Northridge
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #22
New Haven Semi-State Rank #6
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 19th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Huntington Invitational Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Minutemen Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NIC / NLC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/15 8/21 8/28 8/31 9/11 9/14 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 386 580 338 370 637 396 419 483 423 458 420 351 393
Team Adjusted Rating 422 338 370 478 396 396 483 423 458 420 351 393
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Huntington Invitational Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Minutemen Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NIC / NLC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
69  Tame Baylis 11 19:32 20:01 19:37 19:28 19:54 19:50 20:17 19:47 19:40 19:41 19:31 19:24
88  Haylee Hile 11 19:42 19:57 18:58 19:28 20:43 19:42 19:32 19:38 19:46 20:30 19:50 19:31 19:39
148  Clare Ritchie 12 20:04 20:10 20:25 20:47 20:17 20:03 20:33 20:19 20:05 20:07 19:53 20:11
265  Emma Long 11 20:38 20:59 20:43 20:32 20:49 20:29 20:41 20:44 20:31 20:34 20:32 20:29 20:48
524  Kylie McMann 11 21:35 21:19 21:00 21:22 22:48 22:02 22:52 22:04 21:23 21:33
650  Delaney Lopez Martinez 12 21:55 22:13 22:10 21:43 22:04
687  Ella Hoefer 12 22:00 21:57 22:00 21:30 21:58 22:42 22:01 22:14 21:51
706  Delaney Lopez 12 22:04 21:55 22:10 22:04 21:56 22:08 22:24 21:54
807  Kennedy Troyer 10 22:18 22:51 21:57 22:11 22:08 22:19 22:16 22:34
1,058  Isabella Furfaro 9 22:48 22:57 23:07 23:19 22:48 22:31 23:02 22:12
1,133  Hayley Troyer 12 22:58 23:37 22:28 22:44 22:38 22:46 23:12 23:33
1,313  Izzy Snyder 9 23:21 23:32 23:05 22:51 23:47
Gretchen Ludwig 9 24:38 24:27 25:26 24:25 24:23 25:01 25:29 23:32
Karsyn Smaka 11 25:11 24:03 26:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 18.8 439 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.1 3.1 4.8 7.3 10.0 12.2 13.6 13.2 12.2 11.0 6.4 1.4
Semi-State 100% 6.4 175 0.1 0.3 1.0 4.2 12.2 39.5 26.5 12.4 3.7 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.9 50 13.1 86.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 26 100.0 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tame Baylis 100% 65.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 91.7%
Haylee Hile 100% 83.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 79.7%
Clare Ritchie 100% 119.3 29.8%
Emma Long 100% 154.7 0.5%
Kylie McMann 100% 187.1 0.0%
Delaney Lopez Martinez 100% 196.5 0.0%
Ella Hoefer 100% 198.1 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tame Baylis 100% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.6 4.9 5.5 6.1 6.9 7.7 6.9 6.9 6.5 5.2 5.3 4.5 3.9 3.7 2.8 2.5 2.2 100.0%
Haylee Hile 100% 19.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.1 3.4 3.8 4.7 4.8 5.4 5.7 6.3 6.1 5.5 5.9 5.6 4.9 4.8 3.9 100.0%
Clare Ritchie 100% 31.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.6 2.4 2.5 2.9 3.4 3.6 100.0%
Emma Long 100% 55.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kylie McMann 100% 98.9 89.2%
Delaney Lopez Martinez 100% 117.2 54.7%
Ella Hoefer 100% 121.5 43.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tame Baylis 100% 2.8 2.4 18.8 36.1 21.6 11.0 5.9 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Haylee Hile 100% 4.0 0.5 5.7 16.9 27.3 19.6 14.1 9.5 4.4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Clare Ritchie 100% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.8 9.6 14.1 17.4 21.7 17.0 9.0 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Emma Long 100% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 5.0 10.4 14.6 16.9 15.6 13.4 8.9 5.4 3.2 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kylie McMann 100% 25.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.8 2.7 3.5 4.4 5.1 6.3 6.2 6.2 7.3 100.0%
Delaney Lopez Martinez 100% 32.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.3 100.0%
Ella Hoefer 100% 33.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tame Baylis 1.0 73.0 23.8 2.8 0.3 0.0
Haylee Hile 1.4 23.8 61.8 11.4 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Clare Ritchie 2.9 0.6 6.3 50.4 25.3 11.7 4.3 1.2 0.2 0.0
Emma Long 6.3 0.5 6.4 13.5 21.4 25.5 25.3 5.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Kylie McMann 12.4 0.0 0.7 7.2 10.6 12.1 13.8 15.4 15.0 11.4 7.6 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Delaney Lopez Martinez 15.8 0.4 1.3 2.3 3.7 5.5 9.7 13.3 16.4 16.9 15.1 9.5 4.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1
Ella Hoefer 16.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.9 3.3 5.8 10.3 13.5 17.8 19.0 14.6 8.2 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1