All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
Marion Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
| Team Rating |
637 | |
580 |
607 |
621 |
598 |
665 |
672 |
932 |
765 |
674 |
666 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
580 |
607 |
621 |
598 |
637 |
672 |
637 |
629 |
645 |
666 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
Marion Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 247 |
Abby Lotter |
9 |
20:32 |
|
21:02 |
20:54 |
21:24 |
20:43 |
20:52 |
20:46 |
|
|
20:34 |
20:21 |
| 426 |
Emma Schwertfeger |
10 |
21:16 |
21:04 |
21:32 |
20:47 |
20:41 |
20:38 |
|
21:29 |
|
|
22:19 |
21:20 |
| 514 |
Nithya Murthy |
12 |
21:29 |
21:43 |
21:04 |
21:35 |
21:04 |
21:25 |
21:24 |
21:35 |
|
21:33 |
|
21:47 |
| 525 |
Addison Kane |
11 |
21:30 |
21:15 |
20:50 |
21:00 |
21:22 |
22:05 |
21:23 |
21:31 |
|
22:16 |
21:15 |
21:30 |
| 581 |
Isabella Murch |
10 |
21:39 |
|
20:59 |
21:37 |
22:20 |
21:18 |
22:04 |
21:37 |
|
21:11 |
21:36 |
22:08 |
| 639 |
Mia Schiesser |
10 |
21:51 |
23:33 |
22:24 |
21:47 |
|
21:40 |
21:30 |
22:23 |
|
|
21:40 |
21:53 |
| 677 |
Joana Anton Caballer |
9 |
21:56 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21:48 |
22:10 |
|
| 748 |
Katelyn Thomas |
11 |
22:07 |
|
22:06 |
22:07 |
23:21 |
22:35 |
21:44 |
22:06 |
|
21:44 |
21:57 |
22:14 |
| 779 |
Joana Anton |
9 |
22:13 |
|
22:15 |
22:23 |
21:37 |
|
22:15 |
22:25 |
22:11 |
|
|
|
| 823 |
Corinne McClanahan |
10 |
22:20 |
22:26 |
22:08 |
22:30 |
22:22 |
22:29 |
22:14 |
22:17 |
22:11 |
22:23 |
|
|
| 855 |
Claire Riebe |
10 |
22:24 |
|
22:29 |
22:18 |
22:10 |
22:33 |
22:43 |
22:38 |
21:58 |
22:21 |
|
|
| 878 |
Grier Swaim |
9 |
22:27 |
|
22:12 |
22:08 |
22:22 |
|
23:09 |
22:22 |
22:29 |
|
|
|
| 919 |
Elise Bryan |
11 |
22:32 |
|
22:33 |
|
23:00 |
22:35 |
22:24 |
22:07 |
22:44 |
|
|
|
| 1,001 |
Alexandra Baker |
9 |
22:42 |
|
22:35 |
22:32 |
22:25 |
22:47 |
23:04 |
22:37 |
22:46 |
|
|
|
| 1,051 |
Brooke Butts |
12 |
22:49 |
21:55 |
22:18 |
22:38 |
22:43 |
|
23:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,126 |
Sarah Almaya |
10 |
22:58 |
23:18 |
23:12 |
23:21 |
22:48 |
23:11 |
22:48 |
23:05 |
22:31 |
|
|
|
| 1,300 |
Tanvi Pothuri |
10 |
23:23 |
|
|
|
|
|
24:03 |
|
22:55 |
|
|
|
| 1,347 |
Ana Foutty |
12 |
23:28 |
22:30 |
22:34 |
|
23:03 |
|
23:19 |
23:43 |
24:16 |
|
|
|
| 1,348 |
Erica Combs |
12 |
23:28 |
22:42 |
|
23:31 |
24:19 |
23:00 |
23:28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Elle Powers |
12 |
23:34 |
|
24:36 |
24:21 |
24:12 |
23:27 |
23:05 |
23:31 |
23:07 |
|
|
|
|
Kate Sheidler |
9 |
23:37 |
|
23:42 |
23:24 |
23:28 |
23:39 |
23:03 |
23:52 |
24:15 |
|
|
|
|
Hannah Samson |
12 |
23:45 |
|
|
24:21 |
23:55 |
23:52 |
23:51 |
23:37 |
23:16 |
|
|
|
|
Hannah Brown |
11 |
23:47 |
|
24:02 |
24:15 |
23:37 |
|
23:34 |
23:32 |
23:55 |
|
|
|
|
Andrea Davalos |
9 |
23:55 |
|
|
|
25:07 |
23:42 |
23:32 |
23:49 |
24:07 |
|
|
|
|
Annalise Roach |
12 |
24:07 |
|
23:42 |
24:09 |
23:12 |
24:20 |
23:43 |
24:40 |
24:39 |
|
|
|
|
Emma Johnson |
9 |
24:14 |
|
24:12 |
23:38 |
24:28 |
24:10 |
23:59 |
24:29 |
24:36 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
10.9 |
349 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
32.3 |
20.6 |
14.4 |
11.2 |
8.4 |
5.8 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.2 |
86 |
|
85.1 |
14.4 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.3 |
70 |
|
70.8 |
29.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Lotter |
1.3% |
127.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.3% |
1.3% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Lotter |
100% |
56.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Schwertfeger |
100% |
94.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.5% |
| Nithya Murthy |
100% |
107.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
86.2% |
| Addison Kane |
100% |
108.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
84.7% |
| Isabella Murch |
100% |
117.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70.5% |
| Mia Schiesser |
100% |
127.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45.6% |
| Joana Anton Caballer |
100% |
131.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Lotter |
100% |
12.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
3.0 |
5.6 |
8.5 |
11.4 |
13.9 |
18.6 |
28.2 |
5.8 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Schwertfeger |
100% |
17.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
12.7 |
14.7 |
14.4 |
11.3 |
10.0 |
7.4 |
6.0 |
5.3 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Nithya Murthy |
100% |
21.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.4 |
4.6 |
6.4 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
7.1 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Addison Kane |
100% |
21.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
2.2 |
4.1 |
5.6 |
6.9 |
7.8 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
6.9 |
6.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Isabella Murch |
100% |
25.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
6.7 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Mia Schiesser |
100% |
29.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Joana Anton Caballer |
100% |
31.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Abby Lotter |
9.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
6.6 |
12.9 |
15.4 |
19.9 |
34.5 |
6.0 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Schwertfeger |
12.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
21.3 |
29.3 |
23.4 |
12.3 |
5.9 |
3.2 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Nithya Murthy |
14.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
4.7 |
11.4 |
18.4 |
21.4 |
19.4 |
12.4 |
6.9 |
3.1 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Addison Kane |
14.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
3.6 |
9.7 |
16.5 |
22.0 |
19.5 |
13.9 |
8.4 |
3.7 |
1.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Isabella Murch |
16.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
1.0 |
3.2 |
6.9 |
11.6 |
18.3 |
22.0 |
17.0 |
10.6 |
5.8 |
2.4 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
| Mia Schiesser |
18.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
6.7 |
12.1 |
19.5 |
21.3 |
17.9 |
11.9 |
4.6 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Joana Anton Caballer |
19.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
3.1 |
7.2 |
13.4 |
21.0 |
23.0 |
17.6 |
9.4 |
2.6 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
|
