All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Crown Point Invitational |
Jack Bransford Classic |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
Highland Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/21 |
8/28 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
| Team Rating |
396 |
368 |
343 |
299 |
346 |
393 |
402 |
745 |
386 |
359 |
495 |
526 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
368 |
343 |
299 |
346 |
393 |
402 |
396 |
386 |
359 |
466 |
526 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Crown Point Invitational |
Jack Bransford Classic |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
Highland Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| 168 |
Sydney Churilla |
10 |
20:10 |
20:11 |
20:09 |
20:06 |
20:22 |
20:24 |
20:25 |
|
20:11 |
19:44 |
20:38 |
20:22 |
| 217 |
Mackenzie Smith |
9 |
20:26 |
20:50 |
20:26 |
20:07 |
20:26 |
20:20 |
20:05 |
|
20:24 |
19:59 |
|
24:05 |
| 224 |
Taylor Kosiek |
12 |
20:28 |
20:17 |
20:43 |
20:04 |
19:52 |
20:06 |
20:18 |
|
21:09 |
20:36 |
20:52 |
20:29 |
| 228 |
Carly Davis |
12 |
20:29 |
20:21 |
20:39 |
20:07 |
20:44 |
20:36 |
20:39 |
|
20:17 |
20:01 |
20:54 |
21:17 |
| 280 |
Nicole Vollrath |
10 |
20:42 |
20:27 |
21:10 |
20:06 |
20:20 |
20:51 |
20:55 |
|
20:08 |
20:50 |
20:42 |
21:18 |
| 336 |
Rachel Narjes |
12 |
20:58 |
|
20:38 |
20:45 |
21:03 |
20:52 |
21:12 |
21:12 |
20:53 |
|
|
|
| 339 |
Addison Roth |
10 |
20:59 |
20:21 |
19:22 |
19:32 |
20:05 |
21:05 |
21:02 |
|
21:46 |
21:52 |
20:56 |
21:20 |
| 345 |
Isabelle Martisek |
10 |
21:00 |
20:44 |
20:23 |
21:05 |
|
|
20:48 |
21:04 |
20:59 |
21:00 |
21:27 |
21:05 |
| 380 |
Krista Kulacz |
12 |
21:08 |
20:58 |
20:45 |
20:25 |
20:56 |
20:41 |
21:24 |
21:47 |
21:37 |
|
|
|
| 505 |
Marie Weber |
10 |
21:32 |
21:46 |
21:22 |
21:54 |
21:25 |
21:31 |
21:29 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 635 |
Amanda Spanier |
11 |
21:52 |
22:17 |
22:06 |
21:26 |
21:28 |
21:45 |
21:16 |
22:09 |
22:46 |
|
|
|
| 726 |
Natalie Kransky |
11 |
22:07 |
22:46 |
21:43 |
22:45 |
21:42 |
21:22 |
22:34 |
22:01 |
22:20 |
|
22:11 |
|
| 855 |
Samantha Lazowski |
11 |
22:24 |
21:59 |
22:47 |
22:00 |
23:01 |
22:30 |
22:17 |
22:28 |
22:16 |
|
|
|
| 922 |
Braiden Cooper |
9 |
22:31 |
24:09 |
23:35 |
22:57 |
|
22:15 |
22:35 |
22:09 |
22:02 |
|
|
|
| 944 |
Tara Schassburger |
9 |
22:35 |
22:47 |
|
|
22:44 |
22:27 |
23:06 |
22:12 |
22:25 |
|
|
|
| 982 |
Ava Giovane |
10 |
22:40 |
22:30 |
22:23 |
22:39 |
22:45 |
22:35 |
23:16 |
22:29 |
22:37 |
|
|
|
| 994 |
Sarah Solis |
9 |
22:41 |
24:19 |
|
23:21 |
22:31 |
23:02 |
22:34 |
22:11 |
22:29 |
|
|
|
| 1,234 |
Kylie Carroll |
12 |
23:11 |
22:40 |
22:28 |
23:21 |
22:42 |
23:16 |
23:26 |
23:27 |
23:33 |
|
|
|
| 1,360 |
Peyton Staley |
12 |
23:26 |
23:12 |
|
23:35 |
23:25 |
23:09 |
23:46 |
24:44 |
22:31 |
|
|
|
|
Nora Markley |
11 |
23:45 |
24:27 |
23:40 |
24:12 |
24:03 |
23:47 |
24:11 |
23:09 |
23:13 |
|
|
|
|
Arianna Nash |
10 |
23:52 |
23:38 |
23:54 |
24:05 |
23:42 |
24:03 |
23:14 |
24:50 |
23:47 |
|
|
|
|
Essey Gonzalez |
9 |
24:13 |
24:17 |
24:48 |
24:48 |
24:18 |
24:09 |
24:20 |
23:43 |
24:00 |
|
|
|
|
Hailey Wisz |
10 |
24:15 |
25:50 |
|
24:44 |
24:35 |
23:53 |
24:04 |
23:14 |
24:42 |
|
|
|
|
Ingrid Owczarzak |
12 |
24:20 |
24:40 |
|
|
23:55 |
|
24:25 |
23:33 |
25:36 |
|
|
|
|
Khaila Freitag |
12 |
24:31 |
23:35 |
|
24:53 |
|
24:16 |
24:54 |
25:09 |
