All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Kieth Pucket Invite |
Indian Creek Invitational |
Franklin Invitational |
Mustang Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Western Indiana Conference |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Edgewood Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/14 |
8/20 |
8/27 |
8/30 |
9/10 |
9/20 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
385 | |
563 |
419 |
788 |
506 |
424 |
452 |
442 |
351 |
412 |
372 |
438 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
563 |
419 |
500 |
506 |
424 |
350 |
442 |
351 |
412 |
372 |
438 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Kieth Pucket Invite |
Indian Creek Invitational |
Franklin Invitational |
Mustang Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Western Indiana Conference |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Edgewood Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 32 |
Clara Crain |
12 |
19:04 |
19:19 |
18:46 |
18:26 |
|
18:48 |
18:29 |
|
19:13 |
19:16 |
19:05 |
19:27 |
19:48 |
|
| 73 |
Hannah Crain |
9 |
19:34 |
|
19:53 |
19:30 |
19:32 |
19:39 |
19:11 |
20:09 |
19:33 |
19:26 |
19:22 |
20:00 |
19:24 |
20:16 |
| 261 |
Riley Haskett |
11 |
20:36 |
22:01 |
21:25 |
20:51 |
21:22 |
20:55 |
21:12 |
20:46 |
21:04 |
20:41 |
20:45 |
20:15 |
20:33 |
|
| 299 |
Ellie Vagedas |
9 |
20:45 |
|
21:52 |
21:25 |
21:21 |
22:28 |
21:15 |
21:19 |
21:28 |
20:51 |
20:43 |
20:35 |
20:34 |
|
| 495 |
Allison Bland |
9 |
21:26 |
|
22:22 |
21:20 |
21:58 |
21:27 |
21:28 |
21:17 |
21:07 |
20:38 |
21:53 |
21:07 |
22:13 |
|
|
Nayeli Young |
10 |
23:51 |
24:46 |
23:53 |
23:46 |
25:03 |
|
22:49 |
|
23:50 |
23:22 |
24:00 |
24:40 |
|
|
|
Ryleigh Burnett |
9 |
24:03 |
|
27:24 |
25:22 |
24:47 |
26:57 |
23:49 |
23:44 |
24:02 |
23:22 |
24:15 |
23:39 |
23:55 |
|
|
Avery Rayl |
9 |
25:02 |
|
26:23 |
24:13 |
24:46 |
25:20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
71.8% |
19.0 |
439 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
6.7 |
8.9 |
11.4 |
11.1 |
10.1 |
7.4 |
3.8 |
1.3 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
5.8 |
182 |
|
0.2 |
2.3 |
13.5 |
23.6 |
32.3 |
23.4 |
4.1 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.8 |
67 |
0.6 |
22.8 |
74.5 |
2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
52 |
0.7 |
97.0 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Clara Crain |
99.9% |
34.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
99.6% |
99.9% |
| Hannah Crain |
88.2% |
67.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
58.1% |
81.5% |
| Riley Haskett |
71.8% |
149.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.3% |
| Ellie Vagedas |
71.8% |
160.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Allison Bland |
71.8% |
187.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Nayeli Young |
71.8% |
205.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Ryleigh Burnett |
71.8% |
206.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Clara Crain |
100% |
7.9 |
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.3 |
4.8 |
10.5 |
16.3 |
17.5 |
13.9 |
10.7 |
7.7 |
5.1 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Hannah Crain |
100% |
16.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
6.6 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Riley Haskett |
100% |
54.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ellie Vagedas |
100% |
61.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Allison Bland |
100% |
97.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Clara Crain |
100% |
1.5 |
21.8 |
53.2 |
16.0 |
5.5 |
2.1 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Hannah Crain |
100% |
4.6 |
0.1 |
1.9 |
15.6 |
21.1 |
18.5 |
12.5 |
9.3 |
7.3 |
5.1 |
3.7 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Riley Haskett |
100% |
17.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
6.9 |
9.1 |
10.7 |
12.4 |
12.4 |
11.0 |
8.5 |
6.1 |
4.0 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Ellie Vagedas |
100% |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
5.1 |
7.0 |
8.8 |
11.3 |
12.5 |
12.7 |
10.5 |
8.9 |
6.0 |
4.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Allison Bland |
100% |
27.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
3.9 |
6.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Clara Crain |
1.4 |
23.2 |
71.3 |
4.0 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hannah Crain |
2.8 |
0.2 |
2.9 |
56.3 |
15.1 |
10.3 |
7.9 |
3.9 |
2.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Riley Haskett |
12.6 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
4.5 |
7.0 |
10.7 |
13.6 |
16.2 |
16.5 |
12.7 |
7.5 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Ellie Vagedas |
14.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
3.0 |
5.4 |
7.7 |
12.4 |
16.2 |
19.0 |
14.8 |
10.0 |
7.1 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Allison Bland |
18.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.5 |
6.8 |
12.1 |
35.6 |
21.8 |
12.3 |
6.2 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
