Pike
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #84
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #29
Noblesville Regional Rank #13
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #13
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird Invitational Marion County Championship State Preview Eagle Classic Metro Interscholastic Conference North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/24 10/5 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 836 1,126 849 1,008 838 849 822
Team Adjusted Rating 814 768 929 838 849 822
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird Invitational Marion County Championship State Preview Eagle Classic Metro Interscholastic Conference North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional
396  Rachel Schwab 11 21:10 20:34 20:50 21:13 21:27 21:23 21:06 21:10 21:08
549  Cassandra Cavazos 12 21:33 21:39 22:14 21:42 21:41 21:16 21:18
711  Sogo Bakare 12 22:02 21:52 21:59 21:24 22:19 21:41 22:34 21:45 22:21
793  Kathryn DeaKyne 10 22:14 21:40 21:35 22:34 22:07 22:09 22:29
1,021  Marion Davis 12 22:45 22:54 22:29 22:51
Elena Rosario 11 24:02 24:05 24:10 24:17 23:39 24:16 23:49
Charlotte Dolson 9 24:19 23:50 24:26 24:23 24:07 23:57 24:18 25:36
Greta Sitzman 9 24:22 23:51 24:33 24:07 23:56 24:42 24:52
Norah Kern 12 24:36 25:31 24:57 24:19 24:18 24:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 6.6 176 42.2 53.5 4.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Schwab 0.2% 91.5 0.2% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Schwab 100% 51.5 100.0% 100.0%
Cassandra Cavazos 100% 62.9 100.0% 100.0%
Sogo Bakare 98.3% 73.3 98.3% 98.3%
Kathryn DeaKyne 91.3% 75.8 91.3% 91.3%
Marion Davis 26.2% 80.4 26.2% 26.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Schwab 23.3 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.6 6.4 7.8 8.1 8.6 9.2 8.9 7.9
Cassandra Cavazos 30.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.6
Sogo Bakare 37.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kathryn DeaKyne 38.9 0.0 0.0
Marion Davis 43.4