Elkhart
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #78
New Prairie Regional Rank #18
Elkhart Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Elkhart Central Early Bird NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Minuteman Invitational New Prairie Invitational Dana Homo JV Invite Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Northwood JV Invitational Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional
Date 8/13 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/19 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 836 737 892 865 938 859 861 999 830 850 894
Team Adjusted Rating 737 892 865 876 813 861 861 999 830 850 894
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Elkhart Central Early Bird NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Minuteman Invitational New Prairie Invitational Dana Homo JV Invite Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Northwood JV Invitational Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional
372  Ashlyn Anderson 12 21:04 21:12 20:38 20:13 20:51 20:26 20:42 20:37 21:28 21:29 21:17 21:52
524  Val Cruz-Portillo 11 21:35 21:42 21:16 21:24 21:05 21:05 21:23 21:49 21:43 21:35 21:38 21:56
552  Alaina Dibley 11 21:41 21:03 21:53 22:07 21:52 21:21 21:25 21:08 21:40 21:37 21:49 21:45
658  Meghan Grasty 11 21:57 22:42 21:28 23:04 23:21 24:08 22:25 22:41 24:43 21:50 22:10 21:45
1,309  Brianna Canfield 9 23:26 22:49 23:46 26:08 24:23 23:52 23:15 23:06 23:02 23:23
Bria Jones 12 24:23 24:22 23:18 25:10 24:28
Harley Eash 11 24:30 23:16 24:49 23:03 24:59 24:34 23:54 25:30 24:51 25:25 24:17
Rosell Robles 9 24:46 26:04 25:16 24:56 24:25 25:21 25:31 24:55 24:29 24:44 24:32
Ellie Dibley 9 25:50 29:00 29:02 26:54 26:49 25:35 25:46 25:57 26:07 24:36 25:25
Laney Becraft 10 25:52 25:26 25:02 25:25 26:13 26:22
Aubrie Fruth 11 26:05 26:44 26:01 25:50 26:19 25:34 25:44 25:52 25:58 26:26 26:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 17.7 447 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.7 10.0 15.1 15.1 16.1 13.8 12.7 7.8 3.6
Sectionals 100% 4.1 114 0.7 39.8 24.7 20.7 14.2 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashlyn Anderson 0.2% 194.0 0.2% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashlyn Anderson 100% 64.7 100.0%
Val Cruz-Portillo 100% 90.6 100.0%
Alaina Dibley 100% 95.2 100.0%
Meghan Grasty 100% 112.9 100.0%
Brianna Canfield 100% 197.3 17.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashlyn Anderson 7.9 0.3 1.4 4.9 11.3 17.5 16.3 12.6 10.6 7.4 6.5 3.7 2.4 1.5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Val Cruz-Portillo 16.4 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 3.1 4.8 5.5 6.4 7.1 8.1 7.8 8.5 7.5 7.4 6.5 5.9 4.9 3.8 3.0 2.4
Alaina Dibley 18.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 2.6 3.5 3.8 5.9 6.5 7.3 8.2 7.3 7.8 8.2 7.6 5.4 5.2 4.9 3.0
Meghan Grasty 23.8 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.8 1.6 2.2 3.5 3.3 4.2 4.6 6.4 7.9 7.8 8.8 9.3
Brianna Canfield 45.5