Princeton
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #20
Brown County Semi-State Rank #4
Pike Central Regional Rank #1
South Knox Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 18th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.0%
Advance to State Finals 88.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Boonville Invitational Flashrock Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/17 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 347 268 322 358 519 438 384 399
Team Adjusted Rating 268 322 358 373 438 384 399
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Boonville Invitational Flashrock Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
14  Heidi Meade 12 18:30 19:09 18:57 18:41 18:37 18:49 18:45 18:22 18:22
15  Haley Meade 12 18:30 19:11 18:57 18:41 18:38 19:10 18:59 18:22
251  Mallory Watt 9 20:33 19:26 20:21 20:35 20:24 20:39 20:46 20:50
386  Kyndall Anthis 12 21:08 21:16 20:40 20:57 21:24 21:44 22:15 20:56 21:22
417  Heidi Breidenbaugh 10 21:14 21:08 20:48 21:03 21:01 21:02 21:16 21:38 21:38
637  Jenna Wright 9 21:50 21:17 21:41 21:50 21:45 22:08 21:40 22:11
703  Lexi Smith 11 22:01 21:06 21:16 22:41 23:10 21:49 23:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 88.6% 17.1 407 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.6 3.0 5.0 7.9 11.9 16.0 17.2 12.5 7.2 3.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 5.2 170 0.2 3.0 22.0 36.5 26.9 10.3 1.0 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.1 45 93.9 6.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 30 94.1 5.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Heidi Meade 100% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.2 4.1 4.7 6.3 7.0 7.3 7.5 7.4 6.9 5.9 5.7 4.7 4.3 3.7 3.3 2.5 2.2 1.9 100.0% 100.0%
Haley Meade 100% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.9 4.1 4.7 6.3 6.4 7.2 7.5 6.9 7.1 6.7 5.7 4.7 4.4 4.1 3.2 3.0 2.1 1.9 100.0% 100.0%
Mallory Watt 88.6% 149.5 0.0% 0.4%
Kyndall Anthis 88.6% 179.3 0.0% 0.0%
Heidi Breidenbaugh 88.6% 182.7 0.0% 0.0%
Jenna Wright 88.6% 197.7 0.0% 0.0%
Lexi Smith 88.6% 200.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Heidi Meade 100% 3.5 0.9 6.7 28.2 29.4 19.0 9.3 3.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Haley Meade 100% 3.6 0.7 5.9 26.0 30.1 20.9 9.8 3.8 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Mallory Watt 100% 52.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Kyndall Anthis 100% 81.4 89.6%
Heidi Breidenbaugh 100% 87.1 82.6%
Jenna Wright 100% 115.9 15.9%
Lexi Smith 100% 123.3 5.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Heidi Meade 100% 1.0 50.5 47.4 2.1 0.1 100.0%
Haley Meade 100% 1.0 48.5 49.0 2.4 0.1 100.0%
Mallory Watt 100% 9.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.0 20.9 19.7 15.3 11.5 8.1 5.5 4.3 3.2 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kyndall Anthis 100% 18.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.1 3.1 4.0 5.2 5.8 6.2 7.2 8.2 8.6 8.7 9.3 7.8 6.7 5.3 4.2 100.0%
Heidi Breidenbaugh 100% 20.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.8 3.5 4.6 5.9 6.5 7.5 8.6 9.6 9.4 9.4 7.6 7.0 100.0%
Jenna Wright 100% 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.6 4.5 100.0%
Lexi Smith 100% 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Heidi Meade 1.0 50.9 46.9 2.2
Haley Meade 1.0 47.8 49.8 2.4 0.0
Mallory Watt 5.2 1.1 42.0 34.0 13.1 5.7 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kyndall Anthis 9.6 0.4 3.1 9.2 13.0 15.0 16.7 16.8 13.1 7.1 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.0
Heidi Breidenbaugh 10.7 0.1 1.0 4.6 8.1 10.9 14.2 17.0 18.9 12.7 7.4 3.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
Jenna Wright 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 6.0 10.9 15.0 20.3 25.4 14.3 3.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Lexi Smith 17.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.4 3.7 7.3 12.4 22.2 34.3 11.0 4.4 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0