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State Rank #105
New Haven Regional Rank #18
Delta Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor University Opener Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conf. Delta Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 968 986 897 1,161 892 993 1,064 1,056 991 978 1,095
Team Adjusted Rating 972 897 928 892 949 961 1,056 991 978 1,069
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor University Opener Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conf. Delta Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
116  Madison Gerber 12 19:49 20:13 19:33 19:31 19:18 19:39 19:44 19:40 21:03 20:05 20:00 19:42 20:14
326  Addison Gilbert 12 20:57 21:25 20:52 20:31 20:37 20:44 20:31 21:00 21:05 20:56 21:14
640  Madison Hamilton 12 21:56 22:40 22:02 21:24 21:34 21:22 22:11 21:51 21:53 21:56 22:22 23:18
Hailey Brune 9 24:57 25:27 25:23 25:30 24:41 24:21 27:11 24:47 24:40 25:08
Alyssa Fruechte 11 25:03 22:19 24:54 25:39 25:01 26:03 25:08 25:21 24:38
Haley Jauregui 10 25:34 25:00 24:37 24:49 25:50 25:46 25:38 25:56
Macy Isch 9 25:55 25:31 25:20 25:57 25:50 26:31 28:23




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 17.3 453 0.0 0.7 4.1 8.9 15.8 20.8 24.2 18.4 6.1 0.9
Sectionals 100% 4.7 138 0.2 21.6 25.7 24.2 17.3 11.0 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Gerber 85.8% 109.5 85.8% 85.8%
Addison Gilbert 0.1% 181.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Gerber 100% 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.9 1.9 2.6 2.8 4.0 4.3 5.8 6.4 6.4 100.0%
Addison Gilbert 100% 55.6 100.0%
Madison Hamilton 100% 101.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Gerber 2.2 2.3 38.4 38.4 20.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Addison Gilbert 7.2 0.0 0.6 15.3 15.6 14.8 14.8 11.8 10.7 7.7 4.3 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Madison Hamilton 18.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.4 5.0 7.5 9.1 10.6 9.6 10.7 10.5 8.8 8.1 5.4 3.9 2.3