Carmel
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #5
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #3
Noblesville Regional Rank #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 3.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 71.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.1%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 99.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Zionsville Early Bird Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/14 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 209 531 214 194 287 207 222 361 209 360 217 198 207
Team Adjusted Rating 209 203 188 207 200 207 225 209 232 217 198 207
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Zionsville Early Bird Invitational Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
25  Jasmine Klopstad 12 18:52 18:24 18:56 18:50 18:42 18:48 18:47 18:55 18:58 19:03
79  Olivia Mundt 10 19:37 19:07 20:01 19:40 19:40 19:39 19:47 19:29
81  Sadie Foley 9 19:38 20:40 19:58 19:42 19:33 19:50 19:42 19:47 19:27 19:37
83  Audrey Ricketts 11 19:39 21:12 19:35 19:28 19:48 19:37 21:02 19:41 19:29 19:44
99  Emersyn Weaver 11 19:47 20:32 20:55 19:36 20:01 19:52 20:13 19:23 20:18 19:37 20:59
101  Kara Wenzler 11 19:48 20:45 19:45 19:31 19:41 19:38 20:01 20:04 19:50 19:51
102  Charlotte Konow 10 19:48 19:36 19:34 19:46 19:44 20:08 20:06 19:43 19:47 19:41
161  Ella Gaddis 10 20:09 20:22 19:53 20:13 19:40 20:05 20:10 20:23 20:20
174  Raya Chauhan 10 20:12 19:30 20:17 20:14 19:59 20:26
210  Kaitlyn Oshimura 9 20:24 20:18 21:04 19:55 20:01 20:22 20:36 20:35
217  Nola Elling 10 20:25 21:12 20:19 20:17 20:24 20:28 20:22 20:19 20:44 20:26
232  Katy Dascoli 10 20:29 21:26 21:07 20:39 20:30 21:14 20:12 20:21 20:25 20:23
311  Ellie Smith 9 20:48 20:34 20:51 20:45 20:19 20:49 20:48 21:02 21:07 20:40
358  Veronica Strzynski 10 21:01 22:22 20:47 20:54 20:44 20:53 20:39 20:42 20:54 22:06 22:20
424  Savannah Paulson 12 21:15 22:33 21:14 21:23 21:07 20:52 21:34 21:21 21:15
432  Madeline Weisner 11 21:17 21:22 21:16 21:32 21:18 21:03 21:26
452  Liesel Schmidt 11 21:19 21:24 21:19
508  Arden Finley 9 21:28 21:01 21:31 21:55 21:27 21:27 21:23 21:31
520  Andrea Bendaly 10 21:29 22:11 21:03 22:01 21:11 21:36 21:26 21:53 21:24 21:29
588  Christina McCollum 12 21:40 21:05 21:13 21:07 21:10 21:44 22:01 21:48 22:03
620  Maddie Cox 9 21:47 21:49 21:34 22:15 21:37 21:36 21:46 21:31 22:27
626  Brianna Roper 10 21:48 22:33 21:51 22:04 21:42 21:47 21:42 21:51 21:29
710  Cara Naas 11 22:02 20:18 21:36 22:29
778  Emma Kistler 9 22:13 22:24 21:47 22:00 21:56 22:00 21:44 22:53 23:09
797  Sophia Hudak 12 22:15 21:16 21:13 22:19 22:09 21:53 23:02 22:12 22:44 22:08
882  Elena Harrie 11 22:27 23:32 22:12 22:28 22:26 22:12 22:17 22:30 23:00
937  Lilliana Cate 9 22:34 22:43 22:04 22:40 22:53 23:11 22:24 22:24
1,044  Darshini Shankar 12 22:48 21:50 22:23 22:21 22:21 23:24 22:54 23:09
1,058  Gina Kong 9 22:50 22:22 22:56 23:01 22:43 23:04
1,098  Ella Ondrejko 10 22:55 22:55 22:42 22:52 22:59 22:46 22:39 23:02 23:29
1,123  Audrey Nace 10 22:57 22:30 22:21 23:26 23:04 22:57 22:45 22:56 22:53 23:19
1,137  Eva Marsden 9 22:59 22:20 22:47 23:22 23:17 22:51 23:06
1,164  Sadee Paulson 12 23:02 23:24 23:13 22:57
1,187  Ashlyn Neuhoff 9 23:06 22:45 23:11 22:58 23:20
1,200  Keeley Rohrer 10 23:08 23:23 22:36 23:30 22:49 23:01 23:06 22:55 23:25 23:33
1,206  Melinda Yong 11 23:09 23:11 22:47 23:12 23:24 23:06
1,207  Ava Hill 9 23:09 23:12 23:07
1,255  Evelyn Walquist 10 23:17 21:53 22:48 23:39 23:26 23:28 23:21 23:06
1,270  Ellie York 12 23:19 23:54 23:29 27:07 23:41 22:54 23:23 22:49 23:01
1,329  Madelyn Putman 10 23:26 23:20 22:25 24:41 23:28 23:02 23:23 23:30 23:36
Sonya Schuster 11 23:36 23:36 23:42 23:32 23:18 23:44 23:46
MacIe Delillo 12 23:47 24:09 23:58 23:40 24:27 23:37 23:21 23:40 24:02
Zoe Devine 9 23:49 24:06 23:26 23:50 23:41 23:46 24:07
Chenyao Liu 11 23:49 22:00 24:29 24:41 23:00 23:23 24:32 23:35 23:47
Regan Murphy 9 23:56 24:05 23:24 23:56 24:04 23:14 24:09 24:25
Kaitlin Langland 12 24:13 22:52 23:46 24:02 23:59 24:18 24:43 25:25 24:09 23:49
