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State Rank #141
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #40
Rushville Regional Rank #9
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.2%
Advance to Regional 48.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Richmond Hare and Hound Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational South Dearborn Invitational Hancock County Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/14 8/20 9/7 9/10 9/17 9/20 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,125 1,270 1,237 1,132 1,189 1,325 1,161 1,238 1,110 1,078
Team Adjusted Rating 1,270 1,233 1,132 1,189 1,227 1,161 1,208 1,110 1,078
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Richmond Hare and Hound Invitational CougarPalooza Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational South Dearborn Invitational Hancock County Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
636  Lexie Copeland 10 21:50 22:08 22:00 22:25 22:26 22:28 22:55 22:13 22:24 21:36 21:28 21:53
705  Reagan Crouch 12 22:01 22:52 23:13 22:29 22:26 22:35 22:05 23:05 22:37 22:07 21:39 22:12
1,056  Emaline Capen 11 22:49 24:10 23:26 22:09 23:10 22:19 23:06 22:56 22:26
Kendall Barrett 9 23:33 23:46 23:42 23:48 23:08 24:06 23:07 23:30 23:14 23:56
Emma Bogle 11 24:37 22:38 23:57 24:25 24:29 24:55 24:48 24:45 24:34
Ashlyn Devlin 9 25:14 24:03 24:45 23:53 24:52 24:46 27:43 26:52 26:51
Taylor Cooksey 9 25:59 28:11 25:59 25:12 26:36 25:04 26:06 25:38 26:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.2% 20.0 603 0.2
Regionals 48.0% 7.7 197 0.2 1.9 14.9 28.2 2.8 0.0
Sectionals 100% 5.3 145 18.0 30.0 52.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexie Copeland 88.4% 144.0 88.4% 88.4%
Reagan Crouch 67.5% 151.7 67.4% 67.5%
Emaline Capen 0.7% 168.7 0.6% 0.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexie Copeland 100% 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 2.2 2.9 4.3 5.0 6.5 7.3 7.6 100.0% 100.0%
Reagan Crouch 100% 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.6 4.3 100.0% 100.0%
Emaline Capen 100% 47.7 0.0 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexie Copeland 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.5 4.2 7.4 15.3 13.1 11.6 10.3 8.1 6.4 5.1 4.1 3.3 2.4
Reagan Crouch 20.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.6 6.0 9.2 9.4 8.5 9.8 9.0 9.0 8.1 7.4 6.5
Emaline Capen 29.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.7