Winamac
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #80
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #17
Culver Academies Regional Rank #5
Logansport Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 16th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 83.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Caston Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Hoosier North Athletic Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 824 903 810 1,042 790 838 834 795 794 931
Team Adjusted Rating 903 810 882 790 838 834 795 794 931
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Caston Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Hoosier North Athletic Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
445  Margaret Smith 11 21:18 20:38 21:20 21:07 20:46 21:21 21:14 21:18 21:36 21:30
642  Kadence Hoover 10 21:51 20:55 22:27 21:55 22:21 21:30 21:31 21:57 21:39 21:40 22:20
686  Kelsey Wegner 11 21:57 21:32 22:00 21:31 21:50 21:52 22:03 21:51 22:05 22:00 22:16
737  Kandace Kroft 9 22:05 22:12 22:27 23:08 23:08 22:46 22:06 21:41 21:42 21:54
821  Avery Wagner 9 22:19 22:51 22:17 21:53 21:41 22:06 22:34 22:25 22:01 24:17
1,068  Ariana Gualajara 12 22:51 23:53 23:53 23:27 23:33 23:24 23:33 22:21 22:40 23:18
Jewel Conner 12 24:19 24:21
Lily Bennett 11 24:28 24:10 24:55 24:17 24:34
Claire Goodman 10 24:40 23:58 24:03 24:04 24:36 25:20 24:47 27:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 83.6% 16.6 421 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 12.9 30.4 16.7 10.8 6.5 3.0
Regionals 100% 4.8 142 2.7 34.9 46.0 11.9 3.2 0.9 0.3
Sectionals 100% 3.0 82 0.0 2.7 96.4 0.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Margaret Smith 98.5% 84.7 90.8% 27.1%
Kadence Hoover 84.8% 110.5 6.8% 1.4%
Kelsey Wegner 84.1% 115.1 2.7% 0.6%
Kandace Kroft 83.8% 120.2 1.1% 0.2%
Avery Wagner 83.6% 130.4 0.1% 0.0%
Ariana Gualajara 83.6% 152.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Margaret Smith 100% 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.5 3.8 5.7 8.0 9.1 10.6 100.0%
Kadence Hoover 100% 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 100.0%
Kelsey Wegner 100% 31.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Kandace Kroft 100% 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Avery Wagner 100% 37.3 100.0%
Ariana Gualajara 100% 47.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Margaret Smith 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.7 8.7 10.0 11.4 13.4 13.7 15.8 19.9 3.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
Kadence Hoover 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.0 4.1 8.1 28.8 22.9 15.1 9.1 4.5 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Kelsey Wegner 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.6 4.4 17.2 22.9 20.1 14.3 9.0 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1
Kandace Kroft 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.8 7.7 13.3 19.2 19.4 15.8 10.4 6.0 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2
Avery Wagner 19.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.7 6.0 11.5 17.0 19.6 15.9 11.6 6.8 4.2 1.9
Ariana Gualajara 24.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.3 8.0 11.2 13.6 14.9