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2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #56
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #13
Chesterton Regional Rank #4
New Prairie Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 649 565 602 684 655 763 668 549 725 648 655
Team Adjusted Rating 565 568 684 655 763 668 549 725 648 655
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
357  Soraya Loubriel 12 21:04 21:00 21:25 20:59 20:42 21:39 21:10 21:04 21:02 20:50 21:05
393  Amanda Purnick 12 21:10 20:15 20:32 21:21 20:49 21:12 21:05 20:42 21:58 21:33 21:29
400  Briana Krapf 9 21:12 21:49 21:44 21:34 21:44 21:00 20:12 21:04 21:00 21:20
467  Hannah Walsh 10 21:26 21:02 20:44 21:38 21:38 21:35 21:39 21:18 21:44 21:19 21:16
592  Alannah Sweeney 9 21:44 21:56 21:47 22:02 21:59 22:34 22:02 21:35 22:04 21:54 21:32
626  Jocelyn Martinez 9 21:50 21:01 21:24 21:28 22:20 22:02 22:04
1,034  Allayna Gue 11 22:46 23:02 22:04 23:15 22:12 23:08 22:35 22:27 22:49 23:19
1,096  Haylee Chavez 12 22:53 22:57 22:39 22:22 22:43 22:54 25:51
1,115  Lisa Lopez 11 22:56 22:47 23:08 22:49 22:41 23:28 22:46 23:00
1,250  Kayla Pleasant 9 23:13 23:13 23:05 22:32 23:27 23:19 22:55 24:07
Elena Chavez 11 24:02 23:54 25:05 24:02 23:49 24:24 23:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 13.1 338 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 5.2 9.9 16.6 24.0 22.6 9.6 4.0 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2
Regionals 100% 4.7 146 0.0 43.6 43.1 13.1 0.2
Sectionals 100% 4.0 118 0.1 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Soraya Loubriel 100% 76.7 0.0 97.9%
Amanda Purnick 100% 82.6 0.0 95.4%
Briana Krapf 100% 84.2 94.0%
Hannah Walsh 100% 97.8 80.0%
Alannah Sweeney 100% 116.3 45.3%
Jocelyn Martinez 100% 122.6 31.8%
Allayna Gue 100% 154.1 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Soraya Loubriel 100% 26.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 3.0 4.1 6.1 8.1 9.8 100.0%
Amanda Purnick 100% 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.6 5.3 6.7 100.0%
Briana Krapf 100% 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.9 3.0 4.2 6.3 100.0%
Hannah Walsh 100% 32.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.3 100.0%
Alannah Sweeney 100% 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Jocelyn Martinez 100% 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Allayna Gue 100% 52.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Soraya Loubriel 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.2 2.3 6.6 11.9 15.3 16.7 13.8 9.9 7.5 5.0 3.4
Amanda Purnick 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.9 6.4 10.5 13.7 14.8 12.9 10.4 8.7 6.3
Briana Krapf 21.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.7 5.6 8.9 12.1 13.6 13.6 11.9 9.2 6.6
Hannah Walsh 24.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.8 5.4 8.0 10.6 11.7 11.4
Alannah Sweeney 28.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.5 5.0
Jocelyn Martinez 30.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.7
Allayna Gue 33.5