Marion
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #122
New Haven Regional Rank #24
Marion Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Hare and Hound Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic North Central Conference Marion Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 1,035 1,019 1,033 959 1,185 1,184 1,191 1,078 1,020 1,034
Team Adjusted Rating 1,019 1,033 959 1,043 1,076 1,101 1,078 1,020 1,034
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Hare and Hound Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic North Central Conference Marion Sectional New Haven Regional
452  Emily Luckey 12 21:26 21:43 21:59 21:22 21:05 20:30 21:53 21:27 21:48 21:20 21:14
615  Kenzie Larson 10 21:49 22:07 21:37 22:00 21:32 22:26 22:06 22:39 22:36 21:57 21:37
1,153  Halle Larson 12 23:05 23:15 22:13 23:06 21:56 23:36 23:14 23:19 22:51 23:15 23:03
1,246  Molley Steenbergh 12 23:18 24:43 23:24 22:53 23:43 23:30 23:00 23:22
1,292  Maizey Kuch 9 23:24 23:33 23:40 23:30 23:19 23:14 23:24 23:02 23:16 23:44
Ava Summers 11 24:55 27:16 26:17 26:52 25:54 27:22 26:53 25:37 25:49 25:05 24:41
Jackie Williams 12 26:09 26:23 26:02 25:49 28:55 26:13 25:28 27:04 26:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 21.6 535 0.2 0.3 1.3 6.0 13.7 23.0 23.4 26.8 4.7
Sectionals 100% 2.8 91 0.9 26.4 68.5 4.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Luckey 100% 81.8 100.0%
Kenzie Larson 100% 101.0 100.0%
Halle Larson 100% 177.3 100.0%
Molley Steenbergh 100% 188.9 100.0%
Maizey Kuch 100% 193.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Luckey 6.3 0.2 3.4 18.0 22.0 23.6 21.4 8.3 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Kenzie Larson 8.7 0.2 0.8 2.9 7.5 14.8 32.1 20.1 10.7 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1
Halle Larson 22.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 2.6 3.3 4.6 5.9 7.2 8.8 11.3 12.3 11.8 9.7
Molley Steenbergh 25.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.3 4.1 5.9 8.6 11.6 12.9
Maizey Kuch 26.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 2.9 3.2 6.7 7.2 10.4