24:08 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
4.5 |
175 |
0.0 |
2.2 |
24.5 |
32.0 |
20.7 |
11.9 |
5.6 |
2.1 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
42 |
93.7 |
5.9 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
15 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sydney Churilla |
14.2% |
111.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.2% |
14.2% |
| Mackenzie Smith |
1.7% |
126.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.7% |
1.7% |
| Taylor Kosiek |
1.2% |
131.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.2% |
1.2% |
| Carly Davis |
1.0% |
126.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
1.0% |
| Nicole Vollrath |
0.1% |
142.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sydney Churilla |
100% |
30.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Smith |
100% |
42.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Taylor Kosiek |
100% |
44.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Carly Davis |
100% |
44.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Nicole Vollrath |
100% |
56.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Addison Roth |
100% |
71.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Isabelle Martisek |
100% |
73.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sydney Churilla |
100% |
4.5 |
|
5.9 |
12.7 |
19.4 |
23.4 |
15.7 |
10.1 |
6.4 |
3.3 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Smith |
100% |
7.5 |
|
0.5 |
1.7 |
4.0 |
8.4 |
13.1 |
14.9 |
15.3 |
13.3 |
9.9 |
7.1 |
4.9 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Taylor Kosiek |
100% |
7.9 |
|
0.3 |
1.2 |
3.2 |
7.0 |
11.5 |
14.4 |
14.5 |
13.3 |
11.6 |
8.6 |
5.6 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Carly Davis |
100% |
8.0 |
|
0.3 |
1.0 |
3.4 |
6.2 |
10.8 |
13.6 |
14.6 |
14.0 |
12.2 |
8.7 |
5.9 |
4.3 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nicole Vollrath |
100% |
11.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
4.1 |
6.2 |
9.3 |
12.1 |
13.6 |
12.9 |
10.9 |
8.8 |
6.7 |
4.7 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Addison Roth |
100% |
15.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
4.7 |
6.7 |
9.2 |
10.4 |
11.2 |
10.9 |
11.6 |
9.4 |
7.1 |
4.7 |
3.6 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Isabelle Martisek |
100% |
15.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
6.4 |
8.4 |
10.6 |
10.9 |
11.9 |
11.1 |
9.4 |
7.3 |
5.4 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sydney Churilla |
1.0 |
71.2 |
18.7 |
6.8 |
2.4 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mackenzie Smith |
2.4 |
11.0 |
28.3 |
27.4 |
21.2 |
9.0 |
2.4 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Kosiek |
2.6 |
8.9 |
24.6 |
26.8 |
24.2 |
11.8 |
2.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Carly Davis |
2.7 |
7.8 |
23.0 |
26.9 |
25.7 |
12.4 |
2.9 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nicole Vollrath |
4.4 |
0.8 |
4.4 |
9.3 |
18.8 |
39.6 |
16.5 |
7.0 |
2.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Addison Roth |
6.3 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.1 |
8.7 |
28.4 |
29.1 |
16.9 |
6.2 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Isabelle Martisek |
6.4 |
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
8.7 |
25.9 |
30.1 |
17.4 |
6.8 |
4.0 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
