Northridge
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #19
New Haven Semi-State Rank #7
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 7.3%
Advance to State Finals 44.2%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Huntington Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/14 8/20 9/10 9/14 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 337 472 339 585 430 819 517 473 549 393 360
Team Adjusted Rating 352 339 389 361 400 383 381 435 337 323
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Huntington Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
37  Tame Baylis 12 19:08 19:25 19:34 19:22 19:18 19:34 19:19 19:23 19:15 18:57 19:08
68  Haylee Hile 12 19:33 19:29 20:22 19:57 20:41 20:02 20:59 20:16 20:10 19:51 19:35 19:22 19:34
84  Dakotah Moore 9 19:39 19:43 20:15 19:56 19:34 19:41 19:37 19:51 19:43 19:33 19:31
301  Emma Long 12 20:45 20:31 20:42 20:49
419  Addie Long 9 21:14 20:43 20:47 20:53 21:03 22:17 22:52 21:08 21:16
559  Gretchen Ludwig 10 21:34 22:23 21:56 21:22 22:09 21:59 22:42 22:57 22:50 22:39 21:41 21:22
709  Izzy Snyder 10 22:02 22:58 22:47 22:28 21:29 22:03 21:34 21:39 21:30 23:57 22:14 22:30
768  Kylie McMann 12 22:11 21:27 22:48 21:55 22:14 21:54 22:20 22:24 21:49 22:00
1,012  Isabella Furfaro 10 22:43 22:26 22:49 22:32 22:39 22:53
1,237  Regan Henry 12 23:14 23:42 23:15 22:56 24:39 22:35 22:55
Elaina Duthie 9 24:09 24:32 24:58 24:04 23:06
Marilyn Shelter 10 27:59 29:57 31:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 44.2% 13.5 357 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.1 2.9 4.2 4.6 5.6 5.7 5.3 4.5 3.1 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 6.4 161 0.0 0.3 1.2 4.2 12.0 26.4 41.5 14.4 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.9 49 5.0 95.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tame Baylis 99.9% 38.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.2 99.9% 99.9%
Haylee Hile 95.0% 67.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 91.0% 94.6%
Dakotah Moore 87.9% 75.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.3% 87.0%
Emma Long 44.2% 155.9 0.0% 0.2%
Addie Long 44.2% 178.9 0.0% 0.0%
Gretchen Ludwig 44.2% 189.0 0.0% 0.0%
Izzy Snyder 44.2% 198.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tame Baylis 100% 8.5 0.6 2.4 5.7 8.8 11.0 14.4 14.1 11.4 9.6 6.7 5.0 3.3 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Haylee Hile 100% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.7 4.1 6.3 7.3 7.9 7.6 7.6 7.0 7.1 6.2 5.4 4.9 4.1 3.8 2.8 2.4 2.0 100.0%
Dakotah Moore 100% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.0 4.1 5.4 5.4 6.3 7.0 7.1 6.5 6.2 6.4 5.6 4.7 4.4 3.6 3.2 100.0%
Emma Long 100% 68.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9%
Addie Long 100% 93.5 62.7%
Gretchen Ludwig 100% 112.9 20.4%
Izzy Snyder 100% 134.8 0.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tame Baylis 100% 1.5 18.0 62.0 12.7 5.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Haylee Hile 100% 3.8 0.3 3.7 27.8 21.8 21.1 14.3 5.9 2.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Dakotah Moore 100% 4.7 0.1 1.2 12.3 21.1 20.9 21.3 11.0 5.9 3.2 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emma Long 100% 16.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.6 6.3 8.4 10.1 11.9 12.4 12.4 9.0 6.6 4.6 3.3 2.0 1.5 1.1 100.0%
Addie Long 100% 24.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.0 5.2 6.0 6.2 6.5 7.3 7.1 7.0 100.0%
Gretchen Ludwig 100% 32.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.5 2.6 100.0%
Izzy Snyder 100% 41.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tame Baylis 1.0 94.4 5.2 0.4 0.0
Haylee Hile 1.8 4.1 60.0 32.0 3.3 0.5 0.0
Dakotah Moore 2.3 1.2 31.3 58.0 7.9 1.5 0.1
Emma Long 6.5 1.7 7.5 26.2 30.5 15.0 8.0 4.5 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Addie Long 11.5 0.0 0.8 3.4 8.3 9.7 10.6 11.5 10.8 10.4 10.4 9.1 7.4 4.1 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Gretchen Ludwig 15.9 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.1 2.9 4.3 6.2 8.2 11.1 14.9 16.6 15.6 9.1 4.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1
Izzy Snyder 19.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.9 9.0 16.4 18.7 17.5 11.4 7.7 4.8 3.1