Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #11
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
Chesterton Regional Rank #1
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 7.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 58.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational State Preview Manchester Invitational Ben Davis Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 264 498 340 294 838 276 280 871 283 342 287 323 244
Team Adjusted Rating 325 257 219 264 276 280 478 283 313 287 323 244
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational State Preview Manchester Invitational Ben Davis Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
18  Cheyanne Stock 12 18:34 19:24 19:11 18:48 22:59 18:57 19:08 19:02 18:41 18:26
67  Grace Thomas 12 19:33 20:16 20:29 19:17 19:14 19:40 19:42 19:27 20:23 19:57 19:22 19:31
95  Libby Ehrhardt 11 19:45 19:52 19:43 19:40 19:36 19:57 22:59 20:17 19:54 20:06 21:39 19:36
228  Anika Anderson 11 20:29 19:50 20:29 20:26 19:42 20:30 20:31 20:23 20:44 20:55 20:21
231  Brooke Byvoets 11 20:29 20:09 20:52 20:45 20:30 20:24 20:37 20:22 20:17 20:39 20:21
240  Liv Hatch 11 20:31 20:53 21:07 20:46 20:37 20:20 20:28 20:19 20:29 20:22
245  Angela Coulopoulos 11 20:32 21:02 22:47 21:37 22:17 21:12 20:58 20:54 20:11 21:25
319  Meredith Isley 10 20:50 21:17 21:21 20:36 20:44 20:28 20:40 20:45 20:58 21:11
343  Ena Gilliana 9 20:56 21:38 21:30 20:37 20:50 20:54 20:44 21:02
481  Ani Gilliana 10 21:24 21:03 21:36 20:57 21:55 20:43 20:57 24:00 21:24
536  Becca Cavanaugh 11 21:31 21:20 22:09 22:14 21:57 21:40 22:18 21:32 21:03
555  Rue Harter 11 21:33 21:44 21:51 21:27 21:31 21:20 21:46
647  Izzy Amendola 10 21:52 22:19 21:57 21:47 21:51 21:48 21:56 21:56
767  Allie Wheeler 11 22:10 22:18 22:12 21:25 21:48 23:13 22:44 22:02
861  Bella Beach 11 22:24 22:33 21:25 22:04 21:44 24:02 23:12
1,075  Lydia Becker 9 22:52 23:36 22:43 23:13 22:30 22:38 22:58
1,089  Allison Martin 9 22:54 23:12 23:54 23:04 22:29 22:27
1,155  Audrey Dillabaugh 10 23:02 23:15 23:08 23:27 23:12 22:27
1,248  Ingrid Danger 9 23:16 24:00 23:35 23:47 22:36 23:38 22:27
1,290  Paige Bartlett 11 23:22 22:52 23:09 23:24 23:15 24:41 23:14
Olympia Berbesque 12 23:37 22:19 22:49 23:23 23:26 23:21 24:06 24:32
Isla Bakker 10 23:43 24:12 23:38 24:27 24:27 23:20 22:59
Jessica Cummins 11 23:55 23:38 23:55 24:02 23:55 22:59 25:30




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 10.2 309 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.8 8.3 10.5 11.6 10.3 10.1 9.0 7.3 6.8 5.1 4.5 3.4 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.0 88 96.4 2.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 48 98.0 1.7 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 35 99.5 0.5 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cheyanne Stock 100% 16.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.8 2.9 3.4 4.9 5.7 5.7 6.9 6.3 6.1 6.3 5.7 5.6 5.0 4.3 3.8 3.6 3.0 2.3 100.0%
Grace Thomas 100% 68.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 70.6%
Libby Ehrhardt 100% 86.7 0.0 0.0 42.9%
Anika Anderson 100% 145.7 0.2%
Brooke Byvoets 100% 146.3 0.2%
Liv Hatch 100% 148.2 0.1%
Angela Coulopoulos 100% 149.6 0.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cheyanne Stock 100% 2.6 4.5 14.9 50.5 20.4 6.2 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Grace Thomas 100% 12.5 0.4 1.8 3.6 4.4 5.6 6.9 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.6 6.8 6.0 4.9 4.8 3.9 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.3 100.0%
Libby Ehrhardt 100% 17.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.5 5.1 5.4 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.0 4.9 4.2 4.0 3.5 3.0 100.0%
Anika Anderson 100% 45.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 100.0%
Brooke Byvoets 100% 46.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 100.0%
Liv Hatch 100% 47.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 100.0%
Angela Coulopoulos 100% 48.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cheyanne Stock 100% 1.5 12.0 75.9 9.5 2.0 0.6 100.0%
Grace Thomas 100% 5.7 3.2 8.5 13.5 33.8 18.5 9.9 5.5 3.7 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Libby Ehrhardt 100% 7.4 0.3 1.6 4.4 12.6 25.0 17.3 12.6 9.4 6.7 4.7 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Anika Anderson 100% 17.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.0 3.3 4.9 6.7 9.4 11.0 10.3 11.3 9.8 8.9 6.2 4.6 3.2 2.3 1.3 100.0%
Brooke Byvoets 100% 17.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.1 4.2 6.6 9.0 10.2 11.0 11.2 10.3 8.9 7.1 4.8 3.4 2.2 1.7 100.0%
Liv Hatch 100% 17.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.4 4.0 5.9 7.9 9.7 11.2 11.3 10.8 9.1 7.5 5.7 3.9 2.7 1.8 100.0%
Angela Coulopoulos 100% 17.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.5 4.9 7.0 9.0 9.9 11.3 11.3 9.6 8.5 6.2 4.8 3.3 2.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cheyanne Stock 1.5 12.2 81.9 4.4 1.5 0.0
Grace Thomas 4.6 9.2 13.5 42.2 20.6 9.0 4.1 1.2 0.1
Libby Ehrhardt 5.9 1.7 4.0 15.5 33.6 22.2 14.2 7.5 1.2 0.3 0.0
Anika Anderson 11.5 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 6.7 14.3 16.7 15.8 14.8 11.3 7.5 4.2 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1
Brooke Byvoets 11.7 0.0 0.8 3.2 6.1 12.7 16.2 16.6 14.8 11.7 7.8 4.7 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Liv Hatch 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 5.0 11.6 14.7 15.7 15.6 13.3 9.2 5.6 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Angela Coulopoulos 12.2 0.0 0.7 1.8 4.4 10.0 13.8 15.9 15.7 13.7 9.9 6.4 3.4 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0