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State Rank #49
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #12
Chesterton Regional Rank #6
New Prairie Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 1.3%
Advance to Semi-State 16.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Minuteman Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 570 666 728 667 641 694 657 576 533 584 582
Team Adjusted Rating 632 630 667 572 694 657 576 495 584 582
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Minuteman Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
137  Madisyn Mikels 9 20:00 20:36 20:43 20:47 20:27 20:17 20:46 20:21 19:54 20:03 19:49
332  Brooklyn Reed 9 20:54 21:11 21:14 20:39 20:27 20:38 20:48 20:58 21:13 21:03
443  Briana Krapf 10 21:18 20:52 24:16 23:24 21:57 21:48 21:19 20:50 21:18 21:24
474  Hannah Walsh 11 21:22 21:15 21:37 20:39 23:22 22:59 21:51 20:59 21:13 21:11
557  Alannah Sweeney 10 21:33 21:23 21:38 21:49 22:31 21:10 21:49 21:30 21:07 21:14 21:37 21:48
678  Ave Gurley 9 21:56 21:52 21:41 22:57 22:38 21:53 21:37 21:32 21:44 22:25
817  Allayna Gue 12 22:19 22:38 22:54 22:30 22:30 21:52 22:39 22:21 22:51 22:21 21:56 22:08
1,013  Jocelyn Martinez 10 22:43 21:29 23:12 22:29 22:22 22:32 22:36 23:01 22:57
1,256  Hannah Kerezman 9 23:17 23:55 23:08 24:57 23:36 23:18 22:28 22:58
Lisa Lopez 12 24:09 22:48 23:38 24:13 24:02 24:22 23:48 24:32 24:20
Elena Chavez 12 24:13 23:54 23:55 23:33 24:10 24:07 24:24 24:17 25:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 1.3% 23.5 556 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9
Semi-State 16.4% 9.3 238 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.3 4.0 2.7 1.2 0.2
Regionals 100% 5.8 127 0.1 0.5 3.3 12.5 83.6 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.9 91 0.7 9.6 89.6 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madisyn Mikels 15.2% 92.8 14.1% 14.7%
Brooklyn Reed 1.3% 146.3 0.0% 0.0%
Briana Krapf 1.3% 171.0 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Walsh 1.3% 174.2 0.0% 0.0%
Alannah Sweeney 1.3% 179.7 0.0% 0.0%
Ave Gurley 1.3% 191.0 0.0% 0.0%
Allayna Gue 1.3% 199.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madisyn Mikels 100% 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.0 3.9 4.4 4.0 100.0% 100.0%
Brooklyn Reed 100% 65.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Briana Krapf 99.1% 84.1 98.9% 99.1%
Hannah Walsh 98.7% 88.1 98.4% 98.6%
Alannah Sweeney 92.5% 97.3 91.1% 92.1%
Ave Gurley 44.6% 111.5 33.7% 38.6%
Allayna Gue 17.9% 124.1 1.9% 5.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madisyn Mikels 100% 10.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 4.3 6.9 10.7 11.3 12.4 12.1 11.5 9.2 7.1 4.4 3.3 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Brooklyn Reed 100% 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.5 3.0 4.1 5.2 6.9 9.5 10.9 10.8 9.8 100.0%
Briana Krapf 100% 29.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.5 4.2 100.0%
Hannah Walsh 100% 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.7 100.0%
Alannah Sweeney 100% 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 100.0%
Ave Gurley 100% 40.1 100.0%
Allayna Gue 100% 44.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madisyn Mikels 7.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.7 10.4 20.4 22.0 22.5 8.0 4.2 2.7 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brooklyn Reed 16.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.9 3.5 4.6 7.6 12.4 16.4 16.1 13.3 9.6 6.1 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
Briana Krapf 20.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.8 5.6 8.8 11.4 14.6 15.2 14.1 10.5 7.5 4.6
Hannah Walsh 21.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.2 5.6 8.6 11.5 14.9 15.7 13.5 10.3 7.9
Alannah Sweeney 23.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.0 5.1 8.0 11.5 14.4 15.3 16.2
Ave Gurley 26.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.3 4.8 7.7
Allayna Gue 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5