Columbus North
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #2
Brown County Semi-State Rank #1
Columbus North Regional Rank #1
Brown County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 20.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 98.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Brown County Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 138 135 118 560 112 211 139 158 154
Team Adjusted Rating 135 118 138 112 211 139 158 154
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Brown County Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Julia Kiesler 12 17:42 18:17 17:43 17:39 18:12 19:20 17:52 17:34 17:40
Lily Baker 12 18:04 18:19 18:04 17:50 17:49 19:20 18:11 18:12 18:11
41  Brianna Newell 12 19:11 18:48 19:40 19:15 19:37 19:18 19:18 19:05 19:03
88  Ellen White 12 19:42 19:57 19:27 19:36 19:26 19:46 19:36 19:52 20:07
121  Julie Klaus 12 19:54 19:31 19:19 19:58 19:52 20:34 20:01
138  Jessica Meza 12 20:01 20:05 19:37 19:45 20:04 20:11 20:20
160  Sydney Morlok 12 20:09 19:37 20:11 19:41 19:20 20:21 20:36 20:15 20:15
169  Ainsley Sherlock 9 20:11 20:24 20:01 20:18 20:00 20:22 20:02
238  Sierra Newell 10 20:30 20:42 20:39 20:06 20:43
378  Macy Eaton 10 21:06 22:08 21:01 21:19 21:00
403  Charley Kerber 10 21:12 21:11 20:58 21:21 21:12 21:13
409  Kenzie Meyer 11 21:12 21:25 21:25 22:14 21:00 20:45
437  Madysin Perry 12 21:17 21:26 20:48 21:21 21:31
439  Katie Frazier 10 21:18 22:39 21:43 20:53 21:35 21:02
449  Lana Wisler 9 21:19 21:51 21:26 21:13 21:01
458  Kyleigh Wolf 10 21:20 20:40 21:44 20:55
498  Kenzie Pendleton 11 21:26 22:40 20:45 21:29 21:36 21:37
510  Sylvia Sasse 11 21:28 21:15 21:18 21:41 21:24
556  Maggie Russell 10 21:33 22:16 21:10 21:32 21:40 21:45
728  Carys Glen-Jones 10 22:04 22:57 22:18 22:01 21:14
1,072  Claire Wisler 12 22:52 21:16 23:12 22:54 22:49 22:39
1,170  Rebecca Simon 9 23:04 22:57 23:06 22:54 23:23
1,216  Caylyn Pruitt 11 23:11 23:22 23:21 23:06 23:09
1,296  Emily Titus 12 23:22 21:58 23:37 23:07
Lydia Weed 11 23:43 24:04 23:58 23:25 23:33




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 2.4 147 20.1 43.2 22.9 9.4 3.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 50 97.4 2.6 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 17 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 18 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Kiesler 100% 3.4 3.3 13.4 22.7 24.7 17.2 9.0 4.6 2.5 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lily Baker 100% 7.1 0.1 0.3 1.6 5.3 11.2 14.8 15.6 12.4 10.8 8.1 6.1 3.8 2.8 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Brianna Newell 100% 41.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.7 99.0%
Ellen White 100% 82.0 0.0 65.7%
Julie Klaus 100% 101.1 38.7%
Jessica Meza 100% 111.2 23.8%
Sydney Morlok 100% 121.9 11.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Kiesler 100% 1.0 93.2 6.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Lily Baker 100% 1.6 4.7 75.2 12.2 5.5 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Brianna Newell 100% 9.3 0.2 0.7 2.3 5.6 10.0 13.3 14.0 12.9 10.7 7.7 6.4 4.7 3.2 2.5 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ellen White 100% 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.4 5.2 5.5 5.8 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.5 4.9 4.8 4.4 4.3 100.0%
Julie Klaus 100% 26.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.2 2.4 3.3 3.5 3.7 4.2 4.5 4.2 4.5 4.6 100.0%
Jessica Meza 100% 30.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.4 3.1 2.8 3.3 3.4 100.0%
Sydney Morlok 100% 35.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Kiesler 100% 1.0 95.0 5.0 100.0%
Lily Baker 100% 1.5 5.0 95.0 0.0 100.0%
Brianna Newell 100% 2.8 62.3 24.9 9.3 2.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Ellen White 100% 5.9 0.7 9.4 18.0 23.2 22.9 13.6 7.0 3.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Julie Klaus 100% 7.7 0.0 1.6 5.6 10.8 17.1 22.2 17.2 12.2 7.6 3.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jessica Meza 100% 8.9 0.4 1.8 4.5 9.6 14.7 21.0 19.5 13.9 7.9 4.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sydney Morlok 100% 10.2 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.7 7.4 12.8 19.6 20.6 16.2 10.3 4.3 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Kiesler 1.0 94.8 5.3
Lily Baker 1.5 5.3 94.8
Brianna Newell 2.7 69.6 28.7 1.7 0.1
Ellen White 4.7 1.0 16.2 47.6 21.5 8.9 3.5 1.0 0.3 0.0
Julie Klaus 6.0 0.1 3.0 16.8 31.6 24.4 14.4 7.1 2.3 0.4
Jessica Meza 7.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 17.2 26.5 24.4 16.3 7.5 1.2
Sydney Morlok 8.1 0.2 1.7 6.2 14.3 25.4 28.6 19.6 4.0