All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Crown Point Invitational |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison Raider Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
Highland Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/14 |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
412 | |
586 |
420 |
403 |
357 |
421 |
487 |
912 |
422 |
535 |
544 |
465 |
461 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
501 |
397 |
403 |
357 |
356 |
487 |
412 |
422 |
474 |
544 |
465 |
461 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Crown Point Invitational |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison Raider Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
Highland Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 144 |
Addison Roth |
11 |
20:03 |
20:49 |
19:26 |
19:47 |
20:08 |
19:40 |
19:32 |
20:15 |
|
20:06 |
19:58 |
20:36 |
20:38 |
20:05 |
| 167 |
Sydney Churilla |
11 |
20:10 |
20:00 |
20:26 |
20:09 |
20:18 |
20:02 |
20:11 |
19:55 |
|
20:17 |
20:47 |
20:45 |
19:59 |
20:54 |
| 220 |
Nicole Vollrath |
11 |
20:26 |
20:31 |
|
20:21 |
19:38 |
19:56 |
19:44 |
20:28 |
|
20:11 |
20:55 |
21:02 |
20:48 |
20:40 |
| 267 |
Mackenzie Smith |
10 |
20:37 |
20:07 |
21:46 |
20:37 |
20:51 |
20:24 |
|
21:34 |
|
20:52 |
|
20:59 |
21:03 |
20:29 |
| 379 |
Marie Weber |
11 |
21:06 |
21:21 |
21:40 |
|
21:06 |
21:03 |
20:57 |
21:25 |
|
21:06 |
21:14 |
21:30 |
20:55 |
21:11 |
| 488 |
Braiden Cooper |
10 |
21:25 |
22:09 |
|
21:29 |
21:34 |
21:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 674 |
Tara Schassburger |
10 |
21:56 |
22:13 |
21:53 |
21:58 |
|
22:34 |
22:08 |
21:47 |
22:02 |
22:17 |
21:38 |
21:34 |
22:26 |
21:59 |
| 743 |
Madison Poortenga |
9 |
22:06 |
|
22:30 |
21:42 |
22:01 |
21:44 |
21:42 |
22:54 |
21:57 |
22:34 |
|
|
|
|
| 764 |
Hailey Wisz |
11 |
22:10 |
24:03 |
22:42 |
22:19 |
22:05 |
22:39 |
21:43 |
22:09 |
|
22:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 765 |
Essey Gonzalez |
10 |
22:10 |
23:49 |
22:07 |
22:12 |
22:45 |
22:26 |
22:20 |
21:47 |
22:00 |
21:58 |
22:07 |
22:20 |
22:11 |
22:17 |
| 775 |
Amanda Spanier |
12 |
22:12 |
21:45 |
22:00 |
|
|
21:57 |
21:54 |
22:25 |
22:20 |
22:00 |
22:49 |
|
|
|
| 1,047 |
Samantha Lazowski |
12 |
22:49 |
22:17 |
22:59 |
22:30 |
22:35 |
22:51 |
22:23 |
23:40 |
23:01 |
22:44 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,109 |
Sophia Rodriguez |
9 |
22:56 |
|
|
23:01 |
|
23:20 |
|
23:06 |
22:42 |
22:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,178 |
Grace Dudy |
10 |
23:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
22:54 |
22:32 |
|
23:53 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,211 |
Angelina Ramos |
9 |
23:10 |
|
|
22:53 |
|
23:10 |
23:12 |
23:37 |
23:14 |
23:00 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,288 |
Sarah Solis |
10 |
23:21 |
22:19 |
|
23:38 |
|
22:58 |
23:45 |
22:29 |
23:25 |
23:51 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ava Giovane |
11 |
23:45 |
22:28 |
23:07 |
24:11 |
|
24:22 |
23:41 |
23:08 |
23:33 |
24:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Nora Markley |
12 |
23:50 |
23:37 |
24:20 |
24:46 |
|
24:24 |
24:07 |
|
23:18 |
23:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
Natalie Kransky |
12 |
24:16 |
22:00 |
23:38 |
23:29 |
|
23:38 |
|
|
24:51 |
25:40 |
|
|
|
|
|
Madison Cowger |
9 |
24:29 |
|
23:08 |
23:28 |
|
|
|
25:36 |
|
24:52 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
77.7% |
21.9 |
500 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
4.0 |
5.7 |
8.5 |
12.7 |
19.0 |
20.9 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
4.7 |
175 |
0.8 |
18.5 |
17.3 |
16.2 |
13.6 |
11.2 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
4.4 |
2.6 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.3 |
42 |
72.1 |
27.5 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
18 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Addison Roth |
77.8% |
109.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
9.3% |
| Sydney Churilla |
77.7% |
119.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
4.4% |
| Nicole Vollrath |
77.7% |
138.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.3% |
| Mackenzie Smith |
77.7% |
152.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Marie Weber |
77.7% |
177.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Braiden Cooper |
77.7% |
187.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Tara Schassburger |
77.7% |
198.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Addison Roth |
100% |
28.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Churilla |
100% |
33.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Nicole Vollrath |
100% |
44.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Smith |
100% |
52.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Marie Weber |
100% |
74.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Braiden Cooper |
100% |
90.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Tara Schassburger |
100% |
115.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Addison Roth |
100% |
3.6 |
2.1 |
9.1 |
23.5 |
26.8 |
18.4 |
9.5 |
4.9 |
3.1 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Churilla |
100% |
4.6 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
10.7 |
21.0 |
23.2 |
16.3 |
10.3 |
6.2 |
3.8 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nicole Vollrath |
100% |
7.3 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
3.6 |
8.5 |
15.5 |
16.0 |
14.4 |
13.2 |
9.8 |
7.9 |
5.1 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Smith |
100% |
9.6 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
5.1 |
9.4 |
12.2 |
13.3 |
14.2 |
13.7 |
12.1 |
9.7 |
5.3 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Marie Weber |
100% |
14.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
4.3 |
7.2 |
10.9 |
16.2 |
18.3 |
16.0 |
10.4 |
5.8 |
3.5 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Braiden Cooper |
100% |
17.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
4.3 |
7.7 |
12.9 |
15.9 |
15.6 |
13.5 |
9.4 |
6.4 |
4.5 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Tara Schassburger |
100% |
23.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
4.1 |
6.4 |
8.1 |
10.0 |
11.1 |
11.0 |
10.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Addison Roth |
1.0 |
58.7 |
28.6 |
10.3 |
2.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sydney Churilla |
1.6 |
25.1 |
43.4 |
23.1 |
7.0 |
1.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nicole Vollrath |
3.2 |
2.4 |
9.7 |
31.1 |
39.5 |
16.6 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mackenzie Smith |
4.2 |
0.3 |
1.9 |
10.0 |
27.7 |
55.4 |
4.4 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Marie Weber |
5.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
5.2 |
64.2 |
21.6 |
6.4 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Braiden Cooper |
7.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
8.8 |
38.5 |
31.0 |
12.8 |
5.2 |
2.6 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tara Schassburger |
10.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
5.9 |
16.4 |
20.0 |
19.7 |
19.6 |
10.0 |
5.2 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