Lydia Teeter 10 24:14 23:03 24:23 24:20 24:05 24:03 24:29 24:35
Jacqueline Roth 12 24:15 23:42 23:25 24:47 23:14 25:04 23:59 25:02 24:09
Emma Imler 10 24:17 23:39 23:41 24:17 24:39 24:05 24:27 24:00 24:44
Becca Howard 10 24:25 23:09 23:36 23:49 24:27 23:41 24:53 24:34 25:19
Kate Naas 10 24:32 23:39 23:00 23:14 23:29 23:50 24:46 25:16 26:24 25:03
Esther Young 9 24:33 23:35 24:32 25:28 24:50 24:21
Piper Elling 12 25:52 23:52 25:08 23:46 25:49 27:25 26:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 4.7 209 3.1 9.8 18.8 22.9 17.2 10.7 6.3 4.2 2.6 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 99.9% 2.7 113 4.7 32.7 51.9 8.9 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.6 99 4.3 31.6 60.4 3.2 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 53 5.7 91.4 2.7 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 99.9% 26.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.2 4.3 4.6 4.1 20.0% 83.0%
Olivia Mundt 99.9% 74.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 5.7%
Sadie Foley 99.9% 75.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 4.9%
Audrey Ricketts 99.9% 77.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 4.3%
Emersyn Weaver 99.9% 90.7 0.0 0.0% 1.6%
Kara Wenzler 99.9% 92.0 0.0 0.0% 1.3%
Charlotte Konow 99.9% 92.1 0.0 0.0% 1.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 10.5 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.9 7.4 9.4 10.7 10.3 10.7 8.8 7.3 5.8 5.3 4.2 3.1 2.5 1.8 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100.0% 32.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.1 50.0% 99.3%
Sadie Foley 100.0% 33.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 3.1 3.1 50.0% 98.9%
Audrey Ricketts 100.0% 34.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.9 37.5% 98.7%
Emersyn Weaver 99.9% 41.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.5 12.5% 96.3%
Kara Wenzler 100.0% 41.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 37.5% 95.9%
Charlotte Konow 99.9% 41.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.4 0.0% 95.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 7.3 0.1 0.9 5.9 18.6 19.7 14.1 10.6 8.1 6.0 4.3 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 22.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.9 5.2 6.1 6.8 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.2 100.0%
Sadie Foley 100% 22.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.7 3.0 3.9 4.3 5.1 6.1 6.2 6.9 6.8 7.1 6.7 100.0%
Audrey Ricketts 100% 23.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.7 4.1 5.0 5.5 6.2 6.4 7.3 6.6 7.2 100.0%
Emersyn Weaver 100% 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.7 3.5 4.6 4.9 5.5 6.2 100.0%
Kara Wenzler 100% 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.9 3.6 4.3 4.6 5.8 6.3 100.0%
Charlotte Konow 100% 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.2 5.9 6.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jasmine Klopstad 2.5 2.0 32.8 28.2 12.8 8.4 5.6 4.2 3.1 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Olivia Mundt 11.9 0.4 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.6 6.7 8.5 9.9 10.8 11.8 10.1 8.4 6.7 4.9 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Sadie Foley 12.2 0.4 1.2 1.8 2.4 3.5 4.2 5.5 7.5 9.8 11.4 11.4 10.3 9.1 7.1 6.1 3.9 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Audrey Ricketts 12.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.6 3.7 4.9 7.6 9.0 10.5 11.1 11.0 10.1 8.4 6.9 4.5 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Emersyn Weaver 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 2.2 3.1 4.5 6.0 8.0 10.1 11.3 12.0 12.3 11.2 7.5 4.5 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kara Wenzler 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.3 3.0 4.3 5.6 7.7 8.9 11.3 12.2 12.8 11.8 7.7 4.8 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
Charlotte Konow 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 2.2 2.9 4.2 5.9 7.6 9.4 10.6 12.9 12.8 11.7 8.2 4.8 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1