Warren Central
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #89
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #31
Rushville Regional Rank #7
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Arabian Round Up Brownsburg Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Wildcat Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/25 9/4 9/8 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 846 862 838 971 843 904 885 878 867 869 1,130
Team Adjusted Rating 862 838 971 843 885 804 870 867 869 1,130
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Arabian Round Up Brownsburg Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Wildcat Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
474  Sierra Espinoza 11 21:27 21:27 21:29 23:28 21:16 21:44 21:44 20:57 20:59 21:30 23:44
526  Madelin Nouel 9 21:35 22:35 22:54 21:58 22:36 22:13 22:24 22:23 21:53 21:23
617  Brianna Wilkerson 12 21:48 21:49 21:53 22:08 21:50 21:31 21:47 21:40 21:33 21:50 22:07
792  Makayla Coburn 12 22:16 21:55 21:49 22:52 21:56 22:15 21:56 22:28 22:10 22:16 23:38
1,053  Issy Goolsby 12 22:48 22:24 22:02 22:31 22:12 22:56 23:12 22:45 24:16
1,082  Jacqueline Hartman 10 22:51 23:18 22:34 22:29 22:46 23:07 22:10 24:08
Aasha Watkins 11 23:41 23:18 23:30 23:58 23:59 22:55 23:57 23:46
Vianney Gonzalez 12 24:05 23:25 24:41 23:48 23:56 24:25 24:04 23:47 24:17 24:16
Skye Romero 12 24:31 25:56 24:14 25:12 24:42 24:06




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 19.7 548 0.1 0.4 31.8 67.7
Regionals 100% 5.1 142 0.3 30.8 36.9 27.5 4.3 0.2
Sectionals 100% 4.5 111 0.0 0.4 54.1 45.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sierra Espinoza 100% 124.2 96.9%
Madelin Nouel 100% 129.7 92.8%
Brianna Wilkerson 100% 139.7 77.8%
Makayla Coburn 100% 157.0 25.2%
Issy Goolsby 100% 168.1 0.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sierra Espinoza 100% 23.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.8 4.1 6.1 9.0 12.5 14.6 15.1 100.0%
Madelin Nouel 100% 25.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.9 3.2 5.1 8.2 12.0 15.1 100.0%
Brianna Wilkerson 100% 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.8 3.9 6.5 100.0%
Makayla Coburn 100% 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Issy Goolsby 100% 46.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sierra Espinoza 16.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.7 3.0 5.1 9.6 15.6 22.9 19.1 11.8 5.9 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1
Madelin Nouel 17.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.8 5.2 9.7 16.8 21.5 18.9 12.4 6.0 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.3
Brianna Wilkerson 19.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.7 10.8 19.4 22.6 18.8 10.1 4.7 2.3 1.4
Makayla Coburn 23.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 7.9 14.9 14.5 12.3 10.3
Issy Goolsby 31.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.5