Riley
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #125
New Haven Semi-State Rank #36
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #10
Riley Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 82.2%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Northwood Invite South Bend City New Prairie Kickoff Classic Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/1 9/6 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 999 927 1,147 913 837 1,037 1,068 999 1,030 1,089
Team Adjusted Rating 927 1,147 913 837 1,037 1,068 999 1,030 1,089
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Northwood Invite South Bend City New Prairie Kickoff Classic Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
392  Annika Retana 9 21:09 21:01 21:20 20:31 20:58 20:41 21:32 21:23 21:17 21:19 21:11 21:02
723  Morgan Wittrock 9 22:03 22:16 21:47 22:41 22:25 21:45 22:28 22:23 21:33 22:04 21:41
1,081  Abby Wittrock 9 22:53 22:12 22:56 23:50 22:26 22:29 23:05 22:52 22:28 23:18 23:35
1,133  Jessica Ziegert 12 22:58 22:06 25:33 21:56 22:07 22:45 23:10 23:26 22:54 23:53
1,291  Stella Mowery 10 23:22 23:07 23:13 23:16 22:43 23:15 23:48 23:42 23:24 23:40
Meghan Freitag 9 24:13 24:09 25:59 27:08 24:02 24:28 24:31 23:49 23:45 23:50
Julie Ashley 10 25:13 26:08 25:19 26:10 24:20 25:06 25:30 24:55 25:05 25:34
Chloe Whitmer 9 25:17 25:38
Anne Gray 10 25:27 25:43 24:41 25:27 25:23 26:36
Marinnah Kulcsar 10 26:18 25:45 26:29 24:51 25:09 27:51 29:41




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0% 17.0 454 0.0
Regionals 82.2% 9.8 225 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.8 12.6 66.3
Sectionals 100% 5.2 141 0.2 82.0 17.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annika Retana 78.2% 86.6 78.2% 78.2%
Morgan Wittrock 0.7% 120.5 0.7% 0.7%
Abby Wittrock 0.0% 145.5 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Ziegert 0.0% 134.5 0.0% 0.0%
Stella Mowery 0.0% 154.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annika Retana 100% 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 2.2 3.7 5.3 6.9 7.8 8.0 7.6 7.1 6.6 6.8 100.0% 100.0%
Morgan Wittrock 100% 42.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Abby Wittrock 100% 63.5 100.0% 100.0%
Jessica Ziegert 100% 65.7 100.0% 100.0%
Stella Mowery 100% 73.6 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annika Retana 12.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.1 4.4 8.9 27.8 17.9 13.3 9.4 6.4 4.1 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morgan Wittrock 22.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.4 4.1 6.9 9.0 10.2 11.4 10.9 9.9 8.9
Abby Wittrock 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6
Jessica Ziegert 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
Stella Mowery 37.3