Marion
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #176
New Haven Semi-State Rank #51
Marion Regional Rank #12
Marion Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 92.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Richmond Hare and Hound Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Flashrock Invitational New Haven Invitational North Central Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,316 1,397 1,387 1,342 1,310 1,351 1,253
Team Adjusted Rating 1,397 1,542 1,376 1,478 1,387 1,342 1,310 1,351 1,253
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Richmond Hare and Hound Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Flashrock Invitational New Haven Invitational North Central Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
845  Kenzie Larson 9 22:22 22:51 23:29 21:39 23:15 22:58 22:37 22:16 22:45 22:00 22:19
1,306  Halle Larson 11 23:23 25:12 27:40 25:13 24:13 23:25 24:24 23:42 24:34 22:59
Emily Luckey 11 23:42 22:46 24:10 24:57 24:04 25:19 23:46 23:31 22:57 23:11 23:32
Macey Summers 12 23:49 24:08 23:39 24:13 24:02 23:58 23:50 23:38 24:06 23:34 23:44
Molley Steenbergh 11 24:52 23:43 23:53 24:03 26:26 24:26 25:15 25:01 24:52
Jackie Williams 11 26:33 28:04 28:04 28:30 26:15 25:51 26:02 26:29 27:53 26:06
Ava Summers 10 27:29 25:42 26:50 27:55 28:51 28:44 28:19 24:53 27:29 27:01
Isabela Buckler 11 28:16 25:01 28:26 26:48 28:50
Cambria Hamner 9 29:56 28:23 29:59 29:59 30:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 92.0% 9.9 223 0.0 8.2 83.8
Sectionals 100% 5.0 121 0.0 12.6 79.5 6.7 1.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kenzie Larson 17.3% 141.0 17.3% 17.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kenzie Larson 100% 32.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.3 100.0% 100.0%
Halle Larson 100% 54.8 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kenzie Larson 10.0 0.2 1.5 9.4 12.6 13.6 13.4 11.7 10.2 8.5 6.4 4.8 3.3 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Halle Larson 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 2.5 4.0 6.0 9.1 12.6 15.4 14.9 11.7 9.0