All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Date | | |
8/18 |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
Team Rating |
94 | |
59 |
103 |
88 |
116 |
105 |
Team Adjusted Rating | | |
59 |
86 |
88 |
116 |
105 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
11 |
Sadie Foley |
11 |
18:29 |
18:41 |
18:02 |
18:20 |
18:24 |
18:53 |
18:34 |
21 |
Larkin Taylor |
10 |
18:46 |
19:11 |
18:15 |
18:44 |
18:42 |
18:55 |
18:43 |
25 |
Annabel Pollert |
10 |
18:49 |
19:10 |
18:49 |
18:32 |
18:40 |
18:54 |
18:48 |
34 |
Margo Halle |
9 |
19:02 |
|
18:52 |
19:04 |
19:04 |
19:10 |
18:50 |
40 |
Olivia Mundt |
12 |
19:09 |
18:59 |
18:34 |
|
19:04 |
19:10 |
19:46 |
98 |
Katy Dascoli |
12 |
19:42 |
20:03 |
19:36 |
19:35 |
19:31 |
19:44 |
19:42 |
106 |
Kaitlyn Oshimura |
11 |
19:45 |
|
19:20 |
19:57 |
|
20:01 |
19:34 |
107 |
Ella Gaddis |
12 |
19:46 |
20:22 |
20:00 |
19:42 |
19:22 |
19:43 |
19:42 |
155 |
Charlotte Konow |
12 |
20:12 |
19:53 |
20:07 |
|
20:08 |
20:12 |
20:20 |
189 |
Kalinda Lee |
9 |
20:23 |
|
20:08 |
24:08 |
20:23 |
20:29 |
20:28 |
191 |
Lilliana Cate |
11 |
20:24 |
21:16 |
20:09 |
20:38 |
20:22 |
20:17 |
20:09 |
219 |
Nola Elling |
12 |
20:33 |
20:14 |
20:10 |
21:04 |
20:28 |
20:34 |
|
233 |
Maija Gilhooly |
10 |
20:35 |
20:47 |
20:41 |
|
20:25 |
20:18 |
20:45 |
238 |
Ella Weaver |
9 |
20:37 |
|
21:19 |
20:17 |
20:38 |
20:18 |
20:33 |
255 |
Noelle Avila |
11 |
20:40 |
|
20:55 |
20:44 |
20:13 |
20:32 |
20:44 |
269 |
Ellie Smith |
11 |
20:44 |
|
21:01 |
|
20:43 |
20:33 |
20:34 |
326 |
Raya Chauhan |
12 |
20:56 |
|
|
|
|
20:55 |
20:50 |
328 |
Arden Finley |
11 |
20:56 |
21:28 |
24:15 |
20:51 |
21:02 |
20:55 |
20:32 |
360 |
Sophia Vasquez |
12 |
21:06 |
|
|
|
|
21:06 |
20:58 |
386 |
Katie Zhuravlev |
9 |
21:15 |
|
21:04 |
20:59 |
21:05 |
21:26 |
21:30 |
401 |
Veronica Strzynski |
12 |
21:18 |
21:50 |
25:15 |
21:35 |
20:49 |
21:00 |
21:26 |
418 |
Maddie Cox |
11 |
21:21 |
21:15 |
|
|
21:34 |
21:09 |
21:21 |
423 |
Malia Larger |
10 |
21:22 |
21:32 |
21:26 |
20:59 |
21:08 |
21:10 |
22:12 |
506 |
Elise Maurer |
9 |
21:34 |
|
21:30 |
34:20 |
22:23 |
21:28 |
21:05 |
512 |
Caroline Schmidt |
11 |
21:36 |
21:23 |
21:35 |
21:21 |
21:42 |
21:39 |
21:37 |
566 |
Emma Meisner |
10 |
21:44 |
21:45 |
22:03 |
21:48 |
21:44 |
21:15 |
21:35 |
569 |
Brianna Roper |
12 |
21:45 |
21:25 |
21:33 |
22:28 |
21:35 |
21:34 |
21:58 |
588 |
Ananya Potluri |
9 |
21:48 |
|
|
21:47 |
|
34:17 |
|
589 |
Emma Kistler |
11 |
21:48 |
22:29 |
21:24 |
22:17 |
21:31 |
22:00 |
21:28 |
679 |
Andrea Bendaly |
12 |
22:02 |
21:01 |
21:58 |
|
|
22:28 |
21:54 |
757 |
Lauren Goedde |
9 |
22:15 |
|
22:24 |
22:07 |
|
|
|
817 |
Eleanor Snopek |
9 |
22:26 |
|
22:19 |
21:59 |
22:39 |
22:56 |
22:09 |
818 |
Sophie Frey |
9 |
22:27 |
|
23:27 |
22:25 |
22:18 |
22:09 |
22:18 |
852 |
Annabelle Inman |
10 |
22:31 |
20:41 |
23:47 |
22:06 |
22:32 |
22:23 |
22:42 |
869 |
Hanna Schaller |
10 |
22:35 |
21:48 |
22:49 |
23:43 |
23:19 |
22:02 |
21:56 |
925 |
Eza Ahmad |
9 |
22:42 |
|
22:40 |
22:34 |
23:06 |
22:52 |
22:11 |
1,109 |
Mia Watson |
10 |
23:10 |
23:24 |
23:35 |
23:49 |
21:58 |
22:41 |
|
1,123 |
Vera Griffin |
10 |
23:11 |
23:25 |
23:31 |
23:12 |
23:14 |
22:43 |
22:53 |
1,141 |
Gia Ferrettie |
10 |
23:13 |
23:28 |
23:05 |
23:07 |
23:22 |
|
22:57 |
1,205 |
Sarina Patel |
10 |
23:22 |
|
23:18 |
23:10 |
23:36 |
23:44 |
22:57 |
1,207 |
Regan Murphy |
11 |
23:23 |
23:01 |
|
23:29 |
23:24 |
|
24:54 |
|
Francesca Andersen |
9 |
23:31 |
|
23:29 |
|
|
|
|
|
Camrin Petro |
11 |
23:41 |
23:33 |
23:37 |
23:42 |
23:56 |
23:45 |
23:15 |
|
Frannie Anderson |
9 |
23:41 |
|
|
23:42 |
23:41 |
|
23:35 |
|
Izzie Shin |
9 |
23:43 |
|
23:25 |
23:35 |
24:11 |
25:55 |
|
|
Ashlyn Neuoff |
11 |
23:46 |
|
23:21 |
23:49 |
23:45 |
23:40 |
24:10 |
|
Lexi Marsella |
11 |
23:53 |
23:11 |
24:16 |
23:52 |
|
23:43 |
23:55 |
|
Maddy Hill |
9 |
23:55 |
|
23:24 |
23:39 |
24:45 |
23:38 |
24:59 |
|
Marie Perrin |
9 |
23:56 |
|
23:34 |
24:03 |
