Mishawaka
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #59
New Haven Semi-State Rank #13
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Riley Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 90.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Tiger Classic Penn Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/14 8/20 8/23 8/27 9/10 9/14 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 682 680 839 928 974 929 689 778 763 731 766
Team Adjusted Rating 680 749 743 711 745 689 759 731 726 727
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Tiger Classic Penn Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
184  Koryn Flick 10 20:14 20:36 19:43 20:07 19:29 20:21 20:15 20:55 20:22 20:12
265  Jada Rogers 11 20:37 22:23 21:23 21:04 21:21 22:00 21:40 20:58 20:56 20:53 21:11 21:02 21:31 20:26
541  Jillian Waelbroeck 11 21:32 20:55 20:42 22:25 22:24 21:35 21:30 21:18 21:10 22:36
722  Camryn Long 12 22:03 23:05 22:32 23:01 22:05 21:43 21:52 22:14 21:11 22:50 22:06 22:12 21:55
971  Jaci Naragon 12 22:37 22:54 22:41 22:15 22:25 23:47
1,106  Maddie Buraczewski 12 22:56 22:54 23:06 22:36 22:56 22:46 23:16 22:56 23:22 22:42 23:17
1,218  Abrielle Flick 12 23:12 24:00 22:32 22:53 22:20 23:18 23:30 24:01 23:15 23:09 23:16 23:47
Ellie Buraczewski 10 23:53 24:37 23:29 23:44 24:12 23:55 23:56 24:03 23:28 24:16
Mercedes Simpson 11 24:01 26:24 24:41 23:37 23:55 23:16 24:18 24:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 90.9% 11.6 363 0.0 13.4 16.4 16.6 16.2 12.3 8.5 4.6 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.9 136 42.9 30.1 17.9 7.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.7 85 45.0 37.2 17.8 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Koryn Flick 14.6% 113.9 14.6% 14.6%
Jada Rogers 0.6% 134.0 0.6% 0.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Koryn Flick 100% 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.0 100.0% 100.0%
Jada Rogers 99.6% 61.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.8% 99.4%
Jillian Waelbroeck 90.9% 109.8 0.3% 24.1%
Camryn Long 90.9% 134.9 0.0% 0.5%
Jaci Naragon 90.9% 150.4 0.0% 0.0%
Maddie Buraczewski 90.9% 155.4 0.0% 0.0%
Abrielle Flick 90.9% 158.9 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Koryn Flick 100% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.1 6.6 10.0 12.6 13.9 14.1 11.8 9.1 6.6 4.7 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jada Rogers 100% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.0 4.7 7.0 10.2 11.9 12.9 13.1 11.3 8.2 5.3 3.5 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.5 100.0%
Jillian Waelbroeck 100% 31.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.9 1.9 2.6 3.1 3.3 100.0%
Camryn Long 100% 42.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Jaci Naragon 100% 56.6 100.0%
Maddie Buraczewski 100% 64.6 100.0%
Abrielle Flick 100% 70.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Koryn Flick 5.9 0.9 2.7 9.9 16.9 21.9 18.0 14.4 8.6 5.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jada Rogers 9.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.7 9.8 14.1 20.7 18.2 22.9 5.8 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Jillian Waelbroeck 16.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 4.0 7.6 10.6 12.1 13.5 13.7 12.8 9.6 6.2 3.6 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.4
Camryn Long 22.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.3 4.1 7.5 9.4 9.8 11.4 11.5 10.0 9.0
Jaci Naragon 29.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.3 3.6
Maddie Buraczewski 33.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
Abrielle Flick 36.2 0.0