Cascade
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #170
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #43
Ben Davis Regional Rank #9
Brownsburg Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 46.4%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jeremy Wright Invitational Brownsburg Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational Indiana Crossroads Conference Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/14 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,298 1,232 1,285 1,366 1,336
Team Adjusted Rating 1,387 1,232 1,393 1,285 1,348 1,417 1,336
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jeremy Wright Invitational Brownsburg Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational Indiana Crossroads Conference Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
610  Carly Hicks 12 21:44 22:06 23:46 22:52 23:38 22:40 22:51 23:03 22:43 22:07 22:21 21:32
838  Morgan Buckingham 10 22:22 21:27 21:43 21:58 22:01 22:21 22:23 22:43 22:04 24:16
Courtney Shostrand 11 23:59 24:20 24:07 23:21 24:00 24:12 23:37 23:54 24:25
Maddie Tyler 12 24:33 25:24 23:54 25:20 24:39 23:58 24:47 24:47 24:30
Alyssa Hecht 10 26:09 25:39 23:44 24:53 27:22 28:17
Molly Goff 9 27:04 28:07 28:05 26:50 27:36 26:45 26:40 26:51
Josie Sharp 9 28:12 28:34 27:51 28:18




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 46.4% 9.2 255 0.2 34.8 11.4
Sectionals 100% 5.6 174 0.2 46.2 43.5 10.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carly Hicks 92.7% 139.4 92.7% 92.7%
Morgan Buckingham 15.5% 161.6 15.5% 15.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carly Hicks 100% 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Morgan Buckingham 100% 46.5 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carly Hicks 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 8.6 12.4 17.5 18.2 14.0 10.4 7.0 4.7 2.6
Morgan Buckingham 25.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.4 4.4 6.7 9.5 12.5