Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #18
New Haven Regional Rank #4
Manchester Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.4%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Larry James Invitational NLC Round Robin #1 Marion Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/13 8/19 8/29 9/2 9/12 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 324 352 499 372 392 332 377 911 381 395 484 339
Team Adjusted Rating 292 284 326 306 332 311 357 381 395 379 339
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Larry James Invitational NLC Round Robin #1 Marion Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
11  Josefina Rastrelli 12 18:25 18:05 17:47 18:55 18:03 18:33 18:01 18:32 18:30 19:02 18:29
145  Samantha Rastrelli 10 20:01 20:17 19:39 19:45 19:52 20:11 20:01 20:02 19:59 19:56 20:09
226  Eden Metz 10 20:31 20:16 20:17 19:52 20:24 20:04 20:01 20:42 20:59 20:40 20:37
235  Marrisa Howett 12 20:33 20:42 20:28 20:33 20:37 20:12 20:13 20:38 20:35 20:44
256  Ella Laput 11 20:39 20:38 21:44 22:37 21:13 23:05 21:21 21:13 20:31
482  Elizabeth Vander Bie 12 21:31 20:33 21:06 21:55 21:26 21:03 21:11 20:46 22:02 23:39 22:11
548  Margot Sprankle 10 21:40 22:13 21:37 21:37 21:30 21:14 21:38 21:37 21:17 21:39 22:18 21:46
827  Annabel Parker 11 22:18 23:06 21:58 22:03 22:35 21:41 21:41 21:45 23:06 22:48
869  Madeline Lezark 11 22:26 21:57 23:00 22:03 22:07 23:20 22:24 22:09 22:25
874  Issy Hermann 12 22:27 22:20 23:04 22:35 21:48 25:18
927  Matilda Granger 9 22:35 21:05 22:39 23:24 22:22
954  Bryce Eherenman 11 22:39 22:17 22:19 22:53 22:29 23:30 22:23 22:35 22:33 22:39
999  Madeline Langhorn 22:42 22:40
1,116  Hannah Fisher 10 23:00 22:38 23:26 23:29 22:39 23:12 22:47 23:15 22:35 22:57
1,208  Kaelyn Stoffel 11 23:13 25:26 23:22 22:30 23:42 22:29 23:53
Mackenzie Langhorn 11 23:55 21:52 22:56 23:01 24:08 24:10 24:14 24:47
Margaret Barnett 11 24:16 22:34 27:55 23:44 23:24 26:59 25:08 24:29
Abygail Hermann 12 24:35 25:08 23:42 25:09 24:30 24:54 24:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 17.3 424 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.0 3.6 4.8 6.5 8.9 10.2 11.0 13.1 14.5 10.3 8.2 4.4 1.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 4.0 162 23.0 54.1 22.0 0.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 52 97.2 2.6 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Josefina Rastrelli 100% 10.6 0.1 0.6 2.1 4.5 6.0 7.6 7.8 8.5 7.8 8.8 6.9 6.6 5.3 4.4 4.3 3.3 2.5 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.6 100.0%
Samantha Rastrelli 100% 136.3 48.0%
Eden Metz 100% 183.0 3.2%
Marrisa Howett 100% 186.1 2.4%
Ella Laput 100% 193.7 0.9%
Elizabeth Vander Bie 100% 234.2 0.0%
Margot Sprankle 100% 237.7 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Josefina Rastrelli 100% 4.1 0.1 8.6 19.0 19.2 30.7 14.5 6.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Samantha Rastrelli 100% 31.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.4 100.0%
Eden Metz 100% 47.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Marrisa Howett 100% 48.9 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ella Laput 100% 52.4 0.1 100.0%
Elizabeth Vander Bie 100% 86.0 100.0%
Margot Sprankle 100% 93.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Josefina Rastrelli 1.0 71.3 21.5 7.1 0.1 0.1
Samantha Rastrelli 9.5 0.7 1.7 3.2 5.9 10.1 16.2 23.2 33.8 4.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
Eden Metz 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 2.0 5.9 27.1 30.0 17.6 10.0 4.6 1.9 0.1 0.1
Marrisa Howett 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.8 5.5 23.1 25.4 22.0 13.7 5.9 2.1 0.1
Ella Laput 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.5 10.1 18.0 27.6 23.0 12.7 4.7 0.8 0.1 0.1
Elizabeth Vander Bie 18.4 0.4 2.7 8.8 28.4 23.7 15.5 9.1 5.2 2.9 1.6 0.8
Margot Sprankle 19.8 0.5 2.5 11.4 20.1 20.5 14.5 12.2 7.7 4.2 2.6