All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Boonville Invitational |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Alan Hopewell Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
South Knox Invitational |
Barr-Reeve Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Blue Chip Conference |
South Knox Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/21 |
8/28 |
9/2 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/21 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
616 |
797 |
700 |
743 |
711 |
559 |
601 |
639 |
607 |
635 |
656 |
618 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
738 |
700 |
743 |
711 |
559 |
601 |
588 |
607 |
635 |
656 |
618 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Boonville Invitational |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Alan Hopewell Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
South Knox Invitational |
Barr-Reeve Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Blue Chip Conference |
South Knox Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 151 |
Ava Like |
11 |
20:05 |
20:35 |
20:37 |
20:41 |
20:21 |
20:24 |
20:15 |
20:24 |
20:38 |
20:22 |
20:21 |
19:54 |
20:07 |
| 271 |
Aubrey Nowaskie |
10 |
20:39 |
22:30 |
21:54 |
21:11 |
21:33 |
20:28 |
20:26 |
20:35 |
19:54 |
21:03 |
21:01 |
20:27 |
|
| 502 |
Peyton Robbins |
11 |
21:32 |
21:36 |
21:51 |
21:47 |
21:27 |
21:30 |
21:14 |
21:00 |
21:35 |
21:49 |
21:22 |
21:49 |
|
| 516 |
Abby Cunningham |
10 |
21:34 |
|
21:29 |
22:13 |
21:58 |
20:51 |
21:35 |
|
21:26 |
21:09 |
21:54 |
21:31 |
|
| 719 |
Macie Couchenour |
12 |
22:06 |
21:52 |
21:36 |
22:30 |
22:16 |
21:51 |
22:13 |
22:02 |
22:09 |
21:57 |
22:02 |
22:24 |
|
| 846 |
Ella Like |
9 |
22:23 |
22:33 |
22:08 |
22:17 |
22:58 |
23:08 |
22:40 |
22:24 |
22:54 |
22:13 |
22:31 |
22:10 |
|
|
Addelyn Kehl |
9 |
24:22 |
22:47 |
23:29 |
23:30 |
|
|
24:23 |
26:26 |
25:48 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
9.1 |
283 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
2.4 |
24.7 |
47.4 |
14.6 |
6.1 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
66 |
5.6 |
92.1 |
2.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
51 |
6.7 |
93.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ava Like |
23.9% |
106.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23.9% |
23.9% |
| Aubrey Nowaskie |
0.2% |
139.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
0.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ava Like |
100% |
34.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Aubrey Nowaskie |
100% |
51.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Peyton Robbins |
100% |
88.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
86.7% |
| Abby Cunningham |
100% |
90.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
83.7% |
| Macie Couchenour |
100% |
115.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.3% |
| Ella Like |
100% |
126.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ava Like |
100% |
5.5 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
3.6 |
14.1 |
64.4 |
14.1 |
2.4 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Aubrey Nowaskie |
100% |
7.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.4 |
24.5 |
33.3 |
22.4 |
10.5 |
4.1 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Peyton Robbins |
100% |
18.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
7.3 |
7.1 |
7.5 |
7.1 |
7.3 |
6.5 |
5.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Abby Cunningham |
100% |
19.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
5.0 |
5.2 |
5.8 |
6.8 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
7.4 |
6.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Macie Couchenour |
100% |
28.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
5.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Ella Like |
100% |
33.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ava Like |
3.5 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
2.6 |
92.1 |
4.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aubrey Nowaskie |
4.9 |
|
|
|
1.4 |
56.6 |
31.4 |
7.4 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Peyton Robbins |
11.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.7 |
4.2 |
7.1 |
9.1 |
10.3 |
11.7 |
13.8 |
14.8 |
13.7 |
9.1 |
3.5 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Abby Cunningham |
11.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
3.3 |
6.1 |
8.0 |
9.1 |
10.9 |
13.0 |
14.9 |
15.3 |
11.8 |
4.5 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Macie Couchenour |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
4.1 |
9.6 |
19.0 |
15.7 |
13.1 |
9.2 |
7.4 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
| Ella Like |
20.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
4.4 |
8.5 |
9.5 |
9.3 |
9.3 |
9.3 |
9.4 |
8.6 |
7.7 |
6.9 |
|
