Brownsburg
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #16
Brownsburg Regional Rank #4
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 9.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight North Central JV Invitational Brownsburg JV Last Run Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
Date 9/2 9/9 9/23 9/30 10/4 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 313 289 317 369 342 868 371 319 320
Team Adjusted Rating 256 317 369 342 313 313 371 319 320
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight North Central JV Invitational Brownsburg JV Last Run Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
56  Scout Newman 10 19:25 19:43 18:36 19:02 19:46 19:30 19:23 19:17 19:31
122  Lucy Tolliver 10 19:52 19:36 19:45 19:59 20:46 20:20 19:54 19:42 19:57
143  MacKenzie Steele 11 20:01 20:24 19:44 19:54 19:42 20:01 20:34 19:52 20:05
172  Hannah Oppy 12 20:11 20:40 20:52 20:46 20:30 21:05 20:36 20:02
262  Mackenzie Williams 12 20:41 21:25 20:23 20:40 20:21 20:36 20:57 20:48 20:44
337  Savannah Dyer 9 20:57 21:04 20:36 21:29 21:23 20:36 20:46 20:53
490  Elise Cougill 12 21:31 20:47 20:51 21:50 20:55 22:12
646  Mary McCluskey 12 21:55 22:05 21:46 22:38 22:04 21:29 21:32 23:11
831  Abigail Altschul 9 22:19 23:03 22:20 22:24 22:07 21:45
862  Sofia Bragg 10 22:25 21:09 22:46 22:13 22:08 22:34 22:17
909  Charlotte Robison 9 22:32 23:11 22:27 22:33 22:18 22:14
963  Skyler Dickenson 12 22:40 22:13 21:53 22:50 23:18
990  Sophia Lone 10 22:42 23:45 23:02 22:57 21:57 21:47
1,063  Ella Schott 9 22:52 23:06 22:57 22:48 22:14
1,249  Kennedy York 10 23:19 20:43 23:16
Gigi Miller 9 23:51 23:33 23:38 23:40 23:49 25:00
Renee Walmoth 12 23:59 23:58 21:52 23:21 24:07 24:37 24:24
Savannah Walters 9 24:01 23:38 25:25 23:53 24:18 23:52
Carly Boone 11 24:15 25:04 23:36 24:30 24:25 23:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 15.1 383 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.3 2.9 4.9 7.0 9.4 8.8 9.4 10.4 10.2 9.0 8.2 6.0 5.5 4.1 2.0 0.3 0.2
Regionals 100% 4.1 157 0.2 1.9 27.1 41.5 18.7 8.0 2.5 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 38 93.7 5.6 0.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scout Newman 100% 60.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 98.9%
Lucy Tolliver 100% 116.5 77.9%
MacKenzie Steele 100% 135.4 58.0%
Hannah Oppy 100% 153.1 37.0%
Mackenzie Williams 100% 195.9 1.5%
Savannah Dyer 100% 212.1 0.1%
Elise Cougill 100% 234.6 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scout Newman 100% 12.8 0.2 0.5 0.7 2.7 4.6 7.1 10.0 9.4 7.5 9.1 6.5 5.7 5.3 4.0 3.9 3.9 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.4 1.7 1.5 100.0%
Lucy Tolliver 100% 27.8 0.2 0.7 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.5 3.9 100.0%
MacKenzie Steele 100% 32.6 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.9 1.3 1.7 2.3 3.2 2.8 100.0%
Hannah Oppy 100% 36.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 100.0%
Mackenzie Williams 100% 48.0 0.1 100.0%
Savannah Dyer 100% 54.9 100.0%
Elise Cougill 100% 75.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scout Newman 2.2 0.1 46.2 23.7 13.4 11.5 4.5 0.8 0.1
Lucy Tolliver 5.9 0.9 6.4 10.3 13.3 21.1 26.5 14.1 5.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
MacKenzie Steele 7.2 0.2 1.6 4.0 7.5 11.0 19.7 30.2 16.2 6.7 2.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Hannah Oppy 8.4 0.4 1.0 2.3 4.2 9.7 19.6 35.5 16.6 8.0 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1
Mackenzie Williams 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.5 12.7 18.7 23.4 17.5 12.5 6.0 2.8 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
Savannah Dyer 14.2 0.1 1.3 3.9 9.1 15.9 17.1 15.1 11.3 8.5 5.7 4.9 2.7 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.3
Elise Cougill 22.6 0.1 0.5 1.9 2.8 4.3 5.8 6.4 9.2 6.5 7.8 7.5 7.2 7.3