Roncalli
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #23
Shelbyville Regional Rank #7
Shelbyville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Marion County Cougarpalooza Indiana All Catholic Championship Golden Bear Invitational Circle City Conference Greensburg Invitational Shelbyville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Date 8/26 9/6 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/28 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 394 352 384 414 507 537 523 495
Team Adjusted Rating 352 384 414 398 444 424 399
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Marion County Cougarpalooza Indiana All Catholic Championship Golden Bear Invitational Circle City Conference Greensburg Invitational Shelbyville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
95  Tessa Mize 9 19:42 19:09 19:26 19:28 19:39 20:24 19:57 19:52 19:58
138  Ava Shirley 10 19:59 21:06 19:47 19:54 19:55 19:39 20:10 20:12 20:03 20:01
154  Charlie Fletter 10 20:03 21:03 20:10 19:40 20:12
343  Valeria Lara 12 20:58 21:09 20:49 21:06 21:47 21:00 21:26 21:15 20:47
369  Madelyn Kitchens 10 21:03 20:38 20:56 21:15 20:41 21:23 20:53 21:00 21:10
680  Marygrace Rykowski 10 22:00 22:55 22:51 22:01 21:44 21:51 21:48
1,004  Amelia Shirley 12 22:43 21:49 23:22 22:38 22:42 23:41 22:20 22:20 24:03
1,111  Ariana Corona 10 22:59 23:20 22:57 23:49 22:42 22:33
1,147  Claire Meinerding 10 23:05 21:59 23:01 27:04
1,162  Rachel Flick 11 23:07 21:58 23:22 23:32 23:25 22:38 23:18 23:05 23:16 22:54
Ava Linton 9 23:46 24:37 23:29 24:01 23:17 23:45




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 10.7 297 0.1 1.5 3.9 7.3 12.5 17.9 21.9 19.2 10.9 4.6 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.9 87 4.3 32.5 36.4 24.3 2.7 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tessa Mize 91.1% 92.9 0.1 91.1% 91.1%
Ava Shirley 57.7% 118.5 57.7% 57.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tessa Mize 100% 22.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.5 2.7 4.0 3.8 5.0 6.1 5.4 6.3 6.1 5.6 5.3 5.9 100.0%
Ava Shirley 100% 32.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 1.9 2.6 3.4 3.5 100.0%
Valeria Lara 100% 79.6 100.0%
Madelyn Kitchens 100% 84.4 100.0%
Marygrace Rykowski 100% 132.9 94.1%
Amelia Shirley 100% 163.8 22.9%
Rachel Flick 100% 175.2 2.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tessa Mize 4.6 1.1 7.9 26.5 25.6 19.3 10.8 4.5 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1
Ava Shirley 6.8 0.7 2.8 9.9 19.8 20.8 14.7 10.7 7.3 5.6 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1
Valeria Lara 19.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.8 3.2 4.7 5.1 8.0 10.4 12.8 11.6 12.5 10.0 7.9 4.2 2.0
Madelyn Kitchens 20.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.8 1.6 2.2 4.0 6.9 7.7 9.9 11.3 14.0 12.9 10.9 6.2 4.3
Marygrace Rykowski 33.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0
Amelia Shirley 43.1
Rachel Flick 47.3