23:59 |
23:45 |
24:07 |
|
Audrey Nace |
12 |
23:58 |
23:26 |
24:01 |
23:36 |
24:40 |
23:49 |
24:06 |
|
Emma Imler |
12 |
24:05 |
24:22 |
24:21 |
23:52 |
24:06 |
23:49 |
24:00 |
|
Ansley Lyons |
9 |
24:11 |
|
23:31 |
23:02 |
25:22 |
24:55 |
|
|
Madelyn Putman |
12 |
24:15 |
23:22 |
23:54 |
23:57 |
24:38 |
25:19 |
|
|
Demi Zhang |
9 |
24:21 |
|
25:05 |
23:38 |
26:05 |
24:09 |
24:29 |
|
Sam Feys |
10 |
24:25 |
22:58 |
24:28 |
24:02 |
24:36 |
24:57 |
|
|
Misha Desai |
10 |
24:38 |
23:41 |
24:36 |
|
25:56 |
24:38 |
24:20 |
|
Ella Cantafio |
11 |
24:46 |
23:23 |
25:17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Keeley Rohrer |
12 |
24:53 |
24:14 |
25:45 |
|
24:35 |
24:38 |
25:23 |
|
Eva Marsden |
11 |
25:02 |
24:03 |
25:34 |
24:17 |
|
|
25:44 |
|
Emma Warner |
10 |
25:06 |
23:36 |
25:29 |
25:02 |
25:05 |
24:37 |
25:58 |
|
Emily Migut |
9 |
25:20 |
|
|
26:32 |
23:23 |
25:25 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
State Finals |
100% |
1.3 |
98 |
81.8 |
12.3 |
3.3 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
36 |
96.8 |
2.9 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
25 |
98.8 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Sadie Foley |
100% |
11.8 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
3.6 |
6.0 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
Larkin Taylor |
100% |
22.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
Annabel Pollert |
100% |
25.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
Margo Halle |
100% |
36.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
Olivia Mundt |
100% |
43.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
Katy Dascoli |
100% |
96.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
Kaitlyn Oshimura |
100% |
102.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.6% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Sadie Foley |
100% |
2.4 |
1.8 |
33.8 |
39.1 |
14.3 |
5.8 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Larkin Taylor |
100% |
4.5 |
0.2 |
3.7 |
12.5 |
22.9 |
21.1 |
13.9 |
8.5 |
6.0 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
Annabel Pollert |
100% |
5.0 |
0.0 |
1.9 |
8.1 |
18.5 |
20.9 |
15.4 |
11.0 |
7.6 |
4.9 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
Margo Halle |
100% |
8.4 |
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
3.1 |
6.7 |
11.5 |
13.4 |
11.2 |
9.8 |
8.5 |
7.1 |
6.0 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Olivia Mundt |
100% |
10.4 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.5 |
5.6 |
8.9 |
10.3 |
9.2 |
9.7 |
7.8 |
7.9 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
5.2 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
Katy Dascoli |
100% |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.4 |
6.2 |
6.4 |
7.9 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
|
100.0% |
Kaitlyn Oshimura |
100% |
23.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
7.3 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Sadie Foley |
1.6 |
2.4 |
76.3 |
15.1 |
4.5 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Larkin Taylor |
3.1 |
0.1 |
9.7 |
38.5 |
26.3 |
11.8 |
5.7 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Annabel Pollert |
3.5 |
0.1 |
5.9 |
27.1 |
31.0 |
16.0 |
8.7 |
4.8 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Margo Halle |
5.8 |
|
0.4 |
3.5 |
9.7 |
22.5 |
17.0 |
13.8 |
10.7 |
7.3 |
5.9 |
4.1 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Olivia Mundt |
7.1 |
|
0.0 |
1.1 |
4.6 |
11.1 |
18.0 |
14.3 |
12.7 |
10.4 |
8.8 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Katy Dascoli |
14.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
5.5 |
7.5 |
10.2 |
13.9 |
15.3 |
13.6 |
10.0 |
6.6 |
4.4 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
Kaitlyn Oshimura |
15.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.7 |
5.1 |
8.2 |
11.4 |
14.5 |
14.0 |
13.6 |
9.4 |
6.2 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|