Homestead
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #4
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northrop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 1.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 65.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 96.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 194 184 200 247 219 298 209 293 217 212 197
Team Adjusted Rating 184 198 185 211 222 196 199 205 194 187
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
5  Addison Knoblauch 11 17:52 17:29 17:57 17:45 18:14 17:40 18:44 17:43 18:09
44  Elise Peckinpaugh 12 19:14 19:33 19:11 19:17 18:51 19:24 19:08 19:22 19:27 19:17 19:09 19:12
85  Lauren Saddington 11 19:40 19:34 19:27 19:26 19:28 19:39 20:14 19:46 19:39 19:39 19:45 19:35
93  Caterina Perego 9 19:44 19:43 20:10 20:06 19:54 19:56 19:35 19:40 19:38 19:45 19:36
157  Daisy Niezer 9 20:07 20:07
216  Alexis Goebel 10 20:25 19:20 20:13 20:03 20:05 20:24 20:14 20:27 20:26 20:25 20:33 21:10
239  Lydia Shaw 10 20:31 22:04 20:51 21:01 21:41 21:25 21:09 20:58 20:54 20:53 20:22
263  Brier Saddington 9 20:36 20:32 20:50 20:02 20:19 20:19 20:27 20:32 20:39 20:51 21:50
447  Gabrielle Kiess 12 21:18 22:25 21:45 21:39 21:43 21:13 21:08 21:08 20:58 21:25
473  Lindsay McGuire 11 21:22 20:54 21:19 21:26 21:11 21:39 21:35
945  Madelyn Rodgers 9 22:34 22:12 22:24 21:55 22:39 23:12 22:53
1,293  Emily Uhrhammer 12 23:22 23:17 23:26 23:55 23:17 23:17 23:11 23:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100.0% 5.1 220 1.3 5.9 14.7 22.3 21.6 12.8 8.0 5.0 3.3 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.5 76 66.7 21.0 8.3 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 44 89.7 8.3 1.6 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 38 89.2 9.4 1.4 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 100% 5.0 0.7 4.5 10.1 16.2 18.5 16.2 12.0 8.0 5.1 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Elise Peckinpaugh 100% 44.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.0 100.0% 99.6%
Lauren Saddington 100.0% 79.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 84.4%
Caterina Perego 100.0% 86.2 0.0 0.0 0.0% 77.2%
Daisy Niezer 100.0% 120.1 0.0% 25.4%
Alexis Goebel 100.0% 141.1 0.0% 4.6%
Lydia Shaw 100.0% 148.4 0.0% 2.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 100% 1.5 11.1 83.1 5.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Elise Peckinpaugh 100% 9.9 0.2 0.9 3.2 4.9 7.2 9.9 11.8 12.7 11.0 9.7 7.0 5.8 4.6 3.0 2.6 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Lauren Saddington 100% 18.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.8 3.1 4.0 5.2 5.9 6.2 6.6 6.9 6.5 6.1 6.1 5.7 5.1 4.5 3.9 3.3 100.0%
Caterina Perego 100% 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.8 2.5 3.2 4.1 5.0 5.8 5.9 6.2 6.6 5.9 5.9 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.0 100.0%
Daisy Niezer 100% 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.4 2.0 1.9 2.5 2.8 3.1 99.9%
Alexis Goebel 100% 49.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 97.9%
Lydia Shaw 100% 55.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 94.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 100% 1.0 95.8 4.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Elise Peckinpaugh 100% 5.3 0.6 8.2 10.6 24.7 23.1 16.1 8.6 4.3 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Lauren Saddington 100% 9.4 0.1 0.5 1.4 4.7 9.5 13.3 15.7 14.1 12.2 9.2 7.0 4.4 3.0 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Caterina Perego 100% 10.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.6 6.0 10.2 13.0 13.9 13.3 11.5 9.0 6.1 4.5 3.2 2.0 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Daisy Niezer 100% 16.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.0 3.6 5.7 7.6 8.7 9.4 9.1 8.5 7.3 7.0 5.5 4.9 3.6 3.3 2.3 2.1 100.0%
Alexis Goebel 100% 23.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.8 4.1 4.4 5.2 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.5 6.0 5.8 5.3 100.0%
Lydia Shaw 100% 25.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.6 1.9 2.4 3.0 4.0 4.5 4.9 5.0 5.7 5.5 5.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 1.0 99.8 0.2 0.0
Elise Peckinpaugh 4.3 9.1 10.2 23.9 24.1 16.2 9.1 4.3 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Lauren Saddington 8.2 0.1 0.4 1.3 4.9 9.2 14.3 16.3 15.3 14.3 10.7 7.1 3.4 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Caterina Perego 9.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.4 6.1 10.6 14.2 16.3 14.7 13.3 11.1 5.2 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Daisy Niezer 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.6 5.0 8.4 12.0 18.1 14.4 10.8 7.6 5.9 4.5 3.4 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
Alexis Goebel 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 5.0 8.7 9.4 9.6 9.0 9.6 8.6 7.9 6.9 5.8 4.9 3.4 2.7
Lydia Shaw 19.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.3 4.6 6.3 7.6 7.8 8.2 8.8 9.1 8.4 7.8 6.7 5.7 4.8