Rochester
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #50
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #12
Culver Academies Regional Rank #3
Manchester Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Rochester Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/21 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 607 1,200 952 1,234 691 772 624 624 558
Team Adjusted Rating 565 642 593 691 658 624 624 558
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Rochester Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
111  Madilyn Calloway 12 19:49 20:26 20:22 20:01 20:15 19:38 20:05
187  Zoe Seward 11 20:18 20:04 20:47 20:46 20:30 20:33 20:32 20:19 20:06
494  Lucy Rangel 9 21:30 21:53 21:21 21:30 21:35 21:21 21:41 21:19
628  Araceli Ochoa 11 21:50 22:03 21:52 21:55 21:45 21:39
752  McKendyll Bradley 11 22:10 21:38 22:30 21:57 22:45 22:28 22:14 22:05 21:58
1,061  Elena Bode 12 22:49 23:06 23:28 22:57 23:44 23:23 22:53 23:11 22:36
1,146  Madison Heinzmann 11 23:00 24:46 24:19 23:36 23:34 23:26 23:44 24:01 23:26 22:47
Greta Barbieri 11 29:20 28:58 30:05 29:31 28:50




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 11.6 309 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.1 8.4 12.5 17.6 21.8 18.1 11.1 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.7 100 34.1 64.1 1.7 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.6 70 0.0 39.4 60.6 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madilyn Calloway 63.7% 88.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 63.7% 63.7%
Zoe Seward 6.1% 118.0 6.1% 6.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madilyn Calloway 100% 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.8 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.3 3.6 3.9 3.5 3.3 100.0%
Zoe Seward 100% 35.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.3 99.9%
Lucy Rangel 100% 101.5 20.9%
Araceli Ochoa 100% 122.2 2.5%
McKendyll Bradley 100% 136.7 0.2%
Elena Bode 100% 155.8 0.0%
Madison Heinzmann 100% 160.8 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madilyn Calloway 100% 4.5 0.7 3.0 8.7 26.3 23.0 19.1 12.8 4.2 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Zoe Seward 100% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.4 8.0 14.8 24.9 16.9 10.5 6.5 4.7 3.1 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lucy Rangel 100% 26.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.3 3.3 4.3 5.5 7.7 8.0 100.0%
Araceli Ochoa 100% 32.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.8 100.0%
McKendyll Bradley 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Elena Bode 100% 47.6 100.0%
Madison Heinzmann 100% 51.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madilyn Calloway 2.1 8.8 37.4 28.7 18.2 4.9 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Zoe Seward 4.9 0.1 1.2 6.8 15.8 28.4 19.4 11.1 6.4 3.9 2.7 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lucy Rangel 17.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 2.2 3.6 6.2 10.7 15.5 22.3 17.7 11.1 5.7 2.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Araceli Ochoa 20.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.4 6.4 13.8 19.5 22.1 22.0 7.7 2.3 0.7
McKendyll Bradley 22.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.9 4.1 8.6 18.4 34.5 15.6 8.0
Elena Bode 28.2 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.4 8.2
Madison Heinzmann 30.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7