Centerville
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #73
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #26
Rushville Regional Rank #4
Connersville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Rushville Invitational Wayne County Centerville Bulldog Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/8 9/17 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 787 894 801 870 840 842 874 834 831 725 779
Team Adjusted Rating 819 738 807 755 776 808 781 790 663 713
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Rushville Invitational Wayne County Centerville Bulldog Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
227  Chloe Scales 12 20:28 20:29 20:40 20:17 20:31 20:22 20:28 20:07 20:31 21:07 20:13 20:37
608  Aubrey Morgan 12 21:44 22:40
673  Kendra Shipman 11 21:56 21:44 22:33 22:42 22:23 22:14 22:53 22:39 22:13 21:58 21:34 21:58
695  Mia Lickfelt 12 22:00 22:01 22:04 21:41 22:31 22:15 22:25 22:20 22:20 22:14 21:41 21:48
1,038  Lainey Foster 11 22:47 23:01 23:13 22:47 23:11 23:09 22:31 22:49 22:36 22:30 22:46 22:50
1,094  Julie Carter 11 22:54 22:33 24:26 23:11 23:03 23:15 22:52 23:47 23:29 22:24 23:07 23:22
1,179  Lily Black 10 23:04 23:34 22:59 23:00 22:47 23:09 23:01 22:54 23:03 23:20 23:01 23:27
Cora Burton 12 23:33 22:12 23:12 24:14 23:40 22:49 23:48
Ella Claypoole 11 24:01 23:06 24:33 23:56 23:53 23:46 24:15
Victoria Beatty 9 24:20 24:54 24:07 24:09 24:12 25:24 23:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 99.5% 19.1 539 0.0 0.4 4.6 79.5 15.0
Regionals 100% 4.1 122 0.2 2.7 86.8 9.8 0.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 50 90.8 8.9 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Scales 100% 76.8 100.0% 100.0%
Aubrey Morgan 99.7% 139.7 36.5% 88.8%
Kendra Shipman 99.5% 150.1 9.6% 70.4%
Mia Lickfelt 99.5% 153.5 1.9% 61.7%
Lainey Foster 99.5% 172.2 0.0% 1.2%
Julie Carter 99.5% 173.1 0.0% 0.3%
Lily Black 99.5% 174.3 0.0% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Scales 100% 7.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.4 7.1 11.0 16.1 19.7 20.7 10.9 4.9 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Aubrey Morgan 100% 23.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.2 2.7 3.7 4.8 7.0 8.3 9.5 9.3 8.0 100.0%
Kendra Shipman 100% 28.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.7 2.4 3.5 4.6 5.7 6.4 100.0%
Mia Lickfelt 100% 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.0 3.3 4.1 5.0 100.0%
Lainey Foster 100% 46.8 100.0%
Julie Carter 100% 49.4 100.0%
Lily Black 100% 52.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chloe Scales 2.7 12.0 19.6 27.0 35.7 5.6 0.2
Aubrey Morgan 7.9 0.0 1.7 11.6 17.9 21.7 19.4 13.4 7.9 3.7 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1
Kendra Shipman 9.7 0.2 2.6 5.9 10.7 16.2 19.8 18.5 12.5 6.6 3.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Mia Lickfelt 10.4 0.1 1.3 3.0 7.1 12.8 18.0 20.5 16.1 9.2 6.0 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Lainey Foster 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 4.6 7.8 11.0 13.3 14.0 14.3 12.9 8.3 4.8 2.4 1.5 0.7
Julie Carter 19.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.6 6.3 8.7 11.3 14.0 15.1 13.3 9.6 6.1 3.3 2.2
Lily Black 21.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.0 4.0 6.2 8.7 11.7 15.1 15.7 10.9 7.7 5.6