Avon
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #24
Brownsburg Regional Rank #6
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Brown County Harrier Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
Date 8/13 8/19 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 396 380 381 364 405 398 338 478 506 486
Team Adjusted Rating 380 381 364 405 398 338 478 506 486
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Brown County Harrier Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
Jessica Hegedus 12 18:18 18:22 18:05 18:12 18:16 18:10 18:15 18:11 18:17 18:48 18:37 18:24
112  Ava Watkins 11 19:49 20:17 19:55 19:52 19:44 19:58 19:52 19:59 20:03 19:53 19:39 19:55
214  Eve Schurr 11 20:28 20:10 19:59 20:35 20:07 20:26 20:25 20:15 21:08 22:40 22:14
408  Malak Marzak 10 21:16 21:37 21:23 21:10 21:10 21:13 20:53 20:46 21:34 21:10 21:41
419  Lauren Mosley 12 21:19 20:46 21:15 21:10 21:11 21:27 21:45 20:55 21:35 21:53 21:08
428  Ava Webb 10 21:22 21:57 21:25 21:05 21:30
583  Ava Lillpop 9 21:45 22:37 22:11 21:34 21:38 21:32 21:37 21:38 21:47
740  Claire Vetter 10 22:06 23:04 21:40 21:54 21:45 22:00 21:51 22:24 22:37
765  Olivia Haberman 9 22:10 22:18 22:01 22:06
993  Sophia Fallowfield 12 22:42 22:56 22:50 22:45 22:41 22:23 22:21 23:08
995  Haley Uberta 11 22:42 22:06 22:34 22:33 22:38 22:48 22:46 22:55
1,128  Eliza Louthain 10 23:02 23:46 25:05 23:15 22:52 23:00 23:08 22:49
1,188  Isabella Ventura 11 23:11 22:43 22:57 22:26 23:05 23:14 23:52 23:02
1,220  Summer Smyth 9 23:14 23:29 23:27 22:50
Kyla French 12 23:54 23:41 23:31 23:51 23:27 24:00 24:31
Gwen Parsons 9 24:16 25:24 23:13 23:48 24:38 24:49 23:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.9 194 1.6 9.4 24.7 32.4 23.7 7.3 1.0 0.2
Sectionals 100% 2.3 57 5.0 58.9 36.0 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 100% 8.3 0.1 0.7 2.2 5.0 8.5 11.0 11.1 9.4 9.2 8.4 7.0 5.7 4.7 3.3 3.1 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Ava Watkins 91.7% 108.5 91.7% 91.7%
Eve Schurr 9.3% 157.0 9.3% 9.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 100% 1.7 4.9 65.8 16.7 6.0 4.0 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Ava Watkins 100% 26.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.4 2.0 1.8 2.0 3.1 3.4 2.7 3.3 3.1 4.0 3.9 4.1 4.0 4.4 100.0%
Eve Schurr 100% 42.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Malak Marzak 100% 64.5 100.0%
Lauren Mosley 100% 66.9 100.0%
Ava Lillpop 100% 88.8 100.0%
Sophia Fallowfield 100% 141.5 92.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 1.0 100.0 0.1
Ava Watkins 5.5 4.4 8.6 12.0 13.9 21.1 15.0 12.6 10.3 1.9 0.3 0.1
Eve Schurr 10.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 3.3 5.1 10.6 24.9 23.0 15.6 8.0 4.6 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
Malak Marzak 18.0 0.2 0.2 1.2 3.4 4.8 8.0 10.3 11.0 11.1 9.8 8.4 7.0 6.4 4.9 4.0 3.0
Lauren Mosley 19.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.6 5.2 7.0 9.2 11.1 10.6 9.8 8.8 7.1 6.2 4.7 3.6
Ava Lillpop 27.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.6 3.4 3.8 4.9 6.0 6.7
Sophia Fallowfield 41.5