All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Date | | |
8/18 |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
Team Rating |
488 | |
414 |
709 |
437 |
816 |
465 |
Team Adjusted Rating | | |
414 |
709 |
437 |
482 |
465 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
196 |
Jessica Martin |
10 |
20:25 |
19:53 |
27:48 |
21:13 |
20:22 |
20:16 |
20:19 |
242 |
Allison Van Kley |
11 |
20:38 |
20:42 |
20:45 |
22:14 |
20:30 |
|
20:27 |
305 |
Paige Clancy |
9 |
20:51 |
|
20:25 |
21:44 |
20:24 |
|
21:00 |
334 |
Lauren Kroft |
11 |
20:57 |
21:51 |
20:19 |
21:27 |
20:45 |
|
20:57 |
354 |
Veronica Wilgocki |
12 |
21:03 |
22:22 |
20:18 |
22:00 |
20:58 |
|
20:44 |
404 |
Ellie McClelland |
12 |
21:18 |
23:12 |
20:46 |
21:53 |
21:05 |
|
21:08 |
461 |
Thea Kirk |
|
21:27 |
|
|
21:26 |
21:26 |
|
|
516 |
Aubrey Bamber |
11 |
21:36 |
|
20:52 |
|
21:45 |
21:50 |
|
656 |
Alexa Jaworski |
11 |
21:59 |
23:07 |
21:39 |
21:46 |
21:45 |
|
22:28 |
687 |
Eva Solomos |
9 |
22:03 |
|
|
|
22:26 |
21:57 |
21:46 |
786 |
Natalie Williams |
9 |
22:21 |
|
22:08 |
22:20 |
23:10 |
22:15 |
22:00 |
1,090 |
Eshaal Ali |
10 |
23:08 |
|
|
23:03 |
23:03 |
23:01 |
23:18 |
1,135 |
Natascha Lepinasse |
10 |
23:12 |
|
23:24 |
21:49 |
23:54 |
|
|
1,186 |
Sierra Grant |
11 |
23:20 |
24:07 |
23:12 |
23:02 |
23:15 |
23:27 |
|
1,235 |
Kylia Peterson |
12 |
23:26 |
24:03 |
23:38 |
24:00 |
22:33 |
23:05 |
|
1,246 |
Kyndal Haynes |
12 |
23:27 |
21:40 |
|
24:25 |
|
|
|
|
Caroline Mills |
12 |
23:34 |
21:51 |
24:42 |
23:34 |
23:42 |
23:03 |
|
|
Jany Zhang |
11 |
23:39 |
23:33 |
25:56 |
23:58 |
23:46 |
23:11 |
|
|
Luci Raffin |
12 |
24:24 |
24:09 |
24:37 |
24:29 |
23:36 |
24:55 |
|
|
Alaina McGrogan |
12 |
24:47 |
23:12 |
24:58 |
25:50 |
24:32 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
State Finals |
3.4% |
22.6 |
543 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
Regionals |
100% |
8.1 |
260 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.9 |
17.4 |
23.2 |
20.6 |
15.3 |
9.4 |
5.7 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
3.4 |
81 |
0.3 |
2.3 |
51.6 |
45.4 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Jessica Martin |
15.5% |
150.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.5% |
13.6% |
Allison Van Kley |
5.8% |
165.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.5% |
3.1% |
Paige Clancy |
3.6% |
184.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
0.3% |
Lauren Kroft |
3.4% |
195.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Veronica Wilgocki |
3.4% |
200.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Ellie McClelland |
3.4% |
215.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Thea Kirk |
3.4% |
222.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Jessica Martin |
100% |
41.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
Allison Van Kley |
100% |
50.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Paige Clancy |
100% |
61.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Lauren Kroft |
100% |
66.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Veronica Wilgocki |
100% |
69.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Ellie McClelland |
100% |
82.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Thea Kirk |
100% |
90.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Jessica Martin |
10.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
4.9 |
9.2 |
14.7 |
17.0 |
13.1 |
10.1 |
7.7 |
6.1 |
4.5 |
3.4 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
Allison Van Kley |
13.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
5.2 |
7.6 |
11.1 |
10.7 |
10.8 |
9.3 |
8.8 |
8.3 |
7.4 |
5.8 |
4.3 |
2.8 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Paige Clancy |
17.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
5.5 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
9.0 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
10.0 |
8.6 |
6.9 |
5.4 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
Lauren Kroft |
18.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
5.6 |
6.9 |
7.7 |
8.7 |
10.6 |
10.9 |
9.5 |
7.9 |
6.6 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
Veronica Wilgocki |
20.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.4 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
8.8 |
10.3 |
11.2 |
10.2 |
8.6 |
7.2 |
5.8 |
Ellie McClelland |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
6.0 |
7.4 |
11.0 |
10.0 |
10.1 |
Thea Kirk |
26.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
5.2 |
7.3 |
9.0 |
|