Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #11
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #2
Chesterton Regional Rank #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 14th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 5.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 34.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Rudy Skorupa Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 253 385 281 197 242 984 271 283 295 384 281
Team Adjusted Rating 280 255 197 242 253 258 256 259 294 247
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Rudy Skorupa Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
10  Kaylie Politza 12 18:26 18:07 17:54 17:56 18:56 18:05 18:41 19:03 18:45
95  Cheyanne Stock 11 19:44 20:10 19:32 19:35 19:52 19:40
140  Anika Anderson 10 20:00 20:43 19:51 19:47 20:00
145  Libby Ehrhardt 10 20:02 20:17 20:23 20:08 20:28 20:20 20:43 21:07 19:54
181  Lillian Maldia 12 20:14 20:33 20:31 19:45 20:46 20:11 20:06 20:28 20:06 20:07
192  Brooke Byvoets 10 20:19 20:21 20:19 19:46 20:09 20:06 20:38 20:49 20:19
205  Grace Thomas 11 20:23 20:19 20:17 19:33 20:22 20:52 20:15 20:29 20:52 20:17
243  Noelle Gapinski 10 20:31 21:37 20:46 20:14 21:03 20:49 20:21 20:42 20:22
404  Angela Coulopoulos 10 21:13 22:47 20:56 21:01 20:30 21:29 21:10 21:27
455  Ani Gilliana 9 21:23 21:01 21:22 21:46
459  Abigail Artherhults 12 21:25 21:40 21:45 21:02 21:13 21:29
497  Aubree Foreman 12 21:30 20:32 21:51 22:24 21:17 21:31
499  Becca Cavanaugh 10 21:31 21:35 21:07 21:15 21:32 22:11
545  Meredith Isley 9 21:37 21:10 21:56 21:15 21:42 22:00
652  Rue Harter 10 21:55 22:21 21:40 21:37 21:51 22:18
874  Maddie Braming 12 22:26 23:12 22:55 22:25 22:07 22:11 22:20
876  Olympia Berbesque 11 22:26 21:48 22:36 22:20 22:19 22:47 22:33
907  Allie Wheeler 10 22:30 24:26 22:11 22:28 22:10 22:54 22:19
996  Izzy Amendola 9 22:41 23:18 22:53 22:46 22:32 22:25 22:35
1,021  Bella Beach 10 22:44 23:15 22:38 22:50 22:22 22:40
1,083  Lucy Moye 9 22:51 23:39 23:15 22:37 22:28
1,173  Jorie Irving 10 23:04 21:41 23:24 23:31 22:47 23:18
1,201  Abby Sedevic 9 23:07 22:58 23:03 22:52 23:21 23:24
Audrey Dillabaugh 9 23:38 25:04 23:19 23:29
Ella Wagner 12 24:02 24:47 23:51 24:09 23:27 24:05 24:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 11.9 323 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.6 3.6 4.6 5.3 7.0 8.9 9.5 10.3 10.3 10.5 8.5 7.2 4.7 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.0 87 11.5 81.8 5.7 0.9 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.9 51 13.1 86.7 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.8 45 15.7 84.1 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaylie Politza 100% 10.3 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.8 4.4 6.2 7.7 7.7 8.3 8.6 7.7 7.1 6.2 5.8 4.8 4.2 3.5 2.8 2.1 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 100.0%
Cheyanne Stock 100% 86.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.8%
Libby Ehrhardt 100% 117.0 27.7%
Lillian Maldia 100% 132.1 9.3%
Brooke Byvoets 100% 138.0 5.1%
Grace Thomas 100% 141.8 3.2%
Noelle Gapinski 100% 149.1 0.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaylie Politza 100% 2.0 12.9 35.7 36.0 12.3 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Cheyanne Stock 100% 15.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 3.7 4.5 6.0 6.6 6.1 6.1 6.5 6.0 5.3 5.4 5.1 4.5 4.4 3.7 3.2 3.0 2.4 2.5 100.0%
Libby Ehrhardt 100% 25.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.9 4.0 3.9 4.3 4.7 4.5 4.4 100.0%
Lillian Maldia 100% 33.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.9 100.0%
Brooke Byvoets 100% 37.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.9 2.0 100.0%
Grace Thomas 100% 39.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 100.0%
Noelle Gapinski 100% 46.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaylie Politza 100% 1.1 46.0 40.1 11.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Cheyanne Stock 100% 7.7 0.0 0.1 1.8 10.5 14.2 14.9 12.4 12.3 11.6 9.3 6.7 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Libby Ehrhardt 100% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.3 5.7 7.0 9.2 11.6 13.6 13.7 10.9 8.4 5.2 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Lillian Maldia 100% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.3 3.3 5.1 7.8 9.9 12.2 13.1 12.7 9.9 7.8 5.2 3.5 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Brooke Byvoets 100% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.7 4.5 7.2 9.4 11.1 12.7 11.7 10.8 9.2 6.3 4.2 2.5 1.7 1.1 0.6 100.0%
Grace Thomas 100% 16.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.8 3.1 5.2 7.2 9.5 11.7 12.2 11.8 10.5 7.9 6.2 3.9 3.1 1.5 0.9 100.0%
Noelle Gapinski 100% 18.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.7 2.9 4.9 6.9 9.5 11.8 12.7 12.0 10.8 8.0 6.1 4.6 2.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaylie Politza 1.1 45.7 39.8 12.4 1.9 0.2 0.0
Cheyanne Stock 7.2 0.2 2.0 10.9 16.6 17.0 14.0 13.8 15.3 7.4 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Libby Ehrhardt 10.4 0.1 0.7 2.7 5.1 8.5 9.5 14.7 23.4 17.7 9.7 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lillian Maldia 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.9 6.1 11.5 19.8 20.4 15.7 10.5 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brooke Byvoets 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.4 7.3 13.4 19.0 19.6 16.4 10.5 4.2 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Grace Thomas 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.1 4.7 9.7 14.7 19.8 19.9 15.0 7.3 2.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Noelle Gapinski 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.5 3.3 7.2 13.0 19.9 25.2 14.7 6.9 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0