All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
296 | |
390 |
312 |
316 |
983 |
321 |
416 |
511 |
717 |
431 |
360 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
301 |
312 |
316 |
296 |
321 |
344 |
332 |
296 |
323 |
294 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 64 |
Abby Lotter |
11 |
19:22 |
20:12 |
19:19 |
19:20 |
19:28 |
|
19:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 69 |
Caitlin Hawkins |
9 |
19:24 |
|
19:31 |
19:23 |
19:12 |
|
19:19 |
19:26 |
|
|
19:32 |
19:42 |
19:16 |
| 75 |
Isabella Murch |
12 |
19:26 |
20:21 |
|
19:32 |
19:43 |
|
20:18 |
20:11 |
19:36 |
|
19:12 |
19:36 |
19:18 |
| 250 |
Mia Quagliaroli |
9 |
20:38 |
|
21:17 |
21:11 |
21:18 |
|
21:32 |
20:56 |
20:55 |
|
20:56 |
20:27 |
|
| 281 |
Allie Belush |
11 |
20:47 |
|
20:47 |
21:01 |
21:11 |
|
21:01 |
20:47 |
21:00 |
|
21:01 |
20:36 |
|
| 352 |
Lorelai Polk |
9 |
21:02 |
|
21:22 |
21:29 |
21:15 |
|
21:13 |
21:02 |
21:14 |
|
|
20:50 |
|
| 405 |
Melanie Perez |
9 |
21:15 |
|
21:19 |
20:47 |
21:04 |
|
20:53 |
21:01 |
21:15 |
|
21:36 |
21:35 |
|
| 412 |
Eve Ziino |
9 |
21:17 |
|
|
|
|
|
21:00 |
20:56 |
21:22 |
|
21:32 |
21:18 |
|
| 421 |
Ashley Wright |
12 |
21:19 |
|
20:41 |
21:26 |
20:33 |
|
20:32 |
21:26 |
22:08 |
21:02 |
22:25 |
|
|
| 481 |
Fedora Hagenaars |
10 |
21:32 |
21:46 |
21:46 |
21:06 |
21:05 |
|
21:40 |
21:35 |
21:35 |
|
|
|
|
| 503 |
Kate Sheidler |
11 |
21:35 |
21:43 |
|
|
|
|
|
21:31 |
21:41 |
21:27 |
|
|
|
| 564 |
Aaliyah Hayes |
10 |
21:45 |
23:00 |
21:29 |
20:51 |
22:43 |
|
21:29 |
22:00 |
21:27 |
22:47 |
|
|
|
| 590 |
Grier Swaim |
11 |
21:49 |
21:21 |
21:21 |
21:27 |
21:41 |
|
21:29 |
22:26 |
22:10 |
|
|
|
|
| 599 |
Corinne McClanahan |
12 |
21:50 |
22:02 |
21:34 |
21:32 |
21:33 |
|
|
23:46 |
21:50 |
22:29 |
|
|
|
| 634 |
Lucy Clendenen |
11 |
21:56 |
24:23 |
21:37 |
22:02 |
22:17 |
22:57 |
|
21:50 |
21:43 |
21:35 |
|
|
|
| 645 |
Tanvi Pothuri |
12 |
21:58 |
22:07 |
22:19 |
21:44 |
23:02 |
21:47 |
|
21:47 |
21:40 |
22:00 |
|
|
|
| 704 |
Braelynn Bodnar |
10 |
22:05 |
23:30 |
22:17 |
22:07 |
21:54 |
22:32 |
|
22:36 |
21:40 |
21:41 |
|
|
|
| 876 |
Kylie Lengner |
10 |
22:30 |
|
22:28 |
|
|
23:54 |
|
22:57 |
22:27 |
22:08 |
|
|
|
| 960 |
Laila Jackson |
9 |
22:40 |
|
25:04 |
23:21 |
23:35 |
22:24 |
|
22:49 |
22:10 |
22:18 |
|
|
|
| 984 |
Alexandra Baker |
11 |
22:44 |
21:53 |
22:29 |
22:49 |
22:28 |
23:00 |
|
22:39 |
22:34 |
22:56 |
|
|
|
| 1,053 |
Grace Wickman |
10 |
22:54 |
|
23:26 |
22:41 |
23:22 |
22:52 |
|
22:45 |
22:51 |
22:39 |
|
|
|
| 1,092 |
Aarna Akkineni |
11 |
22:59 |
23:46 |
|
23:33 |
23:11 |
22:37 |
|
23:11 |
22:29 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,116 |
Mia Schiesser |
12 |
23:04 |
23:55 |
23:21 |
22:26 |
22:30 |
23:28 |
|
23:08 |
23:44 |
22:41 |
|
|
|
| 1,142 |
Anisa Taylor |
11 |
23:07 |
22:45 |
23:49 |
22:47 |
23:08 |
24:07 |
|
23:02 |
23:04 |
22:35 |
|
|
|
| 1,175 |
Sydney Watkins |
11 |
23:11 |
23:25 |
22:53 |
22:45 |
23:16 |
23:45 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,187 |
Charlotte Huffman |
9 |
23:13 |
|
23:41 |
22:59 |
23:15 |
23:01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,262 |
Joana Anton Caballer |
11 |
23:23 |
23:12 |
23:19 |
|
|
23:01 |
|
24:00 |
23:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kyra Reed |
9 |
24:08 |
|
24:02 |
23:44 |
24:06 |
24:04 |
|
23:58 |
24:24 |
24:18 |
|
|
|
|
Andrea Davalos |
11 |
25:18 |
24:41 |
24:34 |
|
|
25:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Almaya |
12 |
26:09 |
23:51 |
|
24:32 |
|
|
|
|
27:00 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.4 |
191 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
7.6 |
20.7 |
23.2 |
22.9 |
17.4 |
5.2 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.6 |
110 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
9.5 |
22.6 |
58.9 |
7.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Caitlin Hawkins |
98.7% |
69.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
98.7% |
98.7% |
| Isabella Murch |
97.9% |
72.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
97.9% |
97.9% |
| Mia Quagliaroli |
0.5% |
158.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.5% |
0.5% |
| Lorelai Polk |
0.0% |
163.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Caitlin Hawkins |
100% |
15.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
8.2 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
6.6 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Isabella Murch |
100% |
16.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
6.2 |
7.4 |
7.2 |
8.0 |
6.7 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Mia Quagliaroli |
100% |
53.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Allie Belush |
100% |
61.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lorelai Polk |
100% |
75.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Melanie Perez |
100% |
88.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Eve Ziino |
100% |
90.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Caitlin Hawkins |
8.7 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.1 |
4.9 |
8.1 |
11.9 |
13.6 |
14.0 |
13.5 |
12.8 |
9.3 |
5.3 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Isabella Murch |
9.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
4.1 |
6.2 |
9.4 |
12.4 |
13.7 |
15.1 |
13.1 |
11.4 |
6.4 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Mia Quagliaroli |
26.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
6.0 |
| Allie Belush |
29.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
| Lorelai Polk |
34.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
| Melanie Perez |
38.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
| Eve Ziino |
38.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
