Mishawaka
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #57
New Prairie Regional Rank #12
New Prairie Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff NIC Stomp Penn Invitational NLC Round Robin #1 Minuteman Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional
Date 8/13 8/19 8/26 8/29 9/9 9/12 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 626 591 668 822 600 979 697 658 820 846 684 703
Team Adjusted Rating 591 668 651 600 672 697 557 633 625 626 637
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff NIC Stomp Penn Invitational NLC Round Robin #1 Minuteman Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional
246  Koryn Flick 11 20:37 20:01 19:26 20:25 20:05 20:54 20:23 20:32 21:08 20:49
315  Savannah Hinton 10 20:51 21:22 21:53 21:22 21:28 21:03 20:54 20:46 21:01 21:02 20:30 20:53
350  Jada Rogers 12 20:59 20:30 21:42 20:40 20:39 21:03 21:35 20:23 21:09 20:55 20:48
571  Ellie Buraczewski 11 21:43 22:28 21:08 21:15 21:23 21:58 22:08 21:36 21:38 21:39 21:55
702  Tori Buraczewski 9 22:02 21:50 22:41 22:16 21:41 22:21 21:53 21:40
879  Genna Bultinck 11 22:27 21:38 23:01 22:38 22:18
1,154  Ava Fox 12 23:06 22:20 23:12 22:35 24:51 23:39 23:00 23:07
Sylvia Shields 11 23:40 23:31 22:38 23:15 24:59 24:14 23:16 23:22 24:13 24:04
Taryn Naragon 11 23:47 24:41 24:06 24:12 23:29 23:02 23:38
Miley Varda 10 24:59 24:41 25:57 24:18 26:09 24:32 25:00
Allie VanNevel 9 25:13 27:19 25:17 25:27 25:19 25:37 24:14 25:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 12.8 358 0.1 1.3 2.5 5.7 10.4 21.2 28.0 16.6 8.4 3.3 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.1 97 8.3 79.0 11.8 0.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Koryn Flick 11.4% 173.8 11.4% 11.4%
Savannah Hinton 1.7% 188.0 1.7% 1.7%
Jada Rogers 0.5% 195.0 0.5% 0.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Koryn Flick 100% 43.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Savannah Hinton 100% 54.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jada Rogers 100% 60.9 0.1 100.0%
Ellie Buraczewski 100% 98.0 100.0%
Ava Fox 100% 180.7 62.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Koryn Flick 7.4 2.6 7.5 11.2 11.7 12.7 10.9 9.6 8.3 7.6 5.9 4.5 3.0 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
Savannah Hinton 11.2 0.1 1.0 2.9 3.9 4.8 7.4 8.3 10.0 9.9 8.7 9.0 8.7 7.6 6.7 6.3 3.2 1.6 0.2 0.1
Jada Rogers 13.6 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.7 4.0 4.2 5.8 6.7 8.4 9.4 11.0 11.2 11.5 8.7 9.3 4.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1
Ellie Buraczewski 20.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 4.8 14.3 23.7 16.9 11.4 7.8 5.3 3.2
Ava Fox 41.8