Carmel
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #1
Brownsburg Regional Rank #1
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 71.4%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off John Cleland Invitational (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Culver Invitational Nike Twilight Noblesville JV Invite North Central (Indpls) Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/7 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 89 65 109 95 122 121 84 298 134 369 110 77 83
Team Adjusted Rating 65 88 95 122 121 74 174 106 89 110 77 83
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off John Cleland Invitational (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Culver Invitational Nike Twilight Noblesville JV Invite North Central (Indpls) Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
11  Sadie Foley 11 18:30 18:41 18:05 18:22 18:28 18:55 18:40 18:14 18:30 18:34 18:32 18:25
12  Larkin Taylor 10 18:30 19:11 18:18 18:47 18:47 18:58 18:50 18:45 19:11 18:52 18:34 18:23
19  Annabel Pollert 10 18:37 19:10 18:52 18:35 18:45 18:56 18:55 18:28 18:55 18:38 18:23 18:33 18:29
39  Olivia Mundt 12 19:03 18:59 18:38 19:09 19:13 19:53 20:05 19:04 19:29 18:53 19:25
47  Ella Gaddis 12 19:11 20:22 20:04 19:46 19:27 19:46 19:49 19:53 20:10 19:14 19:01 19:14
51  Margo Halle 9 19:13 18:56 19:07 19:09 19:12 18:56 18:45 20:16 19:53 19:09 19:05
126  Katy Dascoli 12 19:55 20:03 19:40 19:38 19:36 19:46 19:49 19:21 20:21 19:54 19:56 19:58 20:17
137  Kaitlyn Oshimura 11 20:00 19:23 20:00 20:03 19:41 19:39 20:55 20:12 20:24
191  Lilliana Cate 11 20:22 21:16 20:13 20:41 20:28 20:20 20:17 20:07 20:48 20:21 20:07
210  Charlotte Konow 12 20:28 19:53 20:11 20:13 20:15 20:28 20:37 20:34 20:33 20:26
223  Noelle Avila 11 20:34 21:00 20:47 20:18 20:35 20:44 20:21 20:40 20:18 20:30
226  Ella Weaver 9 20:35 21:24 20:20 20:44 20:21 20:41 20:47 20:16 20:33 20:13
247  Kalinda Lee 9 20:38 20:12 24:13 20:28 20:32 20:27 20:32 21:01 20:51 21:06
263  Maija Gilhooly 10 20:42 20:47 20:45 20:31 20:21 20:53 21:01 20:39 20:34 20:39
285  Ellie Smith 11 20:48 21:06 20:49 20:36 20:33 21:00 20:38
292  Nola Elling 12 20:50 20:14 20:14 21:08 20:34 20:37 21:38 20:45
314  Arden Finley 11 20:54 21:28 24:21 20:55 21:08 20:58 20:31 20:54 20:58 20:42 20:50
324  Raya Chauhan 12 20:56 20:58 20:50
367  Sophia Vasquez 12 21:06 21:10 20:58
406  Veronica Strzynski 12 21:15 21:50 25:21 21:39 20:55 21:03 21:26 21:36 20:57 21:00 21:27
434  Katie Zhuravlev 9 21:22 21:09 21:03 21:11 21:30 21:29 21:27 21:25 21:11
454  Malia Larger 10 21:27 21:32 21:30 21:03 21:14 21:13 22:12 20:44 21:30 22:03 21:21
469  Elise Maurer 9 21:29 21:34 34:29 22:30 21:31 21:04 21:18 21:16 21:34
471  Maddie Cox 11 21:30 21:15 21:40 21:12 21:20 21:10 21:53 21:30
521  Caroline Schmidt 11 21:39 21:23 21:40 21:25 21:49 21:42 21:36 21:41 21:42 21:20
604  Emma Meisner 10 21:52 21:45 22:08 21:52 21:50 21:19 21:34 21:53 21:32 22:18 22:05
621  Brianna Roper 12 21:54 21:25 21:38 22:32 21:41 21:37 21:58 22:55 21:35 21:52 21:47
672  Emma Kistler 11 22:01 22:29 21:29 22:21 21:37 22:04 21:28 21:39 22:13 22:09 22:22
716  Andrea Bendaly 12 22:07 21:01 22:03 22:31 21:54 22:33 21:27 21:42 22:30
817  Lauren Goedde 9 22:21 22:29 22:11
820  Sophie Frey 9 22:21 23:32 22:29 22:25 22:13 22:17 22:19 21:57
849  Annabelle Inman 10 22:25 20:41 23:52 22:10 22:39 22:27 22:41 22:05 21:49 23:21 22:13
867  Eza Ahmad 9 22:28 22:45 22:38 23:13 22:56 22:10 22:14 21:46
872  Eleanor Snopek 9 22:29 22:24 22:03 22:46 23:00 22:09 22:25 21:52 22:38 22:45
1,104  Vera Griffin 10 23:02 23:25 23:37 23:17 23:21 22:46 22:53 22:37
1,115  Hanna Schaller 10 23:04 21:48 22:55 23:48 23:26 22:06 21:55 23:42 22:02 23:17 23:36
1,123  Mia Watson 10 23:05 23:24 23:40 23:53 22:04 22:44 23:35 22:27 22:41 23:44
1,168  Frannie Anderson 9 23:10 23:47 23:48 23:35 22:50 22:38 22:51
1,211  Gia Ferrettie 10 23:16 23:28 23:10 23:12 23:30 22:56 27:28 23:09 23:26
1,230  Sarina Patel 10 23:18 23:23 23:14 23:43 23:48 22:56 22:57 23:05 23:25
1,259  Francesca Andersen 9 23:22 23:35 23:14
Ansley Lyons 9 23:33 23:37 23:06 25:31 25:00 23:53 23:09 23:50 22:34
Camrin Petro 11 23:40 23:33 23:43 23:47 24:04 23:50 23:15 22:41 23:28 24:24
Maddy Hill 9 23:45 23:29 23:43 24:53 23:42 24:59 23:46 23:27 23:17 23:32
Izzie Shin 9 23:52 23:30 23:40 24:18 26:00
Audrey Nace 12 23:54 23:26 24:07 23:40 24:48 23:53 24:05 24:15 23:37 23:45 23:13
Ashlyn Neuoff 11 23:57 23:26 23:54 23:52 23:44 24:09 24:19 23:48 23:56
Demi Zhang 9 23:57 25:12 23:43 26:14 24:14 24:28 24:32 23:41 23:27 23:01
Regan Murphy 11 23:58 23:01 23:34 23:31 24:54 27:09
Lexi Marsella 11 23:59 23:11 24:22 23:56 23:47 23:55
Emma Imler 12 23:59 24:22 24:27 23:57 24:14 23:53 23:59 23:36
Marie Perrin 9 24:10 23:40 24:08 24:07 23:49 24:06 24:40 24:03 24:06 24:23
Madelyn Putman 12 24:12 23:22 24:00 24:02 24:46 25:24 24:08 23:34 24:05
Misha Desai 10 24:36 23:41 24:42 26:05 24:43 24:19 25:06 24:16 24:09 24:27
Sam Feys 10 24:40 22:58 24:34 24:07 24:44 25:02 26:18 24:38
Keeley Rohrer 12 24:42 24:14 25:52 24:43 24:43 25:22 24:36 24:10 24:24
Eva Marsden 11 25:17 24:03 25:40 24:22 25:43 25:49 24:33 25:16
Emily Migut 9 25:18 26:38 23:30 25:30 26:34 25:38 24:55 24:11
Ella Cantafio 11 25:25 23:23 25:24
Emma Warner 10 25:31 23:36 25:36 25:07 25:14 24:42 25:57 26:51
Piper Owen  9 31:45 31:27 33:04 33:18 32:54 31:59 33:22 35:12
Ananya Potluri 9 32:04 21:51 34:26 33:44




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 1.4 92 71.4 23.4 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 35 99.3 0.7 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 23 99.9 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 100% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.0 3.6 4.4 5.2 5.7 5.6 6.0 5.6 5.3 5.1 5.3 4.4 3.9 3.6 4.1 3.5 2.6 2.9 2.2 2.1 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 2.4 3.4 4.7 5.4 5.1 5.9 5.4 5.4 5.6 4.9 4.5 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.0 3.0 3.5 2.7 2.5 2.6 100.0%
Annabel Pollert 100% 19.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.4 3.9 4.5 3.9 4.3 4.1 4.8 4.7 3.7 4.3 4.4 3.9 4.0 3.6 3.5 3.4 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 41.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 100.0%
Ella Gaddis 100% 51.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 52.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 100.0%
Katy Dascoli 100% 123.6 98.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 100% 3.4 2.1 18.9 20.8 19.9 15.1 11.8 6.1 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 3.4 1.9 18.1 21.3 20.1 15.6 11.4 6.7 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Annabel Pollert 100% 4.6 0.7 7.8 13.0 17.8 18.6 16.9 13.7 5.3 2.6 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 9.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.6 3.9 8.4 14.4 14.4 12.2 9.9 8.8 6.3 5.3 4.2 3.0 2.3 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ella Gaddis 100% 11.7 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.4 7.1 10.2 10.4 10.9 8.9 8.7 7.8 6.6 5.7 4.8 3.7 3.0 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 12.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.3 5.6 8.2 9.8 10.1 9.5 9.5 8.4 7.8 5.5 5.4 4.4 3.1 2.8 1.7 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.7 100.0%
Katy Dascoli 100% 27.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.4 3.1 3.2 4.3 4.9 6.6 6.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 2.2 2.9 40.6 32.7 20.1 2.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
Larkin Taylor 2.3 2.2 37.7 33.5 22.7 3.0 0.5 0.4 0.0
Annabel Pollert 3.1 0.8 16.7 28.4 43.4 7.2 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Olivia Mundt 5.7 0.0 0.6 3.4 31.0 20.5 14.1 10.3 8.0 4.8 3.1 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ella Gaddis 7.3 0.0 0.9 11.9 16.9 16.2 12.8 11.7 9.7 6.9 4.5 3.2 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Margo Halle 7.6 0.1 0.3 9.9 15.3 16.8 13.1 11.9 10.8 7.4 5.2 3.6 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Katy Dascoli 16.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.7 2.1 3.5 6.0 7.1 8.4 11.2 13.2 12.6 10.3 7.8 5.6 4.1 3.0 1.7 1.3