dubbs 100% 58.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Faith Spain 100% 91.1 87.5%
Tatum Bumgardner 100% 94.1 84.8%
Natalie Poston 100% 103.9 68.8%
Lilly Burke 100% 119.1 39.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 100% 3.4 0.7 3.6 19.9 57.7 12.7 3.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lila Gillisse 100% 6.5 0.1 1.5 19.9 21.3 14.2 11.9 9.7 7.8 5.3 3.6 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ella Dubbs 100% 21.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.6 4.6 6.5 8.6 11.2 12.0 11.3 10.2 8.7 100.0%
Faith Spain 100% 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.0 3.7 100.0%
Tatum Bumgardner 100% 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.7 2.7 100.0%
Natalie Poston 100% 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 100.0%
Lilly Burke 100% 38.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 3.5 0.8 3.2 20.3 56.9 13.6 3.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lila Gillisse 6.3 0.0 0.1 1.5 21.5 22.1 16.0 12.8 10.7 7.7 3.9 2.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Ella Dubbs 16.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.0 3.1 4.9 7.1 12.5 25.5 18.5 10.6 6.4 3.6 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2
Faith Spain 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.7 6.1 8.2 9.1 10.5 11.9 11.6 10.7
Tatum Bumgardner 23.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.0 4.1 6.5 7.8 9.3 10.7 11.0 12.0
Natalie Poston 26.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.2 3.6 4.8 6.6 8.3 10.1
Lilly Burke 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 2.4 3.6