All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Marion Invitational |
Maconaquah Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Miami County |
Culver Invitational |
Three Rivers Conference |
Logansport Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/21 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
768 |
|
925 |
867 |
1,098 |
1,078 |
906 |
915 |
932 |
745 |
753 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
|
925 |
867 |
1,001 |
999 |
843 |
894 |
869 |
745 |
725 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Marion Invitational |
Maconaquah Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Miami County |
Culver Invitational |
Three Rivers Conference |
Logansport Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 125 |
Abby Jordan |
10 |
19:54 |
20:07 |
19:52 |
19:39 |
19:49 |
20:02 |
19:59 |
20:06 |
20:35 |
20:04 |
19:43 |
19:53 |
| 583 |
Lucy Loshnowsky |
9 |
21:43 |
|
22:13 |
22:06 |
22:58 |
22:52 |
22:11 |
21:56 |
21:56 |
21:29 |
21:31 |
|
| 646 |
Samantha Jones |
9 |
21:54 |
|
22:31 |
22:31 |
23:06 |
23:54 |
22:08 |
22:42 |
22:23 |
22:01 |
21:42 |
|
| 721 |
Lauren Driscoll |
10 |
22:07 |
23:38 |
23:33 |
23:01 |
23:35 |
22:41 |
22:36 |
23:03 |
22:35 |
21:55 |
21:54 |
|
| 1,041 |
Nele Kohls |
|
22:46 |
|
22:52 |
22:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,155 |
Aubrey McClain |
9 |
23:01 |
|
|
23:33 |
25:08 |
24:11 |
23:50 |
23:08 |
23:50 |
22:37 |
23:14 |
|
|
Rachel Eby |
12 |
23:49 |
|
|
25:00 |
24:47 |
24:16 |
24:29 |
24:06 |
|
23:24 |
|
|
|
Kaylee Futrell |
10 |
24:47 |
|
|
25:12 |
24:51 |
24:57 |
23:58 |
24:24 |
24:55 |
25:02 |
24:40 |
|
|
Kaytlin Moeller |
9 |
25:23 |
26:58 |
25:51 |
25:06 |
25:18 |
24:39 |
25:13 |
25:16 |
25:37 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
16.9 |
413 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
5.7 |
13.8 |
18.3 |
20.2 |
19.0 |
14.2 |
6.6 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.8 |
138 |
|
0.1 |
1.4 |
44.0 |
33.3 |
16.0 |
5.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.8 |
63 |
40.2 |
44.2 |
15.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Jordan |
51.1% |
94.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51.1% |
51.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Jordan |
100% |
20.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Lucy Loshnowsky |
100% |
115.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.2% |
| Samantha Jones |
100% |
125.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.7% |
| Lauren Driscoll |
100% |
134.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Aubrey McClain |
100% |
161.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Jordan |
100% |
5.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
5.9 |
18.5 |
22.7 |
20.8 |
16.6 |
7.5 |
3.2 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lucy Loshnowsky |
100% |
30.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Samantha Jones |
100% |
33.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Lauren Driscoll |
100% |
36.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Aubrey McClain |
100% |
51.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Jordan |
2.5 |
0.6 |
5.5 |
92.1 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lucy Loshnowsky |
10.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
5.2 |
8.7 |
15.1 |
21.2 |
21.2 |
13.5 |
6.7 |
3.3 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Samantha Jones |
12.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
3.0 |
6.5 |
11.1 |
18.8 |
22.1 |
16.9 |
10.5 |
5.6 |
2.3 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Lauren Driscoll |
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
3.2 |
6.6 |
13.7 |
21.2 |
20.7 |
16.6 |
8.6 |
4.8 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
| Aubrey McClain |
20.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.3 |
5.5 |
9.5 |
15.7 |
24.2 |
21.7 |
13.8 |
6.0 |
0.6 |
|
