Bellmont
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #145
New Haven Semi-State Rank #42
Marion Regional Rank #9
Bellmont Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 1.7%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Bellmont Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
Date 8/14 8/25 9/3 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,142 1,335 1,236 1,314 1,221 1,198 1,257
Team Adjusted Rating 1,335 1,150 1,117 1,200 1,105 1,080 1,160
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Bellmont Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
530  Ellen Scott 12 21:31 21:57 22:19 21:29 21:07 22:07 21:27 21:11 21:32 21:30
930  Rachel Bleke 12 22:33 22:12 22:55 22:20
1,241  Madison Witte 10 23:15 23:59 23:36 23:21 23:14 23:06 23:11 23:03
1,335  Keeley Carpenter 11 23:27 24:15 23:59 23:37 23:08 23:02 23:48
Bre Feasel 10 24:08 25:42 24:11 24:03 24:19 23:50 23:56 24:05
Shaylin McCray 10 24:43 24:55 25:03 24:21
Dehvyn Roeback 9 25:27 26:33 26:10 25:00 25:08
Sophia Fisher 11 25:39 24:21 26:44 25:46 26:10 26:32 25:04 25:09 25:31
Addison Rich 9 26:21 28:50 31:34 26:38 25:19 25:38 25:49
Chloe Garcia 11 27:29 23:28 26:00 28:17
Mackenzie Selzer 10 28:09 27:49 28:25 27:29 28:47 28:24 27:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0% 18.0 485 0.0
Regionals 1.7% 7.8 161 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4
Sectionals 100% 6.2 148 0.1 1.6 71.8 26.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Scott 98.8% 109.5 98.8% 98.8%
Rachel Bleke 5.7% 144.4 5.7% 5.7%
Madison Witte 0.0% 144.5 0.0% 0.0%
Keeley Carpenter 0.0% 156.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Scott 100% 17.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.7 3.1 3.8 4.6 5.1 5.5 6.3 6.9 7.5 7.6 7.5 7.7 7.4 5.7 4.9 3.8 2.7 100.0% 100.0%
Rachel Bleke 100.0% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 99.9% 100.0%
Madison Witte 70.3% 51.3 69.8% 70.1%
Keeley Carpenter 40.0% 54.1 39.0% 39.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ellen Scott 12.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 3.9 4.9 5.5 6.5 7.0 8.7 9.3 10.0 9.3 8.3 7.7 6.6 5.0 3.4 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1
Rachel Bleke 24.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.9 7.8 9.3 11.7 12.6
Madison Witte 32.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5
Keeley Carpenter 34.8 0.0 0.1