Fairfield
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #86
New Prairie Regional Rank #20
Elkhart Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Oak Hill Invitational Manchester Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northeast Corner Conference Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional
Date 8/26 9/2 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 862 878 970 914 806 808 907 852
Team Adjusted Rating 860 943 914 806 808 907 852
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Oak Hill Invitational Manchester Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northeast Corner Conference Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional
464  Kaitlyn Kuhn 12 21:28 21:23 21:21 21:27 21:19 21:23 21:26 21:34 21:27
525  Natalee Lambright 10 21:36 21:07 21:42 21:48 21:12 21:38 21:41 21:40
562  Lyla Dennis 9 21:42 21:16 21:48 21:44 21:27 21:35 21:47 21:53
817  Lorelei Shively 9 22:16 23:16 23:28 22:37 22:01 22:18 22:22 22:04
1,159  Claira Foust 9 23:06 23:34 23:37 22:20 23:30 22:54
1,197  Emma Walter 9 23:12 23:27 24:37 23:43 23:36 22:36 23:34 23:00
Natalie Moreland 10 23:40 25:18 23:24 23:34 23:45 23:11 23:10 24:20 23:56
Jalyn Stofleth 11 24:42 24:18 24:51 26:20 24:09 24:32 25:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 18.8 466 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.4 4.4 8.3 12.5 14.7 16.4 16.5 16.1 9.0
Sectionals 100% 4.4 120 0.1 0.4 28.6 25.5 22.0 23.6 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Kuhn 100% 83.8 100.0%
Natalee Lambright 100% 91.3 100.0%
Lyla Dennis 100% 96.3 100.0%
Lorelei Shively 100% 134.1 99.5%
Claira Foust 100% 181.3 55.8%
Emma Walter 100% 185.5 44.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Kuhn 13.6 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.6 5.5 7.0 8.6 8.2 9.8 7.8 8.8 7.0 6.4 6.1 5.2 3.3 2.8 2.7 1.5 0.9 0.7
Natalee Lambright 16.7 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.4 2.4 4.5 5.2 6.6 7.0 7.0 8.0 8.2 7.8 6.9 7.3 5.3 4.4 4.1 3.6 2.8
Lyla Dennis 18.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 2.3 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 6.7 6.7 8.3 8.1 7.1 8.3 6.5 4.9 5.1 3.9
Lorelei Shively 28.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.0 2.9 4.2 5.3
Claira Foust 40.2
Emma Walter 41.8