Winchester
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #128
New Haven Regional Rank #26
Delta Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Arabian Roundup Rick Weinheimer Classic Randolph Southern Invitational Union County Invitational South Adams Invitational Randolph County Winchester Invite Tri-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/19 8/29 9/2 9/9 9/13 9/16 9/26 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 1,079 1,375
Team Adjusted Rating 1,111 1,042 1,065 1,064 1,174 1,071 1,023 1,058 1,117
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Arabian Roundup Rick Weinheimer Classic Randolph Southern Invitational Union County Invitational South Adams Invitational Randolph County Winchester Invite Tri-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
536  Maggie Covert 10 21:38 21:39
870  Patricia Albertson 11 22:26 22:20
907  Erica Grubbs 11 22:31 23:51 23:06 22:37 22:15 22:30 22:39 22:15 22:09 23:01 22:11 22:28
986  Mariah Manning 10 22:42 22:42 22:47 22:12 22:35 22:30 25:38 22:18 22:10 23:20 23:28
Ellie Rose 10 25:00 24:41 24:32 25:33 24:52 25:12 24:40 24:59 24:44 26:14
Avery Mote 12 25:55 24:45 25:48 26:18 25:14 26:30 25:36 25:36 26:15 26:05 25:36
Maddy Hummell 12 27:14 27:06
Renny Huang 12 27:59 26:53 28:35 28:00 28:47 27:30 28:00 27:32
Aubrey Simmons 10 28:47 27:25 29:15 29:43 31:25 27:35 24:45 30:09 28:48 28:48
Maddy Keen 10 28:47 28:16 29:12 28:43 29:52 27:59 28:06 28:47 29:22 28:36 28:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 10.7 248 2.0 25.2 72.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erica Grubbs 100% 141.5 100.0% 96.0%
Mariah Manning 99.9% 153.5 99.9% 84.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erica Grubbs 22.7 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.1 5.3 7.7 9.3 11.9 13.9 12.7 12.6
Mariah Manning 24.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.8 4.2 5.7 9.4 13.4 14.1