Concord
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #74
New Prairie Regional Rank #20
Elkhart Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Early Bird NLC Round 1 Marion Invitational NLC Super Dual #2 Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic ECA Invite Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 9/3 9/7 9/11 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/1 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 810 939 1,038 956 955 896 764 1,033 853 836 811
Team Adjusted Rating 781 1,038 956 955 896 764 938 853 836 811
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Early Bird NLC Round 1 Marion Invitational NLC Super Dual #2 Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic ECA Invite Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
95  Zoe Roberts 12 19:37 20:24 19:43 20:16 20:08 20:28 19:47 19:36 19:57 19:31 19:42 19:26 19:37
491  Maggie Weldy 12 21:33 21:27 21:34 21:45 21:42 21:24 21:33 21:24 21:31 21:17 21:36 21:32
511  Abriana Davila 12 21:37 22:22 22:42 23:01 22:06 22:09 21:24 22:09 21:45 21:21 21:25
1,119  Evie Mashala 10 23:05 23:57 23:20 24:40 23:43 24:13 24:28 22:35 24:58 24:34 24:07 22:52
1,154  Serena Poindexter 12 23:08 25:09 22:20 23:59 23:03 23:37 22:47 23:13 22:53 22:45 23:42
Jade Witt 12 25:08 25:34 26:35 26:07 25:14 25:44 25:01 24:40 25:44 24:45 26:41 24:55
Elizabeth Evans 11 25:23 26:14 26:18 25:50 25:36 26:06 25:53 25:40 25:27 25:44 25:36 25:09
Guadalupe Salvador 11 25:47 24:39 24:29 25:15 25:42 26:57 26:06
Mia Mejia 12 27:01 27:01 27:00
Zoe Smith 10 27:04 29:22 28:25 30:27 26:30 28:36 25:46 27:21 26:04
Breeze Valenzuela 10 27:12 25:16 26:41 27:04 27:29 26:30 27:36 28:34 26:43 27:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 17.4 435 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.7 11.1 31.9 39.3 11.1 1.5 0.2
Sectionals 100% 5.1 139 0.2 1.4 26.3 35.3 29.9 6.2 0.7 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Roberts 97.3% 92.5 0.0 97.3% 97.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Roberts 100% 16.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.6 4.3 5.0 5.6 6.1 6.9 6.1 6.0 7.0 6.6 5.9 5.4 5.1 4.2 3.7 3.2 2.5 100.0%
Maggie Weldy 100% 91.7 100.0%
Abriana Davila 100% 94.6 100.0%
Evie Mashala 100% 178.8 9.4%
Serena Poindexter 100% 181.5 6.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Roberts 3.2 1.7 7.9 30.5 51.6 5.8 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0
Maggie Weldy 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 3.0 4.7 7.0 7.8 10.0 11.4 9.0 9.6 8.2 7.1 6.0
Abriana Davila 21.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.8 3.3 5.1 6.3 8.2 10.0 10.1 10.4 9.9 8.7 7.4
Evie Mashala 45.5
Serena Poindexter 46.5