Lowell
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #116
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #27
Crown Point Regional Rank #6
Hebron Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 35.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/14 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 970 1,044 1,097 1,243 1,022 1,161 961 1,111 925 1,092
Team Adjusted Rating 967 1,027 1,105 1,022 1,014 961 1,044 925 1,092
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
621  Christina Friend 9 21:47 23:38 22:51 22:11 22:02 22:07 22:39 21:47 21:35
832  Reilly Boyer 12 22:21 23:04 23:42 22:40 22:58 22:10 22:49 21:58 22:38
853  Gabriella Morache 11 22:23 23:44 21:35 21:58 22:29 22:10 22:14 22:13 22:40 22:41 23:09
931  Payton Boyer 11 22:33 21:51 22:19 23:19 22:42 22:37 22:18 22:45
1,073  Morgan Myers 11 22:52 24:17 23:11 23:31 22:54 23:06 22:42 23:40 22:29 23:51
1,142  Sidney Napiwocki 11 23:00 22:18 22:56 23:28 23:55 23:23 23:43 22:29 23:01 23:59
Abagail Pflughoeft 11 24:23 24:26 23:40 24:12 24:10 24:05 24:44 24:05 25:21 24:52
Julia Monix 10 25:38 26:31 25:32 25:37 27:08 25:23 25:04
Ally Fremouw 9 25:53 26:25 26:21 26:07 25:51 24:58 25:24 26:28




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 35.9% 19.3 482 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.3 9.7 19.5
Regionals 100% 5.8 150 6.9 29.0 37.7 26.0 0.4
Sectionals 100% 3.2 92 85.2 14.6 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christina Friend 100% 108.9 100.0% 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 93.8% 131.9 90.4% 93.6%
Gabriella Morache 91.3% 133.6 86.4% 90.9%
Payton Boyer 77.8% 140.3 65.4% 75.9%
Morgan Myers 46.3% 150.4 16.2% 31.8%
Sidney Napiwocki 40.2% 154.1 6.7% 18.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christina Friend 100% 21.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.6 3.4 5.2 8.3 10.7 11.6 11.8 11.8 10.1 8.1 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 100% 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 3.0 4.5 100.0%
Gabriella Morache 100% 30.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.1 3.6 100.0%
Payton Boyer 100% 33.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.1 100.0%
Morgan Myers 100% 40.8 0.0 100.0%
Sidney Napiwocki 100% 43.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christina Friend 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 3.7 11.9 23.4 26.7 21.1 7.3 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Reilly Boyer 16.6 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.9 15.4 16.3 14.8 11.7 9.1 7.4 5.4 3.5 2.9 1.7 1.1
Gabriella Morache 17.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 5.3 12.0 13.6 14.8 13.4 11.0 8.2 6.4 4.8 3.3 2.2 1.5
Payton Boyer 19.5 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.9 6.7 9.0 11.1 12.1 10.7 10.4 9.0 8.0 5.5 4.6
Morgan Myers 24.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.5 4.8 6.6 7.9 9.2 10.5 11.6
Sidney Napiwocki 26.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.3 5.0 6.5 8.6 10.3