Manchester
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #93
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #24
Culver Academies Regional Rank #6
Manchester Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Rochester Invitational Warsaw Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/21 8/24 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 864 968 843 860 902 904 827 893 913 858
Team Adjusted Rating 877 843 860 902 904 827 893 913 858
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Rochester Invitational Warsaw Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
323  Kadence Fox 9 20:52 20:57 20:26 20:46 21:10 21:07 20:39 21:03 20:42 20:56 20:55
385  Ayla Cashdollar 9 21:09 21:14 20:20 20:47 21:04 21:14 21:22 21:13 21:07 21:21
590  Josie Briner 11 21:44 21:31 21:11 21:48 22:18 21:35 21:42 21:29 21:59 21:49
998  Kambree Cashdollar 12 22:41 24:11 22:37 22:10 22:38 21:52 22:51 23:08 22:40
Evyn Fox 10 23:45 24:05 23:59 24:20 24:10 24:55 24:26 24:10 24:07 23:21
Miriam Struble-Hedstrom 10 24:16 24:30 24:26 24:19 26:36 24:01 24:13 24:56 23:51
Paulie Martin 10 24:29 26:04 24:18 25:32 24:26 24:34 24:36 24:36 24:04
Ainsley West 12 24:58 24:24 23:49 24:43 24:51 24:55 25:16 24:56 28:00
Gracie Dale 10 25:22 24:48 26:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.9 150 0.2 12.7 21.2 31.6 34.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.0 108 0.1 99.9 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kadence Fox 97.5% 65.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.5% 97.5%
Ayla Cashdollar 76.4% 79.3 76.4% 76.4%
Josie Briner 4.2% 103.2 4.2% 4.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kadence Fox 100% 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.5 4.1 4.9 6.1 6.5 6.7 7.5 7.9 9.4 8.5 8.0 7.1 5.8 4.4 3.3 2.0 1.7 100.0%
Ayla Cashdollar 100% 21.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.7 2.4 2.8 3.7 4.6 5.6 7.3 9.1 9.1 9.9 9.4 8.0 6.7 100.0%
Josie Briner 100% 30.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.4 100.0%
Kambree Cashdollar 100% 44.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kadence Fox 11.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.1 5.5 8.6 8.9 9.0 10.7 12.4 13.7 10.9 7.4 4.6 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
Ayla Cashdollar 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.3 3.3 4.5 6.6 10.4 13.6 16.1 14.9 12.9 7.6 3.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Josie Briner 19.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.2 6.7 13.1 18.0 19.5 16.9 12.9 5.7 1.6 0.4
Kambree Cashdollar 26.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 4.3 11.0 13.0