Adams
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #64
New Haven Semi-State Rank #16
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #4
Riley Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 13th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 84.3%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Caston Invitational Minuteman Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/1 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 708 645 635 670 803 700 780 818 809 824 818 877
Team Adjusted Rating 620 583 619 657 645 682 698 739 749 737 793
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Caston Invitational Minuteman Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
154  Lexi Lawwill 12 20:06 20:44 20:06 19:45 19:52 19:50 19:58 19:46 20:13 20:10 20:16 20:24 20:28
491  Jillian Kaufman 10 21:25 23:00 21:25
533  Emily Shepard 10 21:31 22:33 20:42 20:49 20:42 21:10 21:02 21:41 22:13 21:51 22:10
724  Cecilia Frazee 12 22:03 23:06 21:42 21:47 21:53 22:19 22:03 22:16 21:59 21:52 22:35
834  Trinity Breathitt 10 22:21 22:26 22:29 22:17 22:08 22:52 22:03 22:13 22:18 22:35 22:18 22:32 22:21
920  Delaney Packard 12 22:32 22:26 22:28 22:19 22:02 22:20 22:15 22:40 22:28 22:54 22:46 22:49
1,033  Sofia Frazee 12 22:46 22:29 21:41 21:33 23:21 23:38 22:34 22:00 22:09 23:26 22:51 22:53 24:17
1,099  Rose Kelly 9 22:55 22:48 22:17 23:03 22:51 22:46 22:51 23:02 22:41 23:11 23:37
1,169  Olivia Purcell 11 23:03 22:20 22:50 23:05 23:32 22:28 23:31 22:38 23:34
Elanor Hasler 12 23:46 23:51 23:59 23:41 23:56 23:33
Addison Skube 12 24:15 24:02 24:14 26:21 24:03 24:57 23:43 23:57 24:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 84.3% 12.6 378 5.8 9.5 12.1 13.1 13.7 12.3 9.8 5.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 4.3 140 31.9 29.4 22.9 13.0 2.3 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.8 86 42.2 36.0 21.8 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Lawwill 29.8% 106.7 29.8% 29.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Lawwill 100% 33.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.3 3.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jillian Kaufman 85.6% 102.1 8.5% 37.8%
Emily Shepard 84.6% 107.7 2.4% 25.3%
Cecilia Frazee 84.3% 134.6 0.0% 0.7%
Trinity Breathitt 84.3% 144.0 0.0% 0.0%
Delaney Packard 84.3% 148.4 0.0% 0.0%
Sofia Frazee 84.3% 153.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Lawwill 100% 8.6 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.4 6.2 13.3 15.3 14.7 12.7 10.4 7.1 5.4 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jillian Kaufman 100% 28.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.2 2.9 3.0 4.3 4.8 5.1 100.0%
Emily Shepard 100% 31.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.5 3.3 3.2 100.0%
Cecilia Frazee 100% 42.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Trinity Breathitt 100% 49.5 0.0 100.0%
Delaney Packard 100% 54.3 100.0%
Sofia Frazee 100% 60.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Lawwill 4.9 0.0 2.8 5.5 19.7 24.8 18.0 12.6 8.9 4.5 2.2 0.9 0.0 0.0
Jillian Kaufman 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 7.8 12.5 14.1 14.7 14.3 13.2 8.7 5.2 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
Emily Shepard 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 4.0 7.5 9.8 13.5 14.9 14.8 12.7 8.7 5.7 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.3
Cecilia Frazee 22.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.3 7.4 9.7 10.7 11.0 11.1 11.8 10.0
Trinity Breathitt 26.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.2 4.1 6.1 7.7 9.5
Delaney Packard 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.2 2.1 3.5 5.0
Sofia Frazee 31.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0