Borden
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #131
Brown County Semi-State Rank #27
Crawford County Regional Rank #8
Crawford County Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.1%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational North Harrison Invitational Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Dragon Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/20 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,043 1,042 1,150 1,124 1,111 1,096 1,147 988
Team Adjusted Rating 1,008 1,098 1,060 988 1,053 1,147 988
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational North Harrison Invitational Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Dragon Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional
684  Skyler Childress 10 21:57 22:52 21:57 22:13 21:58 21:47 21:22 22:45 21:47
749  Kaela Rose 12 22:08 22:39 22:03 21:59 22:14 21:57 21:51 22:18 22:18
973  Emery Aemmer 9 22:37 22:37 23:19 22:58 24:12 22:45 22:14
1,183  Riley Rarick 9 23:05 23:13 22:56
1,309  Lexi Rose 11 23:23 23:48 25:12 24:23 24:18 24:36 23:47 24:06 23:00
1,360  Jessie Condon 10 23:29 23:34 22:53 23:29 23:12 22:50 23:34 23:54 24:06
Delaney Smith 12 24:04 23:58 23:39 23:57 24:19 23:28 23:30 24:38 24:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.1% 19.0 437 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 8.6 205 0.0 0.0 0.7 18.9 27.9 27.8 24.7
Sectionals 100% 4.0 112 22.9 52.2 24.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skyler Childress 37.3% 116.3 37.3% 37.3%
Kaela Rose 16.6% 121.1 16.6% 16.6%
Emery Aemmer 0.4% 132.5 0.3% 0.3%
Riley Rarick 0.1% 143.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lexi Rose 0.1% 147.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jessie Condon 0.1% 150.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skyler Childress 100% 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 100.0%
Kaela Rose 100% 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 100.0%
Emery Aemmer 100% 48.3 0.0 100.0%
Riley Rarick 100% 54.7 100.0%
Lexi Rose 100% 59.0 100.0%
Jessie Condon 100% 60.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skyler Childress 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.2 10.2 15.7 32.0 19.4 7.9 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
Kaela Rose 17.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.6 7.4 18.3 32.1 16.2 9.5 6.1 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.1
Emery Aemmer 21.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 9.6 11.9 14.8 17.3 15.5 13.5 8.5
Riley Rarick 25.8 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.9 5.9 10.0 15.2
Lexi Rose 28.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.6 3.1
Jessie Condon 